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Shaded-relief map of Cave Creek, Arizona: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
ARIZONA · MARICOPA COUNTY

Cave Creek

5,177 people, 2,130 ft above sea level in Maricopa County.

2,130 ftElevation, city center
5,177People, 2024 estimate
38 sq miLand area
Sunny 65°
Sunny now Dew point 55° · WSW 10 mph · high 70°
City of Cave Creek River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Cave Creek plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Cave Creek

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 1:00 PM MST
RIGHT NOW Phoenix-Deer Valley Municipal Airport (KDVT) · 12:53 PM
Sunny
65° Sunny Feels like 65° · high of 70° near 3 PM
WindWSW 10 mphno gusts
Humidity70%falling to 49% this afternoon
Pressure29.93 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index0 nowlow
Dew point 55° · Comfortable45° by Monday: drier air arrives
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Partly cloudy
Tuesday, about 6 AMin about 64 hours · 81% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT0.3–1.3 inmost likely 0.7; 1 in 10 over 2.2
LAST RAINNov. 11.38 in · 13 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
! Flood WarningFlood Warning issued November 13 at 7:24PM MST until November 17 at 11:00AM MST by NWS Phoenix AZ
NWS Phoenix and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 1:45 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:59 AM5:25 PM ↓
10 h 26 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
31
GOODAir quality index · ozone
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
1p
4p
7p
10p
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1p
4p
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10p
1a
4a
7a
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partly cloudy day
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear night
mostly clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
showers day
rain
TEMPERATURE °F
69°
53°
74°
54°
77°
59°
CHANCE OF RAIN
81% · 0.16 in Tuesday afternoon 50%
WIND, MPH
3
0
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0
0
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 45 to 54°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 75° / 51°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
70° 52°
0% rain — W 3 A
SUN Nov. 15 Sunny Sunny
74° 53°
0% rain — NE 2 B
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
78° 56°
0% rain — SE 7 B
TUE Nov. 17 Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
70° 51°
80% rain 0.3–1.3″ WSW 10 C
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
70° 49°
0% rain — S 5 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
72° 50°
20% rain — SW 3 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
67° 47°
20% rain — WSW 2 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Cave Creek about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the southern Rockies three days ago, and over the Sonoran Desert a day ago, about 290 miles back along its path. The nine paths traced from around the city fan out, so treat that as a best guess. It rose from near the ground on the way. Near the ground the air came from the southern Rockies; at 10,000 feet, from the Rockies. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1967 Nov. 13, 1967

The hottest this week has been

89° on Nov. 13, 1967, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1961. Next is 89° in 1999.

89°
89°
19991967
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Carefree record since 1961.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Cave Creek stands on

Cave Creek’s center stands about 2,130 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,930 ft to 2,910 ft, a difference of 980 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Rover Peak, about 5,190 ft, 15 miles north-northeast.

The section below crosses 7 rock units mapped at the surface.

Cave Creek, cut in half from southwest to northeast

A section southwest to northeast, 24 miles through the town center
2,000 ft3,000 ft4,000 ft CAVE CREEK2,130 ftLow point1,510 ftSkull Mesa4,560 ft ← SWNE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 6×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Holocene surficial deposits

Silt, clay. Age: Holocene, less than 10,000 years old. About 10 mi of the line.

Early Proterozoic metavolcanic rocks

Metavolcanic. Age: Paleoproterozoic, 1.6 to 1.8 billion years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Pliocene to middle Miocene deposits

Conglomerate, sandstone. Age: Early Miocene to Pleistocene, 2 to 16 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Late to middle Miocene basaltic rocks

Basalt. Age: Early Miocene to Late Miocene, 8 to 16 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Early Proterozoic metasedimentary rocks

Metasedimentary, schist. Age: Paleoproterozoic, 1.6 to 1.8 billion years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Middle Miocene to Oligocene volcanic and sedimentary rocks, undivided

Volcanic, clastic. Age: Early Oligocene to Late Miocene, 11 to 32 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 1 smaller unit along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Cave Creek’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Cave Creek reaches the Gulf of California by way of Cave Creek, Skunk Creek, the New River, the Agua Fria, the Gila and the Colorado: about 380 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Cave Creek≈ 380 mi · the Gulf of California
FROM THE CENTER OF CAVE CREEK ≈ 380 mi to the Gulf of California Cave Creek → Skunk Creek → New River → Agua Fria → Gila → Colorado

200 miles of the trip are on the Gila.

