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Shaded-relief map of Bear Flat, Arizona: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
ARIZONA · GILA COUNTY

Bear Flat

11 people, 5,080 ft above sea level in Gila County.

5,080 ftElevation, city center
11People, 2024 estimate
0 sq miLand area
Sunny 48°
Sunny now Dew point 45° · N 7 mph · high 52°
City of Bear Flat River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Bear Flat plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Bear Flat

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 10:00 AM MST
RIGHT NOW Payson Airport (KPAN) · 10:35 AM
Sunny
48° Sunny Feels like 45° · high of 52° near 4 PM
WindN 7 mphno gusts
Humidity87%falling to 77% this afternoon
Pressure30.01 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index0 nowlow
Dew point 45° · Dry36° by Sunday: drier air arrives
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Today, about 11 AMin about 1 hours · 32% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 70.04 in · 7 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Gila County
NWS Phoenix and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 10:45 AM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:56 AM5:21 PM ↓
10 h 24 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 24% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
30
GOODAir quality index · ozone
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
rain
rain
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
showers day
TEMPERATURE °F
48°
52°
36°
59°
38°
60°
43°
CHANCE OF RAIN
82% · 0.12 in Tuesday morning 50%
WIND, MPH
9
8
5
1
1
2
3
5
3
3
2
5
5
5
5
6
7
8
5
6
6
5
5
8
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 36 to 46°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Chance of showers Chance of showers
52° 36°
30% rain — SW 8 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
59° 37°
0% rain — ENE 3 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
61° 43°
0% rain — S 7 A
TUE Nov. 17 Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
53° 39°
80% rain 0.6–1.9″ SSW 9 C
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53° 35°
10% rain — SSW 3 C
THU Nov. 19 Chance of showers Chance of showers
55° 37°
40% rain up to 0.09″ S 7 B
FRI Nov. 20 Chance of showers Chance of showers
48° 32°
50% rain up to 0.4″ SW 6 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Bear Flat about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the southern Rockies three days ago, about 630 miles back along its path. It came down from about 9,600 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1964 Nov. 17, 1964

The coldest this week has been

8° on Nov. 17, 1964, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1903. Next is 11° in 1904.

11°
8°
19041964
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Pleasant Valley record since 1903.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Bear Flat stands on

Bear Flat’s center stands about 5,080 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 4,830 ft to 6,760 ft, a difference of 1,930 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is OW Point, about 7,600 ft, 14 miles east.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Early Proterozoic quartzite, from the Paleoproterozoic, 1.6 to 1.7 billion years old.

The section below crosses 6 rock units mapped at the surface.

Bear Flat, cut in half from southwest to northeast

A section southwest to northeast, 24 miles through the town center
4,000 ft5,000 ft6,000 ft7,000 ft BEAR FLAT5,080 ftWolverton Mountain4,440 ftHigh point of the line7,770 ft ← SWNE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 5×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Early Proterozoic metavolcanic rocks

Metavolcanic. Age: Paleoproterozoic, 1.6 to 1.8 billion years old. About 10 mi of the line.

Permian sedimentary rocks

Sandstone, limestone. Age: Permian, 270 to 280 million years old. About 7 mi of the line.

Permian to Pennsylvanian sedimentary rocks

Sandstone, shale, limestone. Age: Middle Pennsylvanian to Permian, 280 to 310 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Early Proterozoic quartzite

Quartzite. Age: Paleoproterozoic, 1.6 to 1.7 billion years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Early Proterozoic granitic rocks

Granite, granodiorite, tonalite. Age: Paleoproterozoic, 1.6 to 1.8 billion years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Mississippian, Devonian, and Cambrian sedimentary rocks

Sandstone, shale, limestone. Age: Early Cambrian to Late Mississippian, 330 to 540 million years old. About 0.8 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Bear Flat’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Bear Flat reaches the Gulf of California by way of Tonto Creek, the Salt River, the Gila and the Colorado: about 480 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Bear Flat≈ 480 mi · the Gulf of California
FROM THE CENTER OF BEAR FLAT ≈ 480 mi to the Gulf of California Tonto Creek → Salt River → Gila → Colorado

200 miles of the trip are on the Gila.

Often dry. About 50% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Seldom reaches the sea. Dams and canals now take nearly all of the Colorado before its old delta in Mexico.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Bear Flat; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Bear Flat’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1903 · Pleasant Valley, 14 mi south-southeast

Bear Flat has a hot-summer Mediterranean climate. Summer afternoons average 88° in July; winter nights fall to about 25° in January. A normal year brings about 8 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 20 inches of water.

