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Shaded-relief map of Turkey Creek, Arizona: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
ARIZONA · NAVAJO COUNTY

Turkey Creek

377 people, 5,240 ft above sea level in Navajo County.

5,240 ftElevation, city center
377People, 2024 estimate
1 sq miLand area
Clear 43°
Clear now Dew point 34° · W 9 mph · high 40°
City of Turkey Creek River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Turkey Creek plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Turkey Creek

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM MST
RIGHT NOW Springerville Municipal Airport (KJTC) · 5:55 PM
Clear
43° Clear Feels like 37° · high of 40° near 6 PM
WindW 9 mphno gusts
Humidity70%rising to 100% by morning
Pressure30.06 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 34° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Showers
Tuesday, around noonin about 66 hours · 41% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT0.2–1.1 inmost likely 0.5; 1 in 10 over 1.4
LAST RAINNov. 20.2 in · 12 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Navajo County
NWS Flagstaff and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:15 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:51 AM5:17 PM ↓
10 h 26 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 27% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
—
Air quality index ·
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear day
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
showers day
showers day
TEMPERATURE °F
40°
29°
54°
32°
55°
37°
CHANCE OF RAIN
41% · 0.12 in Tuesday afternoon 50%
WIND, MPH
2
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
6
7
5
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 29 to 41°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
40° 29°
10% rain — W 2 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly sunny; warmer Mostly sunny; warmer
55° 32°
0% rain — E 1 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
56° 37°
0% rain — E 3 A
TUE Nov. 17 Showers likely Showers likely
53° 34°
90% rain 0.2–1.1″ SSW 5 B
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
51° 31°
10% rain — SSW 1 C
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
55° 33°
20% rain — S 2 B
FRI Nov. 20 Chance of showers Chance of showers
48° 27°
30% rain up to 0.4″ WSW 2 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Turkey Creek about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Texas three days ago, and over the Rockies a day ago, about 430 miles back along its path. Most of the nine paths traced from around the city agree. It rose from near the ground on the way. Near the ground the air came from the Rockies; at 10,000 feet, from the southern Rockies. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

MILE2
THE GROUND

What Turkey Creek stands on

Turkey Creek’s center stands about 5,240 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 5,000 ft to 6,420 ft, a difference of 1,420 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is McKays Peak, about 9,140 ft, 15 miles northeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Permian to Pennsylvanian sedimentary rocks (sandstone, shale, limestone), from the Middle Pennsylvanian to Permian, 280 to 310 million years old.

The section below crosses 4 rock units mapped at the surface.

Turkey Creek, cut in half from west to east

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
5,000 ft6,000 ft7,000 ft TURKEY CREEK5,240 ftLow point4,530 ftWhite Riverabout 4,840 ftCanyon Day4,840 ftEast Fork5,370 ftHigh point of the line8,000 ft ← WE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 6×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Permian to Pennsylvanian sedimentary rocks

Sandstone, shale, limestone. Age: Middle Pennsylvanian to Permian, 280 to 310 million years old. About 15 mi of the line.

Oligocene to Paleocene[?] sedimentary rocks

Conglomerate, sandstone. Age: Early Paleocene to Early Oligocene, 30 to 65 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Holocene to middle Pliocene basaltic rocks

Basalt. Age: Early Pliocene to Holocene, less than 4 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Middle Miocene to Oligocene volcanic rocks

Basalt, andesite, dacite. Age: Middle Eocene to Late Miocene, 11 to 38 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Turkey Creek’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Turkey Creek reaches the Gulf of California by way of the White River, the Salt River, the Gila and the Colorado: about 540 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Turkey Creek≈ 540 mi · the Gulf of California
FROM THE CENTER OF TURKEY CREEK ≈ 540 mi to the Gulf of California White River → Salt River → Gila → Colorado

200 miles of the trip are on the Gila.

Often dry. About 40% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Seldom reaches the sea. Dams and canals now take nearly all of the Colorado before its old delta in Mexico.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Turkey Creek; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Turkey Creek on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Mesa AZ · 106 MI 106 miles west Gilbert AZ · 109 MI 109 miles west Phoenix AZ · 124 MI 124 miles west Tucson AZ · 126 MI 126 miles southwest
FORECASTCITY
Map of Turkey Creek, Arizona. Explore the plate
ARIZONA · NAVAJO

Turkey Creek

377 people, 5,240 ft above sea level in Navajo County.

5,240 ftElevation
377People
1 sq miLand
Clear 43°
ClearDew point 34°
1

Today in Turkey Creek

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy night 40° 6%
9p partly cloudy night 38° 1%
12a partly cloudy night 35° 0%
3a mostly clear night 32° 0%
6a mostly clear night 30° 0%
9a clear day 40° 0%
Showers
NEXT RAINTuesday around noon · 41%
→
Sat10%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
29
40
A
Sun0%
Mostly sunny; warmer Mostly sunny; warmer
32
55
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
37
56
A
Tue90%
Showers likely Showers likely
34
53
B
Wed10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
31
51
C
Thu20%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
33
55
B
Fri30%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
27
48
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
2

What Turkey Creek stands on

Turkey Creek’s center stands about 5,240 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 5,000 ft to 6,420 ft, a difference of 1,420 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is McKays Peak, about 9,140 ft, 15 miles northeast.

Turkey Creek, west to east Turkey Creek5,240 ftWhite Riverabout 4,840 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 11×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center5,240 ft
Within 3 miles5,000 to 6,420 ft
Lie of the landSteep hill country (1,420 ft of relief)
High point nearbyMcKays Peak, 9,140 ft, 15 mi northeast
Rock at the surfacePermian to Pennsylvanian sedimentary rocks
Its ageMiddle Pennsylvanian to Permian, 280 to 310 million years old
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 540 mito the Gulf of CaliforniaWhite River → Salt River → Gila → Colorado

A raindrop that lands in Turkey Creek reaches the Gulf of California by way of the White River, the Salt River, the Gila and the Colorado: about 540 river miles.

200 miles of the trip are on the Gila.

Often dry. About 40% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Seldom reaches the sea. Dams and canals now take nearly all of the Colorado before its old delta in Mexico.