FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Holmes Beach, Florida: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
FLORIDA · MANATEE COUNTY

Holmes Beach

3,049 people, 10 ft above sea level in Manatee County.

10 ftElevation, city center
3,049People, 2024 estimate
2 sq miLand area
Clear 57°
Clear now Dew point 39° · NNW 6 mph · high 61°
City of Holmes Beach River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Holmes Beach plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Holmes Beach

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 6:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport (KSRQ) · 6:53 PM
Clear
57° Clear Feels like 57° · high of 61° near 7 PM
WindNNW 6 mphno gusts
Humidity51%rising to 69% by morning
Pressure30.10 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 39° · Dry61° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 30.07 in · 11 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Manatee County
NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 7:18 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:50 AM5:39 PM ↓
10 h 48 m of daylight, 1 minute less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 27% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
37
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
mostly clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
61°
54°
73°
60°
76°
65°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
8
8
8
9
10
12
10
9
9
10
10
11
12
13
14
14
13
12
12
12
12
15
16
15
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 40 to 61° More humid: 60° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 60°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
61° 53°
0% rain — N 8 A
SUN Nov. 15 Sunny; warmer Sunny; warmer
75° 59°
0% rain — NNE 10 B
MON Nov. 16 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
78° 64°
0% rain — ENE 13, gusts 25 B
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
78° 64°
10% rain — NE 14, gusts 25 B
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
81° 65°
10% rain — ENE 14, gusts 26 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
82° 66°
0% rain — NE 14, gusts 25 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
82° 67°
10% rain — NE 13 A
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Holmes Beach about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Caribbean three days ago, and over the eastern Gulf of America a day ago, about 710 miles back along its path. Air off the water carries moisture, which is why it feels humid. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11–12, 2020

The wettest two days this week has seen

6.67 inches of rain fell in two days, the most for this week of the year since records began in 1911. The next wettest, 5.04 inches, fell in 1997.

5.04″
6.67″
19972020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Sarasota-Bradenton Area threaded record since 1911.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Holmes Beach stands on

Holmes Beach’s center stands about 10 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 0 ft to 20 ft, a difference of 20 ft: nearly flat ground. Open water lies within three miles.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

Holmes Beach, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
0 ft HOLMES BEACH10 ftSouth Bradenton40 ft ← NWWhitfield · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Shelly sediments of Plio-Pleistocene age

Sand, limestone. Age: Late Pliocene to Pleistocene, less than 3.6 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Hawthorn Group, Arcadia Formation

Limestone, dolostone. Age: Late Oligocene to Middle Miocene, 12 to 28 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

Holocene sediments

Sand. Age: Holocene, less than 12,000 years old. About 0.5 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Holmes Beach’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1911 · Sarasota Bradenton Airport, 11 mi southeast

Holmes Beach has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 92° in August; winter nights fall to about 52° in January. About 49 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

72°52°75°55°78°58°82°63°87°68°90°74°91°75°92°75°90°74°86°68°80°60°75°55° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY HOLMES BEACH 49.0 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
August, average92° / 75°high / low, the warmest month
January, average72° / 52°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year49.0 inwettest months: August and July
Hottest on record101°FAugust 13, 2007
Coldest on record20°FDecember 26, 1983
Wettest day on record11.1 inAugust 4, 2024
90° days a year97very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°1a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Highs of 90° and upJune 5 to Sept. 25; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretchJune through August: 23.5 of the year’s 49.0 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Holmes Beach normally reaches 80° and falls to 60°. The record high is 89°, in 2018; the record low 36°, in 1968. The most rain on this date, 4.80 in, fell in 1997.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high72°75°78°82°87°90°91°92°90°86°80°75°
Normal low52°55°58°63°68°74°75°75°74°68°60°55°
Rain, inches2.791.922.852.462.587.057.399.116.002.761.812.33
Record high91° (1990)90° (2018)91° (1921)96° (2017)99° (2024)100° (1998)101° (1971)101° (2007)98° (1970)99° (1962)92° (1972)90° (1971)
Record low23° (1981)21° (1917)30° (1980)37° (1915)45° (1923)52° (1984)62° (1984)60° (1972)58° (1970)40° (1944)27° (1970)20° (1983)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1911 from the Sarasota-Bradenton Area threaded record (Sarasota Bradenton Airport, 11 miles southeast). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Holmes Beach on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

St. Petersburg FL · 18 MI 18 miles north Tampa FL · 35 MI 35 miles northeast Orlando FL · 109 MI 109 miles northeast Port St. Lucie FL · 144 MI 144 miles east Hialeah FL · 187 MI 187 miles southeast Miami FL · 196 MI 196 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Holmes Beach, Florida. Explore the plate
FLORIDA · MANATEE

Holmes Beach

3,049 people, 10 ft above sea level in Manatee County.

10 ftElevation
3,049People
2 sq miLand
Clear 57°
ClearDew point 39°
1

Today in Holmes Beach

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly clear night 61° 0%
10p clear night 57° 0%
1a mostly clear night 54° 0%
4a clear night 54° 0%
7a clear day 54° 0%
10a clear day 62° 0%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53
61
A
Sun0%
Sunny; warmer Sunny; warmer
59
75
B
Mon0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
64
78
B
Tue10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
64
78
B
Wed10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
65
81
B
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
66
82
B
Fri10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
67
82
A
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11–12, 2020

6.67 inches in two days, the most for this week since 1911.

2

What Holmes Beach stands on

Holmes Beach’s center stands about 10 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 0 ft to 20 ft, a difference of 20 ft: nearly flat ground. Open water lies within three miles.

Holmes Beach, northwest to southeast Holmes Beach10 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center10 ft
Within 3 miles0 to 20 ft
Lie of the landNearly flat (20 ft of relief)
5

Holmes Beach’s year

Holmes Beach has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 92° in August; winter nights fall to about 52° in January. About 49 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 49.0 in
August, average92° / 75° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average72° / 52° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year49.0 in · wettest months: August and July
Hottest on record101°F · August 13, 2007
Coldest on record20°F · December 26, 1983
Wettest day on record11.1 in · August 4, 2024
90° days a year97 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°1 · a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Highs of 90° and up · June 5 to Sept. 25; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretch · June through August: 23.5 of the year’s 49.0 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Holmes Beach normally reaches 80° and falls to 60°. The record high is 89°, in 2018; the record low 36°, in 1968. The most rain on this date, 4.80 in, fell in 1997.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1911 from the Sarasota-Bradenton Area threaded record (Sarasota Bradenton Airport, 11 miles southeast). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.