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Shaded-relief map of Tumacacori-Carmen, Arizona: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
ARIZONA · SANTA CRUZ COUNTY

Tumacacori-Carmen

329 people, 3,270 ft above sea level in Santa Cruz County.

3,270 ftElevation, city center
329People, 2024 estimate
2 sq miLand area
Sunny 62°
Sunny now Dew point 46° · WSW 7 mph · high 63°
City of Tumacacori-Carmen River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Tumacacori-Carmen plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Tumacacori-Carmen

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 4:00 PM MST
RIGHT NOW Nogales International Airport (KOLS) · 4:54 PM
Sunny
62° Sunny Feels like 62° · high of 63° near 5 PM
WindWSW 7 mphno gusts
Humidity56%rising to 100% by morning
Pressure30.02 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 46° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Showers
Tuesday30% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 130.14 in · 1 dry day
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Santa Cruz County
NWS Tucson and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 5:18 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:51 AM5:26 PM ↓
10 h 34 m of daylight, 1 minute less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 27% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
11
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
Tomorrow: 52, moderate. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear day
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
TEMPERATURE °F
63°
43°
70°
46°
73°
49°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
5
0
0
0
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 41 to 48°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 74° / 40°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
63° 43°
0% rain — W 2 A
SUN Nov. 15 Sunny Sunny
70° 44°
0% rain — ESE 0 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
74° 47°
0% rain — S 6 A
TUE Nov. 17 Chance of showers Chance of showers
69° 44°
30% rain up to 0.4″ SW 12 C
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
68° 42°
0% rain — SW 2 B
THU Nov. 19 Sunny Sunny
71° 43°
0% rain — SSW 7 B
FRI Nov. 20 Sunny Sunny
66° 40°
10% rain — W 7 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Tumacacori-Carmen about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Texas three days ago, and over Baja California a day ago, about 480 miles back along its path. Most of the nine paths traced from around the city agree. Near the ground the air came from Texas; at 10,000 feet, from northern Mexico. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 2014 Nov. 17, 2014

The coldest this week has been

14° on Nov. 17, 2014, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1946. Next is 18° in 1958.

18°
14°
19582014
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Tumacacori Nm record since 1946.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Tumacacori-Carmen stands on

Tumacacori-Carmen’s center stands about 3,270 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 3,210 ft to 4,580 ft, a difference of 1,370 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Mount Wrightson, about 9,340 ft, 15 miles northeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Holocene river alluvium (sand, gravel), from the Holocene, less than 10,000 years old.

The section below crosses 8 rock units mapped at the surface.

Tumacacori-Carmen, cut in half from southwest to northeast

A section southwest to northeast, 24 miles through the town center
3,000 ft4,000 ft5,000 ft6,000 ft TUMACACORI-CARMEN3,270 ftHigh point of the line6,120 ft ← SWNE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 7×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Middle Miocene to Oligocene volcanic rocks

Basalt, andesite, dacite. Age: Middle Eocene to Late Miocene, 11 to 38 million years old. About 8 mi of the line.

Early Pleistocene to latest Pliocene surficial deposits

Gravel, sand. Age: Late Pliocene to Pleistocene, 0.8 to 3 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Early Tertiary to Late Cretaceous volcanic rocks

Rhyolite, dacite, andesite. Age: Late Cretaceous to Early Eocene, 50 to 82 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Quaternary surficial deposits, undivided

Sand, silt, clay. Age: Pleistocene to Holocene, less than 2 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Early Tertiary to Late Cretaceous granitic rocks

Granite, granodiorite, diorite. Age: Late Cretaceous to Early Eocene, 50 to 82 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Early Proterozoic metamorphic rocks

Metasedimentary, metavolcanic, gneiss. Age: Paleoproterozoic, 1.6 to 1.8 billion years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 2 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Tumacacori-Carmen’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1946 · Tumacacori Nm

Tumacacori-Carmen has a cold semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 95° in June; winter nights fall to about 32° in January. About 16 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

63°32°66°34°72°38°78°42°86°49°95°59°93°67°91°66°89°60°81°48°71°38°63°32° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 TODAY 15.9 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
June, average95° / 59°high / low, the warmest month
January, average63° / 32°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year15.9 inwettest months: July and August
Snow a year0.1 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record113°FJuly 5, 1983
Coldest on record4°FJanuary 12, 2013
Wettest day on record3.63 inOctober 1, 1983
Snowiest day on record6.8 inNovember 16, 1958
90° days a year118about 23 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°59a year, on average
Climate typeCold semi-aridKöppen BSk

