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Shaded-relief map of Bull Shoals, Arkansas: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
ARKANSAS · MARION COUNTY

Bull Shoals

1,912 people, 800 ft above sea level in Marion County.

800 ftElevation, city center
1,912People, 2024 estimate
5 sq miLand area
Sunny 49°
Sunny now Dew point 27° · E 6 mph · high 51°
City of Bull Shoals River Interstate 2 miles
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The Bull Shoals plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Bull Shoals

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 2:00 PM CST
RIGHT NOW Baxter County Airport (KBPK) · 1:53 PM
Sunny
49° Sunny Feels like 47° · high of 51° near 2 PM
WindE 6 mphno gusts
Humidity42%falling to 41% this afternoon
Pressure30.25 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 27° · Dry40° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 31.24 in · 11 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Marion County
NWS Little Rock and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 2:45 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:46 AM5:03 PM ↓
10 h 16 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
13
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
clear day
clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
51°
32°
54°
32°
57°
34°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
5
0
0
0
3
3
5
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 27 to 40° More humid: 38° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 59° / 39°
SAT Nov. 14 Sunny Sunny
51° 31°
0% rain — ESE 5 A
SUN Nov. 15 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
54° 31°
0% rain — ESE 5 A
MON Nov. 16 Sunny Sunny
57° 33°
0% rain — ESE 2 A
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
59° 36°
0% rain — SE 3 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
64° 46°
10% rain — SSE 6 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
67° 49°
20% rain — SSE 2 C
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
69° 50°
0% rain — SE 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Bull Shoals about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the southern Rockies three days ago, and over the Ozarks a day ago, about 810 miles back along its path. It rose from near the ground on the way. Near the ground the air came from Texas; at 10,000 feet, from the Pacific Northwest. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 2015 Nov. 17–18, 2015

The wettest two days this week has seen

4.18 inches of rain fell in two days, the most for this week of the year since records began in 1902. The next wettest, 3.23 inches, fell in 1993.

3.23″
4.18″
19932015
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Mountain Home 1 NNW record since 1902.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Bull Shoals stands on

Bull Shoals’s center stands about 800 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 460 ft to 920 ft, a difference of 460 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Horseshoe Mountain, about 1,350 ft, 8 miles north-northeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Cotter and Jefferson City Dolomites (dolostone), from the Early Ordovician, 471 to 487 million years old.

The section below crosses 5 rock units mapped at the surface.

Bull Shoals, cut in half from southwest to northeast

A section southwest to northeast, 24 miles through the town center
500 ft750 ft1,000 ft1,250 ft BULL SHOALS800 ftCrooked Creekabout 540 ftBull Shoals Mountain1,110 ftLong Mountain1,330 ft ← SW · YellvilleNE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 23×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Cotter and Jefferson City Dolomites

Dolostone. Age: Early Ordovician, 471 to 487 million years old. About 15 mi of the line.

Smithville Dolomite, Powell Dolomite, Cotter Dolomite, Jefferson City Dolomite

Dolostone. Age: Early Ordovician, 471 to 487 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Powell Dolomite

Dolostone. Age: Early Ordovician, 471 to 487 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Boone Formation

Limestone. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 0.8 mi of the line.

St. Peter Sanstone and Everton Formation (Middle Ordovician)

Sandstone, dolostone. Age: Middle Ordovician, 459 to 471 million years old. About 0.6 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Bull Shoals’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Bull Shoals reaches the Gulf of America by way of the White River and the Mississippi: about 1,030 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Bull Shoals≈ 1,030 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF BULL SHOALS ≈ 1,030 mi to the Gulf of America White River → Mississippi

620 miles of the trip are on the Mississippi.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Bull Shoals; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Bull Shoals’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1902 · Mountain Home 1 NNW, 11 mi east-southeast

Bull Shoals has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 89° in July; winter nights fall to about 26° in January. A normal year brings about 8 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 51 inches of water.

