FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Grayson, California: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
CALIFORNIA · STANISLAUS COUNTY

Grayson

1,041 people, 50 ft above sea level in Stanislaus County.

50 ftElevation, city center
1,041People, 2024 estimate
0 sq miLand area
Sunny 61°
Sunny now Dew point 52° · N 3 mph · high 67°
City of Grayson River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Grayson plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Grayson

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 10:00 AM PST
RIGHT NOW Merced Regional Airport (KMCE) · 10:53 AM
Sunny
61° Sunny Feels like 61° · high of 67° near 3 PM
WindN 3 mphno gusts
Humidity72%falling to 50% this afternoon
Pressure30.01 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 52° · Dry43° by Tuesday: drier air arrives
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Tomorrow, about 11 PMin about 36 hours · 74% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT0–0.1 inmost likely 0; 1 in 10 over 0.5
LAST RAINOct. 310.01 in · 14 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Stanislaus County
NWS Sacramento and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 11:15 AM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:43 AM4:55 PM ↓
10 h 11 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
39
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
rain
rain
rain
rain
showers day
showers day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
61°
46°
67°
51°
60°
43°
CHANCE OF RAIN
74% · 0.18 in Monday morning 50%
WIND, MPH
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
7
9
7
5
2
4
7
8
9
9
9
8
6
5
5
5
5
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 43 to 52°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 67° / 41°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
67° 43°
0% rain — WSW 0 A
SUN Nov. 15 Chance of showers Chance of showers
69° 47°
40% rain up to 0.1″ SSE 8 A
MON Nov. 16 Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
61° 39°
70% rain 0.1–0.7″ NW 9 C
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
60° 39°
0% rain — N 1 B
WED Nov. 18 Showers likely Showers likely
55° 42°
90% rain 0.6–1.5″ SE 16, gusts 32 C
THU Nov. 19 Showers likely Showers likely
58° 39°
70% rain 0.06–1.1″ SE 13 C
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
59° 36°
10% rain — ESE 5 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Grayson about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the California coast three days ago, about 630 miles back along its path. The nine paths traced from around the city fan out, so treat that as a best guess. It rose from near the ground on the way. Near the ground the air came from the California coast; at 10,000 feet, from the Mojave Desert. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1978 Nov. 15, 1978

The coldest this week has been

28° on Nov. 15, 1978, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1906. Next is 28° in 2022.

28°
28°
20221978
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Tracy Carbona record since 1906.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Grayson stands on

Grayson’s center stands about 50 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 30 ft to 140 ft, a difference of 110 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Mount Oso, about 3,330 ft, 11 miles west-southwest.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Quaternary alluvium and marine deposits (coarse-detrital), from the Pleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old.

The section below crosses 5 rock units mapped at the surface.

Grayson, cut in half from west to east

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
0 ft1,000 ft2,000 ft3,000 ft GRAYSON50 ftMount Oso3,330 ftSan Joaquin Riverabout 30 ftTuolumne Riverabout 40 ftWest Modesto60 ftModesto70 ft ← WAirport · E →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 6×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Quaternary alluvium and marine deposits

Coarse-detrital. Age: Pleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 18 mi of the line.

Franciscan melange

Melange. Age: Jurassic to Cretaceous, 66 to 202 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Upper Cretaceous marine rocks, unit 1 (Upper Great Valley Sequence)

Sandstone, siltstone-mudstone. Age: Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Plio-Pleistocene and Pliocene loosely consolidated deposits

Sandstone, conglomerate. Age: Miocene to Pleistocene, less than 23 million years old. About 0.4 mi of the line.

Mesozoic volcanic rocks, unit 1 (Coast Ranges)

Greenstone. Age: Jurassic to Cretaceous, 66 to 202 million years old. About 0.3 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Grayson’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Grayson reaches San Francisco Bay and the Pacific Ocean by way of the San Joaquin and New York Slough: about 90 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Grayson≈ 90 mi · San Francisco Bay and the Pacific Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF GRAYSON ≈ 90 mi to San Francisco Bay and the Pacific Ocean San Joaquin → New York Slough

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Grayson; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Grayson’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1906 · Tracy Carbona, 12 mi northwest

Grayson has a hot-summer Mediterranean climate. Summer afternoons average 93° in July; winter nights fall to about 36° in January. About 13 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

