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Shaded-relief map of Carefree, Arizona: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
ARIZONA · MARICOPA COUNTY

Carefree

3,657 people, 2,420 ft above sea level in Maricopa County.

2,420 ftElevation, city center
3,657People, 2024 estimate
9 sq miLand area
Clear 64°
Clear now Dew point 55° · NNW 3 mph · high 64°
City of Carefree River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Carefree plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Carefree

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM MST
RIGHT NOW Phoenix-Deer Valley Municipal Airport (KDVT) · 5:53 PM
Clear
64° Clear Feels like 64° · high of 64° near 6 PM
WindNNW 3 mphno gusts
Humidity73%rising to 90% by morning
Pressure29.96 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index0 nowlow
Dew point 55° · Comfortable45° by Monday: drier air arrives
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Showers
Tuesday, about 6 AMin about 60 hours · 78% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT0.3–1.3 inmost likely 0.7; 1 in 10 over 2.2
LAST RAINNov. 130.01 in · 1 dry day
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
! Flood WarningFlood Warning issued November 13 at 7:24PM MST until November 17 at 11:00AM MST by NWS Phoenix AZ
NWS Phoenix and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:15 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:58 AM5:25 PM ↓
10 h 26 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 27% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
33
GOODAir quality index · ozone
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
showers day
showers day
rain
showers day
TEMPERATURE °F
64°
53°
74°
54°
77°
59°
CHANCE OF RAIN
78% · 0.42 in Tuesday afternoon 50%
WIND, MPH
5
5
5
5
6
3
0
0
2
5
6
7
7
6
8
6
6
5
5
7
8
11
12
11
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 45 to 54°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 75° / 51°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
64° 52°
0% rain — NE 4 A
SUN Nov. 15 Sunny; warmer Sunny; warmer
74° 53°
0% rain — NNE 2 B
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
78° 56°
0% rain — SE 7 B
TUE Nov. 17 Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
70° 51°
80% rain 0.3–1.3″ SW 10 C
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
70° 49°
0% rain — SSE 5 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
72° 50°
20% rain — SW 3 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
67° 47°
20% rain — W 2 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Carefree about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the southern Rockies three days ago, about 430 miles back along its path. Most of the nine paths traced from around the city agree. Near the ground the air came from the southern Rockies; at 10,000 feet, from the Great Basin. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1967 Nov. 13, 1967

The hottest this week has been

89° on Nov. 13, 1967, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1961. Next is 89° in 1999.

89°
89°
19991967
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Carefree record since 1961.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Carefree stands on

Carefree’s center stands about 2,420 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 2,050 ft to 3,100 ft, a difference of 1,050 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Rover Peak, about 5,190 ft, 14 miles north-northeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Late and middle Pleistocene surficial deposits (gravel, sand), from the Pleistocene, less than 0.8 million years old.

The section below crosses 8 rock units mapped at the surface.

Carefree, cut in half from southwest to northeast

A section southwest to northeast, 24 miles through the town center
2,000 ft3,000 ft4,000 ft CAREFREE2,420 ftLow point1,530 ftContinental Mountain4,470 ft ← SWNE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 6×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Late and middle Pleistocene surficial deposits

Gravel, sand. Age: Pleistocene, less than 0.8 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Holocene surficial deposits

Silt, clay. Age: Holocene, less than 10,000 years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Early Proterozoic metasedimentary rocks

Metasedimentary, schist. Age: Paleoproterozoic, 1.6 to 1.8 billion years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Late to middle Miocene basaltic rocks

Basalt. Age: Early Miocene to Late Miocene, 8 to 16 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Pliocene to middle Miocene deposits

Conglomerate, sandstone. Age: Early Miocene to Pleistocene, 2 to 16 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Middle Proterozoic granitic rocks

Granite. Age: Mesoproterozoic, 1.4 to 1.4 billion years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 2 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Carefree’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Carefree reaches the Gulf of California by way of Galloway Wash, Cave Creek, Skunk Creek, the New River, the Agua Fria, the Gila and the Colorado: about 380 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Carefree≈ 380 mi · the Gulf of California
FROM THE CENTER OF CAREFREE ≈ 380 mi to the Gulf of California Galloway Wash → Cave Creek → … → Agua Fria → Gila → Colorado

200 miles of the trip are on the Gila.

