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Shaded-relief map of Ceres, California: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
CALIFORNIA · STANISLAUS COUNTY

Ceres

49,253 people, 90 ft above sea level in Stanislaus County.

90 ftElevation, city center
49,253People, 2024 estimate
9 sq miLand area
Sunny 64°
Sunny now Dew point 48° · Calm · high 67°
City of Ceres River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Ceres plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Ceres

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 12:00 PM PST
RIGHT NOW Merced Regional Airport (KMCE) · 12:53 PM
Sunny
64° Sunny Feels like 64° · high of 67° near 3 PM
WindCalmno gusts
Humidity56%falling to 49% this afternoon
Pressure29.98 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 48° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Tomorrow, about 11 PMin about 34 hours · 74% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT0–0.2 inmost likely 0; 1 in 10 over 0.4
LAST RAINOct. 310.01 in · 14 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Stanislaus County
NWS Sacramento and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 1:15 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:42 AM4:54 PM ↓
10 h 11 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
30
GOODAir quality index · ozone
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
1p
4p
7p
10p
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1a
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7a
10a
1p
4p
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1a
4a
7a
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mostly sunny
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
rain
rain
rain
rain
rain
showers day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
TEMPERATURE °F
65°
46°
67°
51°
59°
43°
CHANCE OF RAIN
74% · 0.18 in Monday morning 50%
WIND, MPH
0
0
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 43 to 52°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 67° / 41°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
67° 43°
0% rain — SSE 0 A
SUN Nov. 15 Chance of showers Chance of showers
69° 47°
40% rain up to 0.2″ SE 8 A
MON Nov. 16 Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
60° 39°
70% rain 0.1–0.6″ NW 8 C
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
61° 39°
0% rain — N 2 B
WED Nov. 18 Showers likely Showers likely
55° 43°
90% rain 0.6–1.7″ SE 17, gusts 35 C
THU Nov. 19 Showers likely Showers likely
59° 40°
70% rain 0.1–1.2″ SE 15, gusts 30 C
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
59° 37°
10% rain — SE 5 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Ceres about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Sonoran Desert three days ago, and over the California coast a day ago, about 760 miles back along its path. Most of the nine paths traced from around the city agree. It came down from about 12,800 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from the Pacific off California; at 10,000 feet, from the California coast. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1989 Nov. 12, 1989

The hottest this week has been

80° on Nov. 12, 1989, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1906. Next is 80° in 1995.

80°
80°
19951989
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Modesto Airport record since 1906.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Ceres stands on

Ceres’s center stands about 90 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 60 ft to 110 ft, a difference of 50 ft: nearly flat ground.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Quaternary alluvium and marine deposits (coarse-detrital), from the Pleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old.

The section below crosses 2 rock units mapped at the surface.

Ceres, cut in half from southwest to northeast

A section southwest to northeast, 24 miles through the town center
100 ft CERES90 ftSan Joaquin Riverabout 30 ftCowan80 ftTuolumne Riverabout 60 ftEmpire120 ftHigh point of the line190 ft ← SW · PattersonNE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Quaternary alluvium and marine deposits

Coarse-detrital. Age: Pleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 22 mi of the line.

Plio-Pleistocene and Pliocene loosely consolidated deposits

Sandstone, conglomerate. Age: Miocene to Pleistocene, less than 23 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Ceres’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Ceres reaches San Francisco Bay and the Pacific Ocean by way of the San Joaquin and New York Slough: about 100 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Ceres≈ 100 mi · San Francisco Bay and the Pacific Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF CERES ≈ 100 mi to San Francisco Bay and the Pacific Ocean San Joaquin → New York Slough

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Ceres; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Ceres’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1906 · Modesto Airport, 2 mi north

Ceres has a cold semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 95° in July; winter nights fall to about 39° in January. About 12 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

56°39°62°42°68°45°74°48°82°54°90°59°95°63°93°62°89°59°79°52°66°43°56°39° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY CERES 12.3 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average95° / 63°high / low, the warmest month
January, average56° / 39°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year12.3 inwettest months: January and February
Hottest on record113°FJuly 24, 2006
Coldest on record18°FJanuary 11, 1949
Wettest day on record2.72 inMarch 4, 1978
Snowiest day on record1.5 inJanuary 21, 1962
90° days a year90about 18 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°12a year, on average
Climate typeCold semi-aridKöppen BSk

