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Shaded-relief map of Pencil Bluff, Arkansas: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
ARKANSAS · MONTGOMERY COUNTY

Pencil Bluff

72 people, 750 ft above sea level in Montgomery County.

750 ftElevation, city center
72People, 2024 estimate
1 sq miLand area
Sunny 51°
Sunny now Dew point 27° · N 5 mph · high 55°
City of Pencil Bluff River Interstate 2 miles
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The Pencil Bluff plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Pencil Bluff

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 12:00 PM CST
RIGHT NOW Mount Ida (KMWT) · 12:53 PM
Sunny
51° Sunny Feels like 51° · high of 55° near 2 PM
WindN 5 mphno gusts
Humidity39%falling to 38% this afternoon
Pressure30.21 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 27° · Dry42° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow, about 2 PMin about 24 hours · 62% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT0–0.9 inmost likely 0.2; 1 in 10 over 1.2
LAST RAINNov. 100.01 in · 4 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Montgomery County
NWS Little Rock and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 1:45 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:47 AM5:11 PM ↓
10 h 23 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
32
GOODAir quality index · ozone
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
clear day
mostly clear night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
rain
rain
rain
rain
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
53°
32°
52°
36°
61°
33°
CHANCE OF RAIN
62% · 0.23 in Sunday evening 50%
WIND, MPH
5
3
2
0
0
3
5
6
5
2
0
0
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 29 to 39° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 40° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 64° / 40°
SAT Nov. 14 Sunny Sunny
55° 32°
0% rain — ESE 5 A
SUN Nov. 15 Showers likely Showers likely
54° 34°
60% rain up to 0.9″ ESE 5 B
MON Nov. 16 Showers likely; warmer Showers likely; warmer
62° 31°
60% rain — E 4 B
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
65° 33°
0% rain — ESE 5 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
68° 44°
0% rain — SE 5 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
71° 47°
10% rain — ESE 5 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
74° 49°
10% rain — SE 1 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Pencil Bluff about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Texas three days ago, and over the Ozarks a day ago, about 1,130 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from Texas; at 10,000 feet, from the northern Rockies. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1978 Nov. 15–16, 1978

The wettest two days this week has seen

5.03 inches of rain fell in two days, the most for this week of the year since records began in 1872. The next wettest, 4.22 inches, fell in 1958.

4.22″
5.03″
19581978
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Mount Ida Area threaded record since 1872.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Pencil Bluff stands on

Pencil Bluff’s center stands about 750 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 660 ft to 970 ft, a difference of 310 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Buck Knob, about 2,260 ft, 13 miles west-northwest.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Stanley Shale (black-shale, sandstone, siltstone), from the Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old.

The section below crosses 5 rock units mapped at the surface.

Pencil Bluff, cut in half from west to east

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
500 ft1,000 ft1,500 ft PENCIL BLUFF750 ftGrapevine Mountain2,110 ftOuachita Riverabout 680 ftLow point570 ft ← WE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 16×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Stanley Shale

Black-shale, sandstone, siltstone. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 15 mi of the line.

Jackfork Sandstone

Sandstone, shale. Age: Carboniferous, 299 to 324 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Arkansas Novaculite

Novaculite. Age: Late Devonian to Carboniferous, 324 to 384 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

Missouri Mountain Shale and Baylock Sandstone

Sandstone. Age: Silurian, 422 to 445 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

Pole Creek Shale (Upper Ordovician) and Bigfork Chert (Upper and Middle Ordovician)

Chert, shale. Age: Middle Ordovician to Late Ordovician, 445 to 471 million years old. About 0.8 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Pencil Bluff’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Pencil Bluff reaches the Gulf of America by way of Allen Creek, the Ouachita, the Black River, the Red River, the Atchafalaya and the Lower Atchafalaya: about 690 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Pencil Bluff≈ 690 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF PENCIL BLUFF ≈ 690 mi to the Gulf of America Allen Creek → Ouachita → Black River → Red River → Atchafalaya → Lower Atchafalaya

480 miles of the trip are on the Ouachita.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Pencil Bluff; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Pencil Bluff’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1872 · Mount Ida, 11 mi east-southeast

Pencil Bluff has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 93° in July; winter nights fall to about 31° in January. About 56 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

