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Shaded-relief map of Tonto Basin, Arizona: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
ARIZONA · GILA COUNTY

Tonto Basin

1,444 people, 2,250 ft above sea level in Gila County.

2,250 ftElevation, city center
1,444People, 2024 estimate
32 sq miLand area
Sunny 52°
Sunny now Dew point 46° · W 12 mph · high 64°
City of Tonto Basin River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Tonto Basin plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Tonto Basin

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 1:00 PM MST
RIGHT NOW Payson Airport (KPAN) · 1:55 PM
Sunny
52° Sunny Feels like 52° · high of 64° near 4 PM
WindW 12 mphgusts 16
Humidity82%falling to 63% this afternoon
Pressure30.01 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 46° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Showers
Tuesday, around noonin about 70 hours · 65% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT0.4–1.9 inmost likely 0.9; 1 in 10 over 2.3
LAST RAINOct. 210.04 in · 24 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Gila County
NWS Phoenix and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 2:15 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:56 AM5:22 PM ↓
10 h 26 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
31
GOODAir quality index · ozone
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
partly cloudy day
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
showers day
TEMPERATURE °F
60°
46°
67°
46°
70°
50°
CHANCE OF RAIN
65% · 0.06 in Tuesday afternoon 50%
WIND, MPH
3
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
5
8
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 45 to 54°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
64° 46°
20% rain — W 3 A
SUN Nov. 15 Sunny Sunny
69° 46°
0% rain — NNE 1 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
72° 50°
0% rain — ENE 4 A
TUE Nov. 17 Showers likely Showers likely
66° 46°
70% rain 0.4–1.9″ SSW 8 C
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
65° 43°
0% rain — SSW 1 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
69° 45°
30% rain — SSW 3 B
FRI Nov. 20 Chance of showers Chance of showers
62° 40°
30% rain up to 0.2″ SW 3 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Tonto Basin about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the southern Rockies three days ago, about 350 miles back along its path. The nine paths traced from around the city fan out, so treat that as a best guess. Near the ground the air came from the southern Rockies; at 10,000 feet, from the Sonoran Desert. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO Nov. 15, 2022

The coldest this week has been

27° on Nov. 15, 2022, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1905. Next is 28° in 1938.

28°
27°
19382022
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Roosevelt 1 S record since 1905.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Tonto Basin stands on

Tonto Basin’s center stands about 2,250 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 2,190 ft to 3,920 ft, a difference of 1,730 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Four Peaks, about 7,540 ft, 10 miles south.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Holocene surficial deposits (silt, clay), from the Holocene, less than 10,000 years old.

The section below crosses 8 rock units mapped at the surface.

Tonto Basin, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
2,000 ft4,000 ft6,000 ft TONTO BASIN2,250 ftRed Rock4,930 ftLow point2,130 ft ← NWSE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 4×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Pliocene to middle Miocene deposits

Conglomerate, sandstone. Age: Early Miocene to Pleistocene, 2 to 16 million years old. About 10 mi of the line.

Holocene surficial deposits

Silt, clay. Age: Holocene, less than 10,000 years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Early Proterozoic metamorphic rocks

Metasedimentary, metavolcanic, gneiss. Age: Paleoproterozoic, 1.6 to 1.8 billion years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Early Proterozoic granitic rocks

Granite, granodiorite, tonalite. Age: Paleoproterozoic, 1.6 to 1.8 billion years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Late and middle Pleistocene surficial deposits

Gravel, sand. Age: Pleistocene, less than 0.8 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Early Pleistocene to latest Pliocene surficial deposits

Gravel, sand. Age: Late Pliocene to Pleistocene, 0.8 to 3 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 2 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Tonto Basin’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Tonto Basin reaches the Gulf of California by way of Tonto Creek, the Salt River, the Gila and the Colorado: about 430 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Tonto Basin≈ 430 mi · the Gulf of California
FROM THE CENTER OF TONTO BASIN ≈ 430 mi to the Gulf of California Tonto Creek → Salt River → Gila → Colorado

200 miles of the trip are on the Gila.