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Dec. 4, to the last in spring, about Jan. 30 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and upJune 15 to Sept. 15; normal highs reach 90°
3Wettest stretchDecember through February: 7.0 of the year’s 12.3 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Ceres normally reaches 66° and falls to 43°. The record high is 79°, in 1995; the record low 27°, in 1938. The most rain on this date, 0.89 in, fell in 1968.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high56°62°68°74°82°90°95°93°89°79°66°56°
Normal low39°42°45°48°54°59°63°62°59°52°43°39°
Rain, inches2.572.221.781.000.650.150.000.010.060.551.072.21
Record high75° (1998)80° (2026)91° (2026)100° (1981)107° (2009)112° (1961)113° (2006)111° (2020)112° (2022)104° (2024)88° (1997)75° (1995)
Record low18° (1949)24° (1989)27° (1971)30° (1929)32° (1959)39° (1950)46° (1935)46° (1957)40° (1948)29° (1935)25° (1961)18° (1932)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1906 at Modesto Airport, 2 miles north. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Ceres on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Modesto CA · 3 MI 3 miles northwest Stockton CA · 32 MI 32 miles northwest San Jose CA · 51 MI 51 miles southwest Sacramento CA · 72 MI 72 miles north Fresno CA · 86 MI 86 miles southeast San Francisco CA · 113 MI 113 miles west
FORECASTCITY
Map of Ceres, California. Explore the plate
CALIFORNIA · STANISLAUS

Ceres

49,253 people, 90 ft above sea level in Stanislaus County.

90 ftElevation
49,253People
9 sq miLand
Sunny 64°
SunnyDew point 48°
1

Today in Ceres

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly sunny 65° 0%
4p mostly sunny 65° 0%
7p partly cloudy night 55° 0%
10p partly cloudy night 50° 0%
1a mostly cloudy night 48° 0%
4a mostly cloudy night 46° 0%
Rain
NEXT RAINTomorrow about 11 PM · 74%
→
Sat0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
43
67
A
Sun40%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
47
69
A
Mon70%
Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
39
60
C
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
39
61
B
Wed90%
Showers likely Showers likely
43
55
C
Thu70%
Showers likely Showers likely
40
59
C
Fri10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
37
59
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1989 · NOV. 12, 1989

80°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1906.

2

What Ceres stands on

Ceres’s center stands about 90 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 60 ft to 110 ft, a difference of 50 ft: nearly flat ground.

Ceres, southwest to northeast Ceres90 ftSan Joaquin Riverabout 30 ftHigh point190 ft ← SWNE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center90 ft
Within 3 miles60 to 110 ft
Lie of the landNearly flat (50 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceQuaternary alluvium and marine deposits
Its agePleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old
5

Ceres’s year

Ceres has a cold semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 95° in July; winter nights fall to about 39° in January. About 12 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 12.3 in
July, average95° / 63° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average56° / 39° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year12.3 in · wettest months: January and February
Hottest on record113°F · July 24, 2006
Coldest on record18°F · January 11, 1949
Wettest day on record2.72 in · March 4, 1978
Snowiest day on record1.5 in · January 21, 1962
90° days a year90 · about 18 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°12 · a year, on average
Climate typeCold semi-arid · Köppen BSk
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Dec. 4, to the last in spring, about Jan. 30 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and up · June 15 to Sept. 15; normal highs reach 90°
3Wettest stretch · December through February: 7.0 of the year’s 12.3 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Ceres normally reaches 66° and falls to 43°. The record high is 79°, in 1995; the record low 27°, in 1938. The most rain on this date, 0.89 in, fell in 1968.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1906 at Modesto Airport, 2 miles north. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 100 mito the PacificSan Joaquin → New York Slough

A raindrop that lands in Ceres reaches San Francisco Bay and the Pacific Ocean by way of the San Joaquin and New York Slough: about 100 river miles.