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Shaded-relief map of Flagler Estates, Florida: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
FLORIDA · ST. JOHNS COUNTY

Flagler Estates

3,540 people, 40 ft above sea level in St. Johns County.

40 ftElevation, city center
3,540People, 2024 estimate
12 sq miLand area
Sunny 61°
Sunny now Dew point 37° · NW 10 mph · high 62°
City of Flagler Estates River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Flagler Estates plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Flagler Estates

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 12:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Palatka Kay Larkin Field (K28J) · 1:35 PM
Sunny
61° Sunny Feels like 61° · high of 62° near 2 PM
WindNW 10 mphno gusts
Humidity42%falling to 46% this afternoon
Pressure30.06 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 37° · Dry66° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Mostly cloudy
Tuesday, about 8 AMin about 66 hours · 35% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT0–0.07 inmost likely 0; 1 in 10 over 0.4
LAST RAINNov. 120.01 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for St. Johns County
NWS Jacksonville and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 1:45 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:49 AM5:31 PM ↓
10 h 41 m of daylight, 1 minute less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 24% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
10
GOODAir quality index · coarse particles
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
mostly sunny
clear day
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
rain
rain
TEMPERATURE °F
61°
45°
67°
51°
70°
57°
CHANCE OF RAIN
35% · 0.00 in Tuesday morning 50%
WIND, MPH
7
5
2
2
3
6
7
9
8
9
8
7
7
7
9
11
12
11
8
7
8
10
11
12
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 36 to 42° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 65° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
62° 44°
0% rain — N 6 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
68° 50°
0% rain — N 8 A
MON Nov. 16 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
71° 55°
10% rain — NE 11 B
TUE Nov. 17 Chance of showers Chance of showers
72° 58°
40% rain up to 0.07″ NNE 12 B
WED Nov. 18 Chance of showers Chance of showers
75° 60°
40% rain up to 0.07″ NE 12 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
78° 62°
10% rain — NE 12 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
77° 62°
20% rain — NNE 12 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Flagler Estates about 5,000 feet above the ground was over a point about 1,000 miles to the northwest three days ago, and over the Carolinas a day ago, about 1,350 miles back along its path. Most of the nine paths traced from around the city agree. It came down from about 18,100 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from a point about 890 miles to the northwest; at 10,000 feet, from the Caribbean. It feels humid. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 2002 Nov. 11, 2002

The hottest this week has been

90° on Nov. 11, 2002, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1978. Next is 86° in 1986.

86°
90°
19862002
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Hastings 4 NE record since 1978.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Flagler Estates stands on

Flagler Estates’s center stands about 40 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 10 ft to 60 ft, a difference of 50 ft: nearly flat ground.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Undifferentiated sediments (sand, clay), from the Pleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old.

The section below crosses 2 rock units mapped at the surface.

Flagler Estates, cut in half from southwest to northeast

A section southwest to northeast, 24 miles through the town center
0 ft FLAGLER ESTATES40 ftHigh point of the line90 ft ← SWNE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Undifferentiated sediments

Sand, clay. Age: Pleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 12 mi of the line.

Beach ridge and dune

Sand, clay. Age: Pleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 10 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Flagler Estates’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Flagler Estates reaches the St. Johns River and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Sixteenmile Creek and Deep Creek: about 80 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Flagler Estates≈ 80 mi · the St. Johns River and the Atlantic Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF FLAGLER ESTATES ≈ 80 mi to the St. Johns River and the Atlantic Ocean Sixteenmile Creek → Deep Creek

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Flagler Estates; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Flagler Estates’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1978 · Hastings 4 NE, 8 mi north

Flagler Estates has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 91° in July; winter nights fall to about 45° in January. About 56 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

