FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Frederick, Colorado: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
COLORADO · WELD COUNTY

Frederick

17,937 people, 4,980 ft above sea level in Weld County.

4,980 ftElevation, city center
17,937People, 2024 estimate
15 sq miLand area
Mostly cloudy 46°
Mostly cloudy now Dew point 36° · NE 6 mph · high 53°
City of Frederick River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Frederick plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Frederick

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 11:00 AM MST
RIGHT NOW Denver International Airport (KDEN) · 11:53 AM
Mostly cloudy
46° Mostly cloudy Feels like 43° · high of 53° near 2 PM
WindNE 6 mphno gusts
Humidity68%falling to 52% this afternoon
Pressure29.80 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsBrokenbases near 3,100 ft
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 36° · Dry27° by Tuesday: drier air arrives
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Showers
Friday60% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 30.02 in · 11 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Weld County
NWS Denver and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 12:15 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:44 AM4:44 PM ↓
10 h 0 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
74
MODERATEAir quality index · fine particles
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
fog
mostly sunny
clear day
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
48°
38°
57°
38°
62°
39°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
6
8
7
7
7
6
5
2
7
9
10
10
8
7
7
2
5
7
8
7
6
6
7
4
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 27 to 39° Drier: 27° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 56° / 26°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
53° 34°
10% rain — ESE 7 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
58° 33°
0% rain — ESE 6 B
MON Nov. 16 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
63° 34°
0% rain — SSW 5 B
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
63° 38°
0% rain — E 9 B
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
57° 32°
10% rain — E 10 C
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56° 32°
10% rain — S 10 C
FRI Nov. 20 Showers likely Showers likely
54° 30°
60% rain up to 0.3″ NW 16, gusts 28 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Frederick about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the southern Rockies three days ago, about 480 miles back along its path. The nine paths traced from around the city fan out, so treat that as a best guess. It came down from about 14,100 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from the Great Basin; at 10,000 feet, from the southern Rockies. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1950 Nov. 11, 1950

The coldest this week has been

−14° on Nov. 11, 1950, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1893. Next is −13° in 1916.

−13°
−14°
19161950
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Longmont 2 ESE record since 1893.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Frederick stands on

Frederick’s center stands about 4,980 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 4,900 ft to 5,100 ft, a difference of 200 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Gun Barrel Hill, about 5,420 ft, 12 miles west.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Laramie Fm and Fox Hills Sandstone (sandstone, shale, claystone), from the Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old.

The section below crosses 7 rock units mapped at the surface.

Thornton to Berthoud, cut in half

A section south to north, 24 miles through the town center
4,800 ft5,000 ft5,200 ft FREDERICK4,980 ftThornton5,210 ftBig Dry Creekabout 5,050 ftDacono5,090 ftFirestone4,880 ftSaint Vrain Creekabout 4,800 ft ← S · ThorntonBerthoud · N →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 35×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Denver and Arapahoe Fms

Sandstone, mudstone, conglomerate. Age: Late Cretaceous to Paleocene, 56 to 100 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Eolian deposits

Sand, silt. Age: Quaternary, less than 2.6 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Pierre Shale--Upper unit

Shale. Age: Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Laramie Fm

Shale, claystone, sandstone. Age: Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Laramie Fm and Fox Hills Sandstone

Sandstone, shale, claystone. Age: Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Gravels and alluviums

Gravel, unconsolidated. Age: Pleistocene, less than 0.5 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 1 smaller unit along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Frederick’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Frederick reaches the Gulf of America by way of Saint Vrain Creek, the South Platte, the Platte, the Missouri and the Mississippi: about 2,370 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Frederick≈ 2,370 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF FREDERICK ≈ 2,370 mi to the Gulf of America Saint Vrain Creek → South Platte → Platte → Missouri → Mississippi

1,170 miles of the trip are on the Mississippi.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Frederick; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Frederick’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1893 · Longmont 2 ESE, 9 mi west-northwest

Frederick has a cold semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 91° in July; winter nights fall to about 14° in January. About 15 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

44°14°47°17°57°26°63°32°73°41°84°50°91°56°88°54°80°46°66°33°53°24°45°14° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY FREDERICK 15.2 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average91° / 56°high / low, the warmest month
January, average44° / 14°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year15.2 inwettest months: April and May
Hottest on record106°FJune 27, 1994
Coldest on record−38°FJanuary 16, 1930
Wettest day on record4.62 inMay 30, 1896
Snowiest day on record37.0 inApril 18, 1920
Climate typeCold semi-aridKöppen BSk