46°26°51°29°60°37°70°46°77°56°85°65°89°69°89°67°82°60°71°48°59°37°49°29° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY BULL SHOALS 50.9 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average89° / 69°high / low, the warmest month
January, average46° / 26°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow50.9 inwettest months: May and April
Snow a year7.8 insnowiest: February
Hottest on record114°FAugust 9, 1934
Coldest on record−16°FDecember 9, 1917
Wettest day on record8.95 inSeptember 4, 1985
Snowiest day on record14.0 inMarch 9, 1994
90° days a year45about 3 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°81and 10 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 28, to the last in spring, about April 1 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and upJuly 15 to Aug. 16; normal highs reach 90°
3Lows below freezingDec. 2 to Feb. 28; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bull Shoals normally reaches 59° and falls to 38°. The record high is 83°, in 1999; the record low 11°, in 1940. The most rain on this date, 2.60 in, fell in 1926.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high46°51°60°70°77°85°89°89°82°71°59°49°
Normal low26°29°37°46°56°65°69°67°60°48°37°29°
Rain and melt, in3.303.265.035.605.683.884.153.743.663.994.803.77
Snow, inches1.92.62.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.10.01.2
Record high83° (1943)88° (2024)96° (2026)95° (1940)101° (1934)110° (1936)112° (1954)114° (1934)107° (1939)97° (1938)87° (1934)84° (2025)
Record low−15° (1918)−14° (1951)−2° (1948)21° (1924)29° (1903)42° (1917)46° (1975)47° (1992)32° (1967)18° (1917)9° (1986)−16° (1917)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1902 at Mountain Home 1 NNW, 11 miles east-southeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Bull Shoals on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Springfield MO · 69 MI 69 miles northwest Little Rock AR · 115 MI 115 miles south Memphis TN · 171 MI 171 miles southeast Tulsa OK · 185 MI 185 miles west
FORECASTCITY
Map of Bull Shoals, Arkansas. Explore the plate
ARKANSAS · MARION

Bull Shoals

1,912 people, 800 ft above sea level in Marion County.

800 ftElevation
1,912People
5 sq miLand
Sunny 49°
SunnyDew point 27°
1

Today in Bull Shoals

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now clear day 51° 0%
5p clear night 46° 0%
8p mostly clear night 39° 0%
11p partly cloudy night 36° 0%
2a partly cloudy night 33° 0%
5a mostly cloudy night 32° 0%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Sunny Sunny
31
51
A
Sun0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
31
54
A
Mon0%
Sunny Sunny
33
57
A
Tue0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
36
59
A
Wed10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
46
64
B
Thu20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
49
67
C
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
50
69
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 2015 · NOV. 17–18, 2015

4.18 inches in two days, the most for this week since 1902.

2

What Bull Shoals stands on

Bull Shoals’s center stands about 800 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 460 ft to 920 ft, a difference of 460 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Horseshoe Mountain, about 1,350 ft, 8 miles north-northeast.

Bull Shoals, southwest to northeast Bull Shoals800 ftCrooked Creekabout 540 ftBull Shoals Mountain1,110 ft ← SWNE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 44×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center800 ft
Within 3 miles460 to 920 ft
Lie of the landHilly (460 ft of relief)
High point nearbyHorseshoe Mountain, 1,350 ft, 8 mi north-northeast
Rock at the surfaceCotter and Jefferson City Dolomites
Its ageEarly Ordovician, 471 to 487 million years old
5

Bull Shoals’s year

Bull Shoals has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 89° in July; winter nights fall to about 26° in January. A normal year brings about 8 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 51 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 50.9 in
July, average89° / 69° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average46° / 26° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow50.9 in · wettest months: May and April
Snow a year7.8 in · snowiest: February
Hottest on record114°F · August 9, 1934
Coldest on record−16°F · December 9, 1917
Wettest day on record8.95 in · September 4, 1985
Snowiest day on record14.0 in · March 9, 1994
90° days a year45 · about 3 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°81 · and 10 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 28, to the last in spring, about April 1 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and up · July 15 to Aug. 16; normal highs reach 90°
3Lows below freezing · Dec. 2 to Feb. 28; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bull Shoals normally reaches 59° and falls to 38°. The record high is 83°, in 1999; the record low 11°, in 1940. The most rain on this date, 2.60 in, fell in 1926.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1902 at Mountain Home 1 NNW, 11 miles east-southeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 1,030 mito the Gulf of AmericaWhite River → Mississippi

A raindrop that lands in Bull Shoals reaches the Gulf of America by way of the White River and the Mississippi: about 1,030 river miles.

620 miles of the trip are on the Mississippi.