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Shaded-relief map of El Mirage, Arizona: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
ARIZONA · MARICOPA COUNTY

El Mirage

36,468 people, 1,140 ft above sea level in Maricopa County.

1,140 ftElevation, city center
36,468People, 2024 estimate
10 sq miLand area
Sunny 70°
Sunny now Dew point 53° · W 9 mph · high 73°
City of El Mirage River Interstate 2 miles
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The El Mirage plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in El Mirage

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 2:00 PM MST
RIGHT NOW Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport (KPHX) · 2:51 PM
Sunny
70° Sunny Feels like 70° · high of 73° near 3 PM
WindW 9 mphno gusts
Humidity55%rising to 86% by morning
Pressure29.90 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index0 nowlow
Dew point 53° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Showers
Tuesday, about 6 AMin about 63 hours · 70% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT0.2–0.8 inmost likely 0.4; 1 in 10 over 1.8
LAST RAINNov. 11.2 in · 13 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
! Flood WarningFlood Warning issued November 13 at 7:24PM MST until November 17 at 11:00AM MST by NWS Phoenix AZ
NWS Phoenix and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 3:15 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:00 AM5:27 PM ↓
10 h 27 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
39
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 55, moderate. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
partly cloudy day
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
showers day
showers day
showers day
TEMPERATURE °F
73°
56°
76°
56°
79°
60°
CHANCE OF RAIN
70% · 0.21 in Tuesday afternoon 50%
WIND, MPH
7
5
6
5
6
7
7
3
0
2
4
5
7
8
8
10
7
6
6
8
9
12
13
15
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 47 to 55°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 77° / 54°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
73° 56°
0% rain — W 7 A
SUN Nov. 15 Sunny Sunny
76° 55°
0% rain — ENE 5 B
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
80° 60°
0% rain — ESE 8 B
TUE Nov. 17 Showers likely Showers likely
73° 55°
70% rain 0.2–0.8″ WSW 13 C
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
72° 53°
0% rain — NNE 5 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
74° 54°
20% rain — W 5 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
70° 50°
20% rain — WNW 6 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over El Mirage about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the southern Rockies three days ago, and over the Sonoran Desert a day ago, about 370 miles back along its path. The nine paths traced from around the city fan out, so treat that as a best guess. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1999 Nov. 13, 1999

The hottest this week has been

95° on Nov. 13, 1999, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1964. Next is 92° in 1967.

92°
95°
19671999
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Youngtown record since 1964.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What El Mirage stands on

El Mirage’s center stands about 1,140 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,090 ft to 1,210 ft, a difference of 120 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Barry Goldwater Peak, about 4,020 ft, 15 miles west.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Late and middle Pleistocene surficial deposits (gravel, sand), from the Pleistocene, less than 0.8 million years old.

The section below crosses 2 rock units mapped at the surface.

El Mirage, cut in half from south to north

A section south to north, 24 miles through the town center
1,000 ft1,200 ft1,400 ft EL MIRAGE1,140 ftAgua Fria Riverabout 980 ftPeoria1,600 ft ← SPeoria · N →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 31×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Late and middle Pleistocene surficial deposits

Gravel, sand. Age: Pleistocene, less than 0.8 million years old. About 20 mi of the line.

Holocene river alluvium

Sand, gravel. Age: Holocene, less than 10,000 years old. About 4 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where El Mirage’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in El Mirage reaches the Gulf of California by way of the Agua Fria, the Gila and the Colorado: about 340 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
El Mirage≈ 340 mi · the Gulf of California
FROM THE CENTER OF EL MIRAGE ≈ 340 mi to the Gulf of California Agua Fria → Gila → Colorado

200 miles of the trip are on the Gila.