Often dry. About 70% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Seldom reaches the sea. Dams and canals now take nearly all of the Colorado before its old delta in Mexico.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Cave Creek; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Cave Creek’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1961 · Carefree, 3 mi east-southeast

Cave Creek has a hot semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 103° in July; winter nights fall to about 41° in December. About 13 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

65°42°68°44°74°48°82°53°91°61°101°70°103°76°102°76°97°70°85°60°74°49°64°41° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY CAVE CREEK 12.6 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average103° / 76°high / low, the warmest month
December, average64° / 41°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year12.6 inwettest months: January and March
Hottest on record118°FJune 20, 2017
Coldest on record15°FJanuary 7, 1971
Wettest day on record3.70 inMarch 19, 1983
Snowiest day on record2.3 inMarch 23, 1973
Climate typeHot semi-aridKöppen BSh

AROUND THE RING

1Highs of 90° and upMay 12 to Oct. 5; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretchJanuary through March: 5.0 of the year’s 12.6 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Cave Creek normally reaches 74° and falls to 50°. The record high is 87°, in 1999; the record low 32°, in 1985. The most rain on this date, 0.74 in, fell in 1993.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high65°68°74°82°91°101°103°102°97°85°74°64°
Normal low42°44°48°53°61°70°76°76°70°60°49°41°
Rain, inches1.801.601.640.500.150.121.271.301.150.970.771.31
Record high84° (1971)88° (2026)102° (2026)102° (2020)109° (2020)118° (2017)118° (1995)114° (2026)111° (2020)107° (2024)92° (2020)82° (2021)
Record low15° (1971)19° (2011)24° (1971)32° (1999)37° (1964)49° (1999)56° (1972)59° (1990)44° (1965)32° (1971)28° (1994)20° (1990)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1961 at Carefree, 3 miles east-southeast, 400 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Cave Creek on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Phoenix AZ · 19 MI 19 miles south Mesa AZ · 34 MI 34 miles southeast Goodyear AZ · 46 MI 46 miles southwest Buckeye AZ · 47 MI 47 miles southwest San Tan Valley AZ · 51 MI 51 miles southeast Tucson AZ · 133 MI 133 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Cave Creek, Arizona. Explore the plate
ARIZONA · MARICOPA

Cave Creek

5,177 people, 2,130 ft above sea level in Maricopa County.

2,130 ftElevation
5,177People
38 sq miLand
Sunny 65°
SunnyDew point 55°
1

Today in Cave Creek

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now partly cloudy day 69° 0%
4p partly cloudy day 70° 2%
7p mostly clear night 61° 1%
10p mostly clear night 58° 1%
1a mostly clear night 56° 0%
4a clear night 55° 0%
Partly cloudy
NEXT RAINTuesday about 6 AM · 81%
→
Sat0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
52
70
A
Sun0%
Sunny Sunny
53
74
B
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
56
78
B
Tue80%
Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
51
70
C
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
49
70
B
Thu20%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
50
72
B
Fri20%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
47
67
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1967 · NOV. 13, 1967

89°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1961.

2

What Cave Creek stands on

Cave Creek’s center stands about 2,130 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,930 ft to 2,910 ft, a difference of 980 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Rover Peak, about 5,190 ft, 15 miles north-northeast.

Cave Creek, southwest to northeast Cave Creek2,130 ft ← SWNE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 12×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center2,130 ft
Within 3 miles1,930 to 2,910 ft
Lie of the landSteep hill country (980 ft of relief)
High point nearbyRover Peak, 5,190 ft, 15 mi north-northeast
5

Cave Creek’s year

Cave Creek has a hot semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 103° in July; winter nights fall to about 41° in December. About 13 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 12.6 in
July, average103° / 76° · high / low, the warmest month
December, average64° / 41° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year12.6 in · wettest months: January and March
Hottest on record118°F · June 20, 2017
Coldest on record15°F · January 7, 1971
Wettest day on record3.70 in · March 19, 1983
Snowiest day on record2.3 in · March 23, 1973
Climate typeHot semi-arid · Köppen BSh
1Highs of 90° and up · May 12 to Oct. 5; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretch · January through March: 5.0 of the year’s 12.6 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Cave Creek normally reaches 74° and falls to 50°. The record high is 87°, in 1999; the record low 32°, in 1985. The most rain on this date, 0.74 in, fell in 1993.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1961 at Carefree, 3 miles east-southeast, 400 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 380 mito the Gulf of CaliforniaCave Creek → Skunk Creek → New River → Agua Fria → Gila → Colorado

A raindrop that lands in Cave Creek reaches the Gulf of California by way of Cave Creek, Skunk Creek, the New River, the Agua Fria, the Gila and the Colorado: about 380 river miles.

200 miles of the trip are on the Gila.

Often dry. About 70% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Seldom reaches the sea. Dams and canals now take nearly all of the Colorado before its old delta in Mexico.