Often dry. About 60% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Seldom reaches the sea. Dams and canals now take nearly all of the Colorado before its old delta in Mexico.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Tonto Basin; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Tonto Basin’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1905 · Roosevelt 1 S, 17 mi southeast

Tonto Basin has a hot semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 104° in July; winter nights fall to about 40° in January. About 16 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

61°40°66°43°74°48°82°54°91°63°102°72°104°78°102°77°96°71°85°59°71°48°60°40° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY TONTO BASIN 15.9 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average104° / 78°high / low, the warmest month
January, average61° / 40°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year15.9 inwettest months: January and August
Snow a year0.2 insnowiest: March
Hottest on record117°FJune 20, 2016
Coldest on record18°FDecember 18, 1908
Wettest day on record4.73 inSeptember 13, 2023
Snowiest day on record4.3 inMarch 12, 2006
90° days a year151about 80 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°9a year, on average
Climate typeHot semi-aridKöppen BSh

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Dec. 15, to the last in spring, about Feb. 5 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and upMay 12 to Oct. 3; normal highs reach 90°
3Wettest stretchDecember through February: 6.0 of the year’s 15.9 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Tonto Basin normally reaches 72° and falls to 48°. The record high is 85°, in 1953; the record low 28°, in 1938. The most rain on this date, 1.63 in, fell in 1968.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high61°66°74°82°91°102°104°102°96°85°71°60°
Normal low40°43°48°54°63°72°78°77°71°59°48°40°
Rain, inches2.211.701.720.580.330.131.572.101.420.981.082.09
Record high80° (1951)87° (1951)99° (2026)100° (2000)113° (1910)117° (2016)116° (2006)115° (2003)115° (1950)104° (2024)90° (1950)83° (1950)
Record low19° (1963)19° (2023)23° (2023)29° (2023)35° (1978)43° (1978)54° (2021)50° (1978)39° (1907)26° (1906)24° (1976)18° (1908)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1905 at Roosevelt 1 S, 17 miles southeast, 360 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Tonto Basin on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Scottsdale AZ · 34 MI 34 miles west Mesa AZ · 39 MI 39 miles southwest Gilbert AZ · 45 MI 45 miles southwest Phoenix AZ · 49 MI 49 miles west Chandler AZ · 50 MI 50 miles southwest Tucson AZ · 119 MI 119 miles south
FORECASTCITY
Map of Tonto Basin, Arizona. Explore the plate
ARIZONA · GILA

Tonto Basin

1,444 people, 2,250 ft above sea level in Gila County.

2,250 ftElevation
1,444People
32 sq miLand
Sunny 52°
SunnyDew point 46°
1

Today in Tonto Basin

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now partly cloudy day 60° 16%
5p mostly clear night 63° 2%
8p mostly clear night 54° 1%
11p mostly clear night 51° 0%
2a mostly clear night 50° 0%
5a mostly clear night 49° 0%
Showers
NEXT RAINTuesday around noon · 65%
→
Sat20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46
64
A
Sun0%
Sunny Sunny
46
69
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
50
72
A
Tue70%
Showers likely Showers likely
46
66
C
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
43
65
B
Thu30%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
45
69
B
Fri30%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
40
62
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO · NOV. 15, 2022

27°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1905.

2

What Tonto Basin stands on

Tonto Basin’s center stands about 2,250 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 2,190 ft to 3,920 ft, a difference of 1,730 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Four Peaks, about 7,540 ft, 10 miles south.

Tonto Basin, northwest to southeast Tonto Basin2,250 ftRed Rock4,930 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 9×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center2,250 ft
Within 3 miles2,190 to 3,920 ft
Lie of the landSteep hill country (1,730 ft of relief)
High point nearbyFour Peaks, 7,540 ft, 10 mi south
Rock at the surfaceHolocene surficial deposits
Its ageHolocene, less than 10,000 years old
5

Tonto Basin’s year

Tonto Basin has a hot semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 104° in July; winter nights fall to about 40° in January. About 16 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 15.9 in
July, average104° / 78° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average61° / 40° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year15.9 in · wettest months: January and August
Snow a year0.2 in · snowiest: March
Hottest on record117°F · June 20, 2016
Coldest on record18°F · December 18, 1908
Wettest day on record4.73 in · September 13, 2023
Snowiest day on record4.3 in · March 12, 2006
90° days a year151 · about 80 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°9 · a year, on average
Climate typeHot semi-arid · Köppen BSh
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Dec. 15, to the last in spring, about Feb. 5 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and up · May 12 to Oct. 3; normal highs reach 90°
3Wettest stretch · December through February: 6.0 of the year’s 15.9 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Tonto Basin normally reaches 72° and falls to 48°. The record high is 85°, in 1953; the record low 28°, in 1938. The most rain on this date, 1.63 in, fell in 1968.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1905 at Roosevelt 1 S, 17 miles southeast, 360 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 430 mito the Gulf of CaliforniaTonto Creek → Salt River → Gila → Colorado

A raindrop that lands in Tonto Basin reaches the Gulf of California by way of Tonto Creek, the Salt River, the Gila and the Colorado: about 430 river miles.

200 miles of the trip are on the Gila.

Often dry. About 60% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Seldom reaches the sea. Dams and canals now take nearly all of the Colorado before its old delta in Mexico.