53°25°56°27°61°31°68°36°76°41°86°49°88°59°87°59°82°52°72°40°62°30°52°25° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY BEAR FLAT 20.4 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average88° / 59°high / low, the warmest month
January, average53° / 25°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow20.4 inwettest months: July and August
Snow a year8.5 insnowiest: February
Hottest on record108°FJuly 28, 1905
Coldest on record−21°FJanuary 30, 1979
Wettest day on record5.27 inAugust 28, 1951
Snowiest day on record32.0 inMarch 11, 2006
Climate typeHot-summer MediterraneanKöppen Csa

AROUND THE RING

1Lows below freezingNov. 7 to March 29; normal lows fall below 32°
2Wettest stretchJuly through September: 8.2 of the year’s 20.4 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bear Flat normally reaches 62° and falls to 30°. The record high is 81°, in 1967; the record low 11°, in 1904. The most rain on this date, 1.30 in, fell in 1993.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high53°56°61°68°76°86°88°87°82°72°62°52°
Normal low25°27°31°36°41°49°59°59°52°40°30°25°
Rain and melt, in2.252.241.850.690.580.243.443.021.701.131.441.85
Snow, inches1.24.22.00.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.20.2
Record high78° (1976)84° (1979)91° (2026)92° (1962)98° (1984)107° (1905)108° (1905)106° (1903)100° (1903)95° (1904)85° (1905)78° (1903)
Record low−21° (1979)−9° (1962)−6° (1971)11° (1970)17° (1975)21° (1963)35° (1973)36° (1980)25° (1980)10° (1980)−6° (1975)−13° (1968)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1903 at Pleasant Valley, 14 miles south-southeast, 100 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Bear Flat on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Payson AZ · 15 MI 15 miles west Mesa AZ · 72 MI 72 miles southwest Phoenix AZ · 77 MI 77 miles southwest Gilbert AZ · 78 MI 78 miles southwest Tucson AZ · 148 MI 148 miles south
FORECASTCITY
Map of Bear Flat, Arizona. Explore the plate
ARIZONA · GILA

Bear Flat

11 people, 5,080 ft above sea level in Gila County.

5,080 ftElevation
11People
0 sq miLand
Sunny 48°
SunnyDew point 45°
1

Today in Bear Flat

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy day 48° 0%
1p mostly cloudy day 49° 27%
4p partly cloudy day 52° 7%
7p partly cloudy night 44° 0%
10p mostly clear night 43° 0%
1a mostly clear night 41° 0%
Rain
NEXT RAINToday about 11 AM · 32%
→
Sat30%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
36
52
A
Sun0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
37
59
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
43
61
A
Tue80%
Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
39
53
C
Wed10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
35
53
C
Thu40%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
37
55
B
Fri50%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
32
48
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1964 · NOV. 17, 1964

8°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1903.

2

What Bear Flat stands on

Bear Flat’s center stands about 5,080 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 4,830 ft to 6,760 ft, a difference of 1,930 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is OW Point, about 7,600 ft, 14 miles east.

Bear Flat, southwest to northeast Bear Flat5,080 ftWolverton Mountain4,440 ft ← SWNE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 9×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center5,080 ft
Within 3 miles4,830 to 6,760 ft
Lie of the landSteep hill country (1,930 ft of relief)
High point nearbyOW Point, 7,600 ft, 14 mi east
Rock at the surfaceEarly Proterozoic quartzite
Its agePaleoproterozoic, 1.6 to 1.7 billion years old
5

Bear Flat’s year

Bear Flat has a hot-summer Mediterranean climate. Summer afternoons average 88° in July; winter nights fall to about 25° in January. A normal year brings about 8 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 20 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 20.4 in
July, average88° / 59° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average53° / 25° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow20.4 in · wettest months: July and August
Snow a year8.5 in · snowiest: February
Hottest on record108°F · July 28, 1905
Coldest on record−21°F · January 30, 1979
Wettest day on record5.27 in · August 28, 1951
Snowiest day on record32.0 in · March 11, 2006
Climate typeHot-summer Mediterranean · Köppen Csa
1Lows below freezing · Nov. 7 to March 29; normal lows fall below 32°
2Wettest stretch · July through September: 8.2 of the year’s 20.4 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bear Flat normally reaches 62° and falls to 30°. The record high is 81°, in 1967; the record low 11°, in 1904. The most rain on this date, 1.30 in, fell in 1993.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1903 at Pleasant Valley, 14 miles south-southeast, 100 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 480 mito the Gulf of CaliforniaTonto Creek → Salt River → Gila → Colorado

A raindrop that lands in Bear Flat reaches the Gulf of California by way of Tonto Creek, the Salt River, the Gila and the Colorado: about 480 river miles.

200 miles of the trip are on the Gila.

Often dry. About 50% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Seldom reaches the sea. Dams and canals now take nearly all of the Colorado before its old delta in Mexico.