57°36°62°39°68°42°73°45°80°50°88°55°93°57°92°56°88°54°79°48°67°41°56°36° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY GRAYSON 12.7 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average93° / 57°high / low, the warmest month
January, average57° / 36°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year12.7 inwettest months: February and January
Hottest on record112°FSeptember 7, 2022
Coldest on record17°FDecember 24, 1998
Wettest day on record2.49 inAugust 22, 1968
Climate typeHot-summer MediterraneanKöppen Csa

AROUND THE RING

1Highs of 90° and upJune 20 to Sept. 13; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretchDecember through February: 7.2 of the year’s 12.7 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Grayson normally reaches 68° and falls to 41°. The record high is 80°, in 1995; the record low 29°, in 2022. The most rain on this date, 1.08 in, fell in 1981.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high57°62°68°73°80°88°93°92°88°79°67°56°
Normal low36°39°42°45°50°55°57°56°54°48°41°36°
Rain, inches2.342.571.720.990.720.150.000.030.080.691.112.32
Record high74° (2021)81° (1977)92° (2026)95° (2009)105° (1984)112° (1961)111° (1991)109° (1971)112° (2022)103° (2024)85° (1949)73° (1996)
Record low18° (1961)18° (2009)24° (2021)29° (2009)34° (2021)34° (2021)35° (1995)41° (1982)36° (2026)29° (1995)24° (1952)17° (1998)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1906 at Tracy Carbona, 12 miles northwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Grayson on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Stockton CA · 29 MI 29 miles north San Jose CA · 39 MI 39 miles southwest Oakland CA · 59 MI 59 miles west Sacramento CA · 71 MI 71 miles north Fresno CA · 94 MI 94 miles southeast San Francisco CA · 102 MI 102 miles west
FORECASTCITY
Map of Grayson, California. Explore the plate
CALIFORNIA · STANISLAUS

Grayson

1,041 people, 50 ft above sea level in Stanislaus County.

50 ftElevation
1,041People
0 sq miLand
Sunny 61°
SunnyDew point 52°
1

Today in Grayson

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly sunny 61° 0%
2p mostly sunny 66° 0%
5p partly cloudy night 61° 0%
8p partly cloudy night 53° 0%
11p partly cloudy night 49° 0%
2a partly cloudy night 47° 0%
Rain
NEXT RAINTomorrow about 11 PM · 74%
→
Sat0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
43
67
A
Sun40%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
47
69
A
Mon70%
Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
39
61
C
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
39
60
B
Wed90%
Showers likely Showers likely
42
55
C
Thu70%
Showers likely Showers likely
39
58
C
Fri10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
36
59
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1978 · NOV. 15, 1978

28°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1906.

2

What Grayson stands on

Grayson’s center stands about 50 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 30 ft to 140 ft, a difference of 110 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Mount Oso, about 3,330 ft, 11 miles west-southwest.

Grayson, west to east Grayson50 ftMount Oso3,330 ftSan Joaquin Riverabout 30 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 12×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center50 ft
Within 3 miles30 to 140 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (110 ft of relief)
High point nearbyMount Oso, 3,330 ft, 11 mi west-southwest
Rock at the surfaceQuaternary alluvium and marine deposits
Its agePleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old
5

Grayson’s year

Grayson has a hot-summer Mediterranean climate. Summer afternoons average 93° in July; winter nights fall to about 36° in January. About 13 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 12.7 in
July, average93° / 57° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average57° / 36° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year12.7 in · wettest months: February and January
Hottest on record112°F · September 7, 2022
Coldest on record17°F · December 24, 1998
Wettest day on record2.49 in · August 22, 1968
Climate typeHot-summer Mediterranean · Köppen Csa
1Highs of 90° and up · June 20 to Sept. 13; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretch · December through February: 7.2 of the year’s 12.7 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Grayson normally reaches 68° and falls to 41°. The record high is 80°, in 1995; the record low 29°, in 2022. The most rain on this date, 1.08 in, fell in 1981.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1906 at Tracy Carbona, 12 miles northwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 90 mito the PacificSan Joaquin → New York Slough

A raindrop that lands in Grayson reaches San Francisco Bay and the Pacific Ocean by way of the San Joaquin and New York Slough: about 90 river miles.