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Shaded-relief map of Valrico, Florida: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
FLORIDA · HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY

Valrico

37,895 people, 60 ft above sea level in Hillsborough County.

60 ftElevation, city center
37,895People, 2024 estimate
14 sq miLand area
Sunny 63°
Sunny now Dew point 33° · NE 7 mph · high 64°
City of Valrico River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Valrico plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Valrico

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 3:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Plant City Municipal Airport (KPCM) · 3:55 PM
Sunny
63° Sunny Feels like 63° · high of 64° near 4 PM
WindNE 7 mphno gusts
Humidity33%rising to 83% by morning
Pressure30.05 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 33° · Dry64° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 40.03 in · 10 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
! Rip Current StatementRip Current Statement issued November 14 at 1:37AM EST until November 14 at 7:00PM EST by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 4:15 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:49 AM5:37 PM ↓
10 h 47 m of daylight, 1 minute less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
38
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
partly cloudy day
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
64°
47°
72°
55°
74°
61°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
8
6
6
7
8
9
10
9
9
9
9
10
10
11
12
14
14
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11
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16
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 37 to 42° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 62° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
64° 47°
0% rain — N 8 A
SUN Nov. 15 Sunny; warmer Sunny; warmer
73° 55°
0% rain — NNE 9 B
MON Nov. 16 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
76° 61°
0% rain — ENE 13 C
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
76° 62°
10% rain — NE 13 B
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
79° 63°
20% rain — ENE 14 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
80° 64°
10% rain — NE 14 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
81° 65°
10% rain — NE 13 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Valrico about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Caribbean three days ago, and over the eastern Gulf of America a day ago, about 640 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from the eastern Gulf of America; at 10,000 feet, from a point about 440 miles to the south. Air off the water carries moisture, which is why it feels humid. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11–12, 2020

The wettest two days this week has seen

4.24 inches of rain fell in two days, the most for this week of the year since records began in 1948. The next wettest, 4.18 inches, fell in 1994.

4.18″
4.24″
19942020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Lakeland Area threaded record since 1948.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Valrico stands on

Valrico’s center stands about 60 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 40 ft to 130 ft, a difference of 90 ft: gently rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Hawthorn Group, Peace River Formation, Bone Valley Member (sand, clay, phosphorite), from the Middle Miocene to Pliocene, 2.6 to 16 million years old.

The section below crosses 2 rock units mapped at the surface.

Valrico, cut in half from west to east

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
0 ft100 ft200 ft VALRICO60 ftProgress Village40 ft ← WE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Hawthorn Group, Peace River Formation, Bone Valley Member

Sand, clay, phosphorite. Age: Middle Miocene to Pliocene, 2.6 to 16 million years old. About 14 mi of the line.

Hawthorn Group, Peace River Formation

Sand, clay, dolostone. Age: Middle Miocene to Pliocene, 2.6 to 16 million years old. About 9 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Valrico’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Valrico reaches Tampa Bay and the Gulf of America by way of the Alafia: about 16 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Valrico≈ 16 mi · Tampa Bay and the Gulf of America
FROM VALRICO ≈ 16 mi to Tampa Bay and the Gulf of America Alafia

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Valrico; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Valrico’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1948 · Lakeland Linder Regional Airport, 12 mi east-northeast

Valrico has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 92° in July; winter nights fall to about 50° in January. About 57 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

74°50°77°53°80°56°85°61°89°67°91°72°92°74°92°74°90°73°86°67°80°59°76°54° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY VALRICO 56.8 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average92° / 74°high / low, the warmest month
January, average74° / 50°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year56.8 inwettest months: August and July
Hottest on record105°FJune 4, 1985
Coldest on record20°FJanuary 22, 1985
Wettest day on record8.93 inOctober 10, 2024
Snowiest day on record1.0 inJanuary 19, 1977
90° days a year121very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°2a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Highs of 90° and upMay 15 to Sept. 24; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretchJune through August: 26.6 of the year’s 56.8 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Valrico normally reaches 80° and falls to 59°. The record high is 88°, in 2008; the record low 40°, in 1963. The most rain on this date, 1.72 in, fell in 1997.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high74°77°80°85°89°91°92°92°90°86°80°76°
Normal low50°53°56°61°67°72°74°74°73°67°59°54°
Rain, inches2.992.333.062.823.808.698.859.087.623.041.932.61
Record high88° (2026)90° (2026)92° (2023)96° (2017)103° (1989)105° (1985)102° (2010)100° (1995)98° (1990)96° (1986)93° (1986)89° (2016)
Record low20° (1985)24° (2026)25° (1980)35° (1987)47° (1992)56° (1984)64° (1981)63° (1957)61° (2006)38° (2008)28° (1970)20° (1962)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 from the Lakeland Area threaded record (Lakeland Linder Regional Airport, 12 miles east-northeast). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Valrico on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Tampa FL · 16 MI 16 miles west St. Petersburg FL · 27 MI 27 miles southwest Orlando FL · 68 MI 68 miles northeast Port St. Lucie FL · 121 MI 121 miles east Hialeah FL · 185 MI 185 miles southeast Miami FL · 194 MI 194 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Valrico, Florida. Explore the plate
FLORIDA · HILLSBOROUGH

Valrico

37,895 people, 60 ft above sea level in Hillsborough County.

60 ftElevation
37,895People
14 sq miLand
Sunny 63°
SunnyDew point 33°
1

Today in Valrico

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly sunny 64° 0%
7p mostly clear night 54° 0%
10p clear night 50° 0%
1a clear night 48° 0%
4a clear night 48° 0%
7a clear day 47° 0%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
47
64
A
Sun0%
Sunny; warmer Sunny; warmer
55
73
B
Mon0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
61
76
C
Tue10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
62
76
B
Wed20%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
63
79
B
Thu10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
64
80
B
Fri10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
65
81
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11–12, 2020

4.24 inches in two days, the most for this week since 1948.

2

What Valrico stands on

Valrico’s center stands about 60 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 40 ft to 130 ft, a difference of 90 ft: gently rolling country.

Valrico, west to east Valrico60 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center60 ft
Within 3 miles40 to 130 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (90 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceHawthorn Group, Peace River Formation, Bone Valley Member
Its ageMiddle Miocene to Pliocene, 2.6 to 16 million years old
5

Valrico’s year

Valrico has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 92° in July; winter nights fall to about 50° in January. About 57 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 56.8 in
July, average92° / 74° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average74° / 50° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year56.8 in · wettest months: August and July
Hottest on record105°F · June 4, 1985
Coldest on record20°F · January 22, 1985
Wettest day on record8.93 in · October 10, 2024
Snowiest day on record1.0 in · January 19, 1977
90° days a year121 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°2 · a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Highs of 90° and up · May 15 to Sept. 24; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretch · June through August: 26.6 of the year’s 56.8 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Valrico normally reaches 80° and falls to 59°. The record high is 88°, in 2008; the record low 40°, in 1963. The most rain on this date, 1.72 in, fell in 1997.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 from the Lakeland Area threaded record (Lakeland Linder Regional Airport, 12 miles east-northeast). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 16 mito the GulfAlafia

A raindrop that lands in Valrico reaches Tampa Bay and the Gulf of America by way of the Alafia: about 16 river miles.