Often dry. About 70% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Seldom reaches the sea. Dams and canals now take nearly all of the Colorado before its old delta in Mexico.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of El Mirage; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

El Mirage’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1964 · Youngtown

El Mirage has a hot desert climate. Summer afternoons average 105° in July; winter nights fall to about 40° in December. About 8 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

65°41°69°44°76°49°84°55°93°64°102°72°105°80°104°79°98°72°87°59°74°48°64°40° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY EL MIRAGE 8.3 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average105° / 80°high / low, the warmest month
December, average64° / 40°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year8.3 inwettest months: February and March
Hottest on record122°FJuly 28, 1995
Coldest on record20°FJanuary 8, 1971
Wettest day on record2.73 inAugust 24, 1982
90° days a year174about 116 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°4a year, on average
Climate typeHot desertKöppen BWh

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Dec. 15, to the last in spring, about Jan. 30 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and upMay 7 to Oct. 9; normal highs reach 90°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 El Mirage normally reaches 75° and falls to 48°. The record high is 94°, in 1999; the record low 38°, in 1985. The most rain on this date, 0.99 in, fell in 1993.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high65°69°76°84°93°102°105°104°98°87°74°64°
Normal low41°44°49°55°64°72°80°79°72°59°48°40°
Rain, inches0.981.251.030.290.110.030.840.970.740.590.610.90
Record high87° (1971)90° (2026)105° (2026)104° (2012)113° (2000)122° (1990)122° (1995)118° (2025)114° (2020)110° (2024)95° (2020)84° (1980)
Record low20° (1971)24° (1990)24° (1971)32° (1977)38° (1965)51° (1969)62° (1978)54° (1968)48° (1965)35° (1970)28° (1976)21° (1978)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1964 at Youngtown, here. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around El Mirage on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Phoenix AZ · 14 MI 14 miles east Mesa AZ · 38 MI 38 miles east Queen Creek AZ · 48 MI 48 miles southeast San Tan Valley AZ · 53 MI 53 miles southeast Flagstaff AZ · 117 MI 117 miles north Tucson AZ · 130 MI 130 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of El Mirage, Arizona. Explore the plate
ARIZONA · MARICOPA

El Mirage

36,468 people, 1,140 ft above sea level in Maricopa County.

1,140 ftElevation
36,468People
10 sq miLand
Sunny 70°
SunnyDew point 53°
1

Today in El Mirage

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now partly cloudy day 73° 1%
6p mostly clear night 67° 1%
9p mostly clear night 62° 1%
12a mostly clear night 60° 0%
3a clear night 58° 0%
6a clear night 56° 0%
Showers
NEXT RAINTuesday about 6 AM · 70%
→
Sat0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56
73
A
Sun0%
Sunny Sunny
55
76
B
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
60
80
B
Tue70%
Showers likely Showers likely
55
73
C
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53
72
B
Thu20%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54
74
B
Fri20%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
50
70
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1999 · NOV. 13, 1999

95°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1964.

2

What El Mirage stands on

El Mirage’s center stands about 1,140 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,090 ft to 1,210 ft, a difference of 120 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Barry Goldwater Peak, about 4,020 ft, 15 miles west.

El Mirage, south to north El Mirage1,140 ftAgua Fria Riverabout 980 ft ← SN → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 58×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center1,140 ft
Within 3 miles1,090 to 1,210 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (120 ft of relief)
High point nearbyBarry Goldwater Peak, 4,020 ft, 15 mi west
Rock at the surfaceLate and middle Pleistocene surficial deposits
Its agePleistocene, less than 0.8 million years old
5

El Mirage’s year

El Mirage has a hot desert climate. Summer afternoons average 105° in July; winter nights fall to about 40° in December. About 8 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 8.3 in
July, average105° / 80° · high / low, the warmest month
December, average64° / 40° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year8.3 in · wettest months: February and March
Hottest on record122°F · July 28, 1995
Coldest on record20°F · January 8, 1971
Wettest day on record2.73 in · August 24, 1982
90° days a year174 · about 116 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°4 · a year, on average
Climate typeHot desert · Köppen BWh
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Dec. 15, to the last in spring, about Jan. 30 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and up · May 7 to Oct. 9; normal highs reach 90°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 El Mirage normally reaches 75° and falls to 48°. The record high is 94°, in 1999; the record low 38°, in 1985. The most rain on this date, 0.99 in, fell in 1993.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1964 at Youngtown, here. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 340 mito the Gulf of CaliforniaAgua Fria → Gila → Colorado

A raindrop that lands in El Mirage reaches the Gulf of California by way of the Agua Fria, the Gila and the Colorado: about 340 river miles.

200 miles of the trip are on the Gila.

Often dry. About 70% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Seldom reaches the sea. Dams and canals now take nearly all of the Colorado before its old delta in Mexico.