53°31°57°34°65°41°74°49°81°58°88°66°93°69°93°68°86°60°75°49°63°40°55°32° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY PENCIL BLUFF 55.8 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average93° / 69°high / low, the warmest month
January, average53° / 31°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year55.8 inwettest months: April and May
Hottest on record116°FAugust 10, 1936
Coldest on record−21°FFebruary 2, 1951
Wettest day on record9.95 inDecember 3, 1982
Snowiest day on record18.0 inMarch 6, 1875
90° days a year56about 5 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°83and 4 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 27, to the last in spring, about April 9 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and upJune 20 to Sept. 5; normal highs reach 90°
3Lows below freezingDec. 12 to Feb. 7; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Pencil Bluff normally reaches 64° and falls to 40°. The record high is 84°, in 1955; the record low 10°, in 1940. The most rain on this date, 1.82 in, fell in 1947.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high53°57°65°74°81°88°93°93°86°75°63°55°
Normal low31°34°41°49°58°66°69°68°60°49°40°32°
Rain, inches3.814.045.016.175.444.774.203.664.144.445.254.82
Record high87° (1943)86° (1986)91° (1929)93° (1987)97° (1934)108° (1936)110° (1930)116° (1936)107° (1925)100° (1953)89° (1930)83° (1939)
Record low−15° (1930)−21° (1951)4° (1943)20° (1987)30° (1992)41° (1983)47° (1924)43° (1986)31° (1989)20° (1938)6° (1976)−6° (1989)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1872 from the Mount Ida Area threaded record (Mount Ida, 11 miles east-southeast). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Pencil Bluff on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Little Rock AR · 79 MI 79 miles east Shreveport LA · 149 MI 149 miles south Broken Arrow OK · 151 MI 151 miles northwest Tulsa OK · 160 MI 160 miles northwest
FORECASTCITY
Map of Pencil Bluff, Arkansas. Explore the plate
ARKANSAS · MONTGOMERY

Pencil Bluff

72 people, 750 ft above sea level in Montgomery County.

750 ftElevation
72People
1 sq miLand
Sunny 51°
SunnyDew point 27°
1

Today in Pencil Bluff

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now clear day 53° 0%
4p clear day 54° 0%
7p partly cloudy night 42° 0%
10p mostly cloudy night 39° 0%
1a mostly cloudy night 36° 5%
4a partly cloudy night 35° 2%
Mostly cloudy
NEXT RAINTomorrow about 2 PM · 62%
→
Sat0%
Sunny Sunny
32
55
A
Sun60%
Showers likely Showers likely
34
54
B
Mon60%
Showers likely; warmer Showers likely; warmer
31
62
B
Tue0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
33
65
A
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
44
68
B
Thu10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
47
71
B
Fri10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
49
74
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1978 · NOV. 15–16, 1978

5.03 inches in two days, the most for this week since 1872.

2

What Pencil Bluff stands on

Pencil Bluff’s center stands about 750 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 660 ft to 970 ft, a difference of 310 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Buck Knob, about 2,260 ft, 13 miles west-northwest.

Pencil Bluff, west to east Pencil Bluff750 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 30×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center750 ft
Within 3 miles660 to 970 ft
Lie of the landRolling (310 ft of relief)
High point nearbyBuck Knob, 2,260 ft, 13 mi west-northwest
Rock at the surfaceStanley Shale
Its ageCarboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old
5

Pencil Bluff’s year

Pencil Bluff has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 93° in July; winter nights fall to about 31° in January. About 56 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 55.8 in
July, average93° / 69° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average53° / 31° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year55.8 in · wettest months: April and May
Hottest on record116°F · August 10, 1936
Coldest on record−21°F · February 2, 1951
Wettest day on record9.95 in · December 3, 1982
Snowiest day on record18.0 in · March 6, 1875
90° days a year56 · about 5 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°83 · and 4 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 27, to the last in spring, about April 9 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and up · June 20 to Sept. 5; normal highs reach 90°
3Lows below freezing · Dec. 12 to Feb. 7; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Pencil Bluff normally reaches 64° and falls to 40°. The record high is 84°, in 1955; the record low 10°, in 1940. The most rain on this date, 1.82 in, fell in 1947.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1872 from the Mount Ida Area threaded record (Mount Ida, 11 miles east-southeast). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 690 mito the Gulf of AmericaAllen Creek → Ouachita → Black River → Red River → Atchafalaya → Lower Atchafalaya

A raindrop that lands in Pencil Bluff reaches the Gulf of America by way of Allen Creek, the Ouachita, the Black River, the Red River, the Atchafalaya and the Lower Atchafalaya: about 690 river miles.

480 miles of the trip are on the Ouachita.