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Nov. 7, to the last in spring, about April 3 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and upMay 26 to Sept. 11; normal highs reach 90°
3Lows below freezingDec. 7 to Feb. 1; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretchJuly through September: 9.0 of the year’s 15.9 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Tumacacori-Carmen normally reaches 72° and falls to 39°. The record high is 89°, in 1967; the record low 24°, in 1961. The most rain on this date, 0.50 in, fell in 1968.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high63°66°72°78°86°95°93°91°89°81°71°63°
Normal low32°34°38°42°49°59°67°66°60°48°38°32°
Rain, inches1.151.070.810.310.170.473.793.351.831.090.891.02
Record high89° (1971)92° (1957)100° (2026)100° (1989)109° (1958)113° (1970)113° (1983)109° (2025)108° (1950)104° (1980)93° (1980)88° (1970)
Record low4° (2013)9° (2013)15° (2002)20° (2014)28° (1950)38° (1995)42° (1995)47° (1958)36° (1965)18° (2013)9° (2014)5° (1978)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1946 at Tumacacori Nm, here. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Tumacacori-Carmen on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Sahuarita AZ · 25 MI 25 miles north Drexel Heights AZ · 40 MI 40 miles north Tucson AZ · 42 MI 42 miles north Gilbert AZ · 127 MI 127 miles north Mesa AZ · 132 MI 132 miles north Phoenix AZ · 151 MI 151 miles northwest
FORECASTCITY
Map of Tumacacori-Carmen, Arizona. Explore the plate
ARIZONA · SANTA CRUZ

Tumacacori-Carmen

329 people, 3,270 ft above sea level in Santa Cruz County.

3,270 ftElevation
329People
2 sq miLand
Sunny 62°
SunnyDew point 46°
1

Today in Tumacacori-Carmen

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly clear night 63° 0%
8p mostly clear night 56° 1%
11p mostly clear night 50° 0%
2a mostly clear night 47° 0%
5a mostly clear night 44° 0%
8a mostly sunny 48° 0%
Showers
NEXT RAINTuesday · 30%
→
Sat0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
43
63
A
Sun0%
Sunny Sunny
44
70
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
47
74
A
Tue30%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
44
69
C
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
42
68
B
Thu0%
Sunny Sunny
43
71
B
Fri10%
Sunny Sunny
40
66
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 2014 · NOV. 17, 2014

14°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1946.

2

What Tumacacori-Carmen stands on

Tumacacori-Carmen’s center stands about 3,270 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 3,210 ft to 4,580 ft, a difference of 1,370 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Mount Wrightson, about 9,340 ft, 15 miles northeast.

Tumacacori-Carmen, southwest to northeast Tumacacori-Carmen3,270 ft ← SWNE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 13×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center3,270 ft
Within 3 miles3,210 to 4,580 ft
Lie of the landSteep hill country (1,370 ft of relief)
High point nearbyMount Wrightson, 9,340 ft, 15 mi northeast
Rock at the surfaceHolocene river alluvium
Its ageHolocene, less than 10,000 years old
5

Tumacacori-Carmen’s year

Tumacacori-Carmen has a cold semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 95° in June; winter nights fall to about 32° in January. About 16 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 15.9 in
June, average95° / 59° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average63° / 32° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year15.9 in · wettest months: July and August
Snow a year0.1 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record113°F · July 5, 1983
Coldest on record4°F · January 12, 2013
Wettest day on record3.63 in · October 1, 1983
Snowiest day on record6.8 in · November 16, 1958
90° days a year118 · about 23 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°59 · a year, on average
Climate typeCold semi-arid · Köppen BSk
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Nov. 7, to the last in spring, about April 3 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and up · May 26 to Sept. 11; normal highs reach 90°
3Lows below freezing · Dec. 7 to Feb. 1; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretch · July through September: 9.0 of the year’s 15.9 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Tumacacori-Carmen normally reaches 72° and falls to 39°. The record high is 89°, in 1967; the record low 24°, in 1961. The most rain on this date, 0.50 in, fell in 1968.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1946 at Tumacacori Nm, here. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.