Often dry. About 70% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Seldom reaches the sea. Dams and canals now take nearly all of the Colorado before its old delta in Mexico.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Carefree; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Carefree’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1961 · Carefree

Carefree has a hot semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 103° in July; winter nights fall to about 41° in December. About 13 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

65°42°68°44°74°48°82°53°91°61°101°70°103°76°102°76°97°70°85°60°74°49°64°41° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY CAREFREE 12.6 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average103° / 76°high / low, the warmest month
December, average64° / 41°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year12.6 inwettest months: January and March
Hottest on record118°FJune 20, 2017
Coldest on record15°FJanuary 7, 1971
Wettest day on record3.70 inMarch 19, 1983
Snowiest day on record2.3 inMarch 23, 1973
Climate typeHot semi-aridKöppen BSh

AROUND THE RING

1Highs of 90° and upMay 12 to Oct. 5; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretchJanuary through March: 5.0 of the year’s 12.6 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Carefree normally reaches 74° and falls to 50°. The record high is 87°, in 1999; the record low 32°, in 1985. The most rain on this date, 0.74 in, fell in 1993.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high65°68°74°82°91°101°103°102°97°85°74°64°
Normal low42°44°48°53°61°70°76°76°70°60°49°41°
Rain, inches1.801.601.640.500.150.121.271.301.150.970.771.31
Record high84° (1971)88° (2026)102° (2026)102° (2020)109° (2020)118° (2017)118° (1995)114° (2026)111° (2020)107° (2024)92° (2020)82° (2021)
Record low15° (1971)19° (2011)24° (1971)32° (1999)37° (1964)49° (1999)56° (1972)59° (1990)44° (1965)32° (1971)28° (1994)20° (1990)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1961 at Carefree, here, 110 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Carefree on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Phoenix AZ · 20 MI 20 miles southwest Mesa AZ · 31 MI 31 miles south Goodyear AZ · 47 MI 47 miles southwest San Tan Valley AZ · 49 MI 49 miles southeast Buckeye AZ · 50 MI 50 miles southwest Tucson AZ · 130 MI 130 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Carefree, Arizona. Explore the plate
ARIZONA · MARICOPA

Carefree

3,657 people, 2,420 ft above sea level in Maricopa County.

2,420 ftElevation
3,657People
9 sq miLand
Clear 64°
ClearDew point 55°
1

Today in Carefree

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly clear night 64° 0%
9p mostly clear night 59° 0%
12a mostly clear night 57° 0%
3a mostly clear night 55° 0%
6a mostly clear night 54° 0%
9a clear day 62° 0%
Showers
NEXT RAINTuesday about 6 AM · 78%
→
Sat0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
52
64
A
Sun0%
Sunny; warmer Sunny; warmer
53
74
B
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
56
78
B
Tue80%
Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
51
70
C
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
49
70
B
Thu20%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
50
72
B
Fri20%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
47
67
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1967 · NOV. 13, 1967

89°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1961.

2

What Carefree stands on

Carefree’s center stands about 2,420 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 2,050 ft to 3,100 ft, a difference of 1,050 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Rover Peak, about 5,190 ft, 14 miles north-northeast.

Carefree, southwest to northeast Carefree2,420 ftContinental Mountain4,470 ft ← SWNE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 11×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center2,420 ft
Within 3 miles2,050 to 3,100 ft
Lie of the landSteep hill country (1,050 ft of relief)
High point nearbyRover Peak, 5,190 ft, 14 mi north-northeast
Rock at the surfaceLate and middle Pleistocene surficial deposits
Its agePleistocene, less than 0.8 million years old
5

Carefree’s year

Carefree has a hot semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 103° in July; winter nights fall to about 41° in December. About 13 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 12.6 in
July, average103° / 76° · high / low, the warmest month
December, average64° / 41° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year12.6 in · wettest months: January and March
Hottest on record118°F · June 20, 2017
Coldest on record15°F · January 7, 1971
Wettest day on record3.70 in · March 19, 1983
Snowiest day on record2.3 in · March 23, 1973
Climate typeHot semi-arid · Köppen BSh
1Highs of 90° and up · May 12 to Oct. 5; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretch · January through March: 5.0 of the year’s 12.6 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Carefree normally reaches 74° and falls to 50°. The record high is 87°, in 1999; the record low 32°, in 1985. The most rain on this date, 0.74 in, fell in 1993.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1961 at Carefree, here, 110 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 380 mito the Gulf of CaliforniaGalloway Wash → Cave Creek → … → Agua Fria → Gila → Colorado

A raindrop that lands in Carefree reaches the Gulf of California by way of Galloway Wash, Cave Creek, Skunk Creek, the New River, the Agua Fria, the Gila and the Colorado: about 380 river miles.

200 miles of the trip are on the Gila.

Often dry. About 70% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Seldom reaches the sea. Dams and canals now take nearly all of the Colorado before its old delta in Mexico.