AROUND THE RING

1Highs of 90° and upJuly 3 to Aug. 5; normal highs reach 90°
2Lows below freezingOct. 16 to April 18; normal lows fall below 32°
3Wettest stretchApril through June: 5.8 of the year’s 15.2 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Frederick normally reaches 54° and falls to 24°. The record high is 78°, in 1999; the record low −6°, in 1940. The most rain on this date, 0.79 in, fell in 1994.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high44°47°57°63°73°84°91°88°80°66°53°45°
Normal low14°17°26°32°41°50°56°54°46°33°24°14°
Rain, inches0.560.571.172.041.971.751.691.951.261.040.750.46
Record high75° (1982)79° (1932)92° (2026)91° (2022)100° (2003)106° (1994)106° (1973)104° (2002)101° (2020)92° (1926)83° (1931)78° (1939)
Record low−38° (1930)−36° (1951)−26° (1932)−7° (1975)18° (1989)29° (1998)38° (1994)37° (1992)18° (1985)−5° (1917)−16° (1993)−32° (1924)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1893 at Longmont 2 ESE, 9 miles west-northwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Frederick on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Denver CO · 24 MI 24 miles south Aurora CO · 31 MI 31 miles southeast Castle Rock CO · 51 MI 51 miles south Cheyenne WY · 71 MI 71 miles north Colorado Springs CO · 86 MI 86 miles south Pueblo CO · 128 MI 128 miles south
FORECASTCITY
Map of Frederick, Colorado. Explore the plate
COLORADO · WELD

Frederick

17,937 people, 4,980 ft above sea level in Weld County.

4,980 ftElevation
17,937People
15 sq miLand
Mostly cloudy 46°
Mostly cloudyDew point 36°
1

Today in Frederick

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy day 48° 1%
3p partly cloudy day 53° 1%
6p partly cloudy night 48° 2%
9p partly cloudy night 43° 1%
12a mostly clear night 40° 1%
3a partly cloudy night 39° 1%
Showers
NEXT RAINFriday · 60%
→
Sat10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
34
53
A
Sun0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
33
58
B
Mon0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
34
63
B
Tue0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
38
63
B
Wed10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
32
57
C
Thu10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
32
56
C
Fri60%
Showers likely Showers likely
30
54
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1950 · NOV. 11, 1950

−14°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1893.

2

What Frederick stands on

Frederick’s center stands about 4,980 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 4,900 ft to 5,100 ft, a difference of 200 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Gun Barrel Hill, about 5,420 ft, 12 miles west.

Frederick, south to north Frederick4,980 ftBig Dry Creekabout 5,050 ftSaint Vrain Creekabout 4,800 ft ← SN → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 66×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center4,980 ft
Within 3 miles4,900 to 5,100 ft
Lie of the landRolling (200 ft of relief)
High point nearbyGun Barrel Hill, 5,420 ft, 12 mi west
Rock at the surfaceLaramie Fm and Fox Hills Sandstone
Its ageLate Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old
5

Frederick’s year

Frederick has a cold semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 91° in July; winter nights fall to about 14° in January. About 15 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 15.2 in
July, average91° / 56° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average44° / 14° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year15.2 in · wettest months: April and May
Hottest on record106°F · June 27, 1994
Coldest on record−38°F · January 16, 1930
Wettest day on record4.62 in · May 30, 1896
Snowiest day on record37.0 in · April 18, 1920
Climate typeCold semi-arid · Köppen BSk
1Highs of 90° and up · July 3 to Aug. 5; normal highs reach 90°
2Lows below freezing · Oct. 16 to April 18; normal lows fall below 32°
3Wettest stretch · April through June: 5.8 of the year’s 15.2 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Frederick normally reaches 54° and falls to 24°. The record high is 78°, in 1999; the record low −6°, in 1940. The most rain on this date, 0.79 in, fell in 1994.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1893 at Longmont 2 ESE, 9 miles west-northwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 2,370 mito the Gulf of AmericaSaint Vrain Creek → South Platte → Platte → Missouri → Mississippi

A raindrop that lands in Frederick reaches the Gulf of America by way of Saint Vrain Creek, the South Platte, the Platte, the Missouri and the Mississippi: about 2,370 river miles.

1,170 miles of the trip are on the Mississippi.