68°45°70°47°75°51°80°56°86°62°89°69°91°72°90°72°87°70°82°62°75°54°70°48° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY 56.3 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average91° / 72°high / low, the warmest month
January, average68° / 45°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year56.3 inwettest months: September and June
Hottest on record104°FJune 30, 1998
Coldest on record12°FJanuary 21, 1985
Wettest day on record11.2 inSeptember 11, 2017
90° days a year75very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°10a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Dec. 7, to the last in spring, about Feb. 22 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and upJune 16 to Aug. 27; normal highs reach 90°
3Wettest stretchJuly through September: 22.3 of the year’s 56.3 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Flagler Estates normally reaches 75° and falls to 54°. The record high is 86°, in 2018; the record low 36°, in 1984. The most rain on this date, 2.07 in, fell in 1997.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high68°70°75°80°86°89°91°90°87°82°75°70°
Normal low45°47°51°56°62°69°72°72°70°62°54°48°
Rain, inches3.022.973.402.824.277.476.447.448.384.632.423.01
Record high86° (1991)88° (2025)92° (2020)93° (2017)99° (2006)104° (1998)102° (1998)102° (1999)97° (1999)93° (2009)90° (2019)86° (1990)
Record low12° (1985)21° (1996)25° (1980)33° (2001)42° (1992)49° (1984)59° (1988)60° (1997)50° (2026)35° (1989)27° (2000)17° (1989)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1978 at Hastings 4 NE, 8 miles north. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Flagler Estates on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Palm Coast FL · 15 MI 15 miles southeast Daytona Beach FL · 38 MI 38 miles southeast Jacksonville FL · 49 MI 49 miles north Orlando FL · 86 MI 86 miles south Tampa FL · 131 MI 131 miles southwest St. Petersburg FL · 149 MI 149 miles southwest
FORECASTCITY
Map of Flagler Estates, Florida. Explore the plate
FLORIDA · ST. JOHNS

Flagler Estates

3,540 people, 40 ft above sea level in St. Johns County.

40 ftElevation
3,540People
12 sq miLand
Sunny 61°
SunnyDew point 37°
1

Today in Flagler Estates

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now partly cloudy day 61° 0%
4p clear day 61° 0%
7p clear night 51° 0%
10p clear night 47° 0%
1a clear night 45° 0%
4a clear night 45° 0%
Mostly cloudy
NEXT RAINTuesday about 8 AM · 35%
→
Sat0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
44
62
A
Sun0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
50
68
A
Mon10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
55
71
B
Tue40%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
58
72
B
Wed40%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
60
75
B
Thu10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
62
78
B
Fri20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
62
77
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 2002 · NOV. 11, 2002

90°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1978.

2

What Flagler Estates stands on

Flagler Estates’s center stands about 40 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 10 ft to 60 ft, a difference of 50 ft: nearly flat ground.

Flagler Estates, southwest to northeast Flagler Estates40 ftHigh point90 ft ← SWNE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center40 ft
Within 3 miles10 to 60 ft
Lie of the landNearly flat (50 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceUndifferentiated sediments
Its agePleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old
5

Flagler Estates’s year

Flagler Estates has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 91° in July; winter nights fall to about 45° in January. About 56 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 56.3 in
July, average91° / 72° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average68° / 45° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year56.3 in · wettest months: September and June
Hottest on record104°F · June 30, 1998
Coldest on record12°F · January 21, 1985
Wettest day on record11.2 in · September 11, 2017
90° days a year75 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°10 · a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Dec. 7, to the last in spring, about Feb. 22 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and up · June 16 to Aug. 27; normal highs reach 90°
3Wettest stretch · July through September: 22.3 of the year’s 56.3 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Flagler Estates normally reaches 75° and falls to 54°. The record high is 86°, in 2018; the record low 36°, in 1984. The most rain on this date, 2.07 in, fell in 1997.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1978 at Hastings 4 NE, 8 miles north. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 80 mito the AtlanticSixteenmile Creek → Deep Creek

A raindrop that lands in Flagler Estates reaches the St. Johns River and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Sixteenmile Creek and Deep Creek: about 80 river miles.