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Shaded-relief map of Wesley Chapel, Florida: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
FLORIDA · PASCO COUNTY

Wesley Chapel

64,866 people, 120 ft above sea level in Pasco County.

120 ftElevation, city center
64,866People, 2024 estimate
44 sq miLand area
Sunny 62°
Sunny now Dew point 32° · N 7 mph · high 61°
City of Wesley Chapel River Interstate 2 miles
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The Wesley Chapel plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Wesley Chapel

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 4:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Plant City Municipal Airport (KPCM) · 4:35 PM
Sunny
62° Sunny Feels like 62° · high of 61° near 4 PM
WindN 7 mphno gusts
Humidity32%rising to 83% by morning
Pressure30.06 in →steady
Visibility9 mihazy
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 32° · Dry64° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 40.03 in · 10 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Pasco County
NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 4:45 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:50 AM5:37 PM ↓
10 h 46 m of daylight, 1 minute less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
35
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
partly cloudy day
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
61°
47°
72°
55°
74°
61°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
8
6
6
7
8
9
10
9
8
9
9
10
10
11
12
14
14
12
11
10
11
12
14
16
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 38 to 42° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 63° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
61° 47°
0% rain — N 8 A
SUN Nov. 15 Sunny; warmer Sunny; warmer
73° 55°
0% rain — NNE 9 B
MON Nov. 16 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
76° 61°
0% rain — ENE 13 C
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
76° 62°
10% rain — NE 13 B
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
79° 63°
20% rain — ENE 14 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
80° 64°
10% rain — NE 14 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
81° 65°
10% rain — NE 13 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Wesley Chapel about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Caribbean three days ago, and over the eastern Gulf of America a day ago, about 610 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from the Atlantic off the Carolinas; at 10,000 feet, from a point about 450 miles to the south. Air off the water carries moisture, which is why it feels humid. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 2008 Nov. 13, 2008

The hottest this week has been

90° on Nov. 13, 2008, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1895. Next is 90° in 2023.

90°
90°
20232008
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Saint Leo record since 1895.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Wesley Chapel stands on

Wesley Chapel’s center stands about 120 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 70 ft to 140 ft, a difference of 70 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Nursery Hill, about 270 ft, 10 miles northeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Undifferentiated sediments (sand, clay), from the Pleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

Wesley Chapel, cut in half from southwest to northeast

A section southwest to northeast, 24 miles through the town center
100 ft200 ft WESLEY CHAPEL120 ftLow point40 ftSan Antonio180 ftHigh point of the line240 ft ← SW · UniversityNE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Hawthorn Group, Undifferentiated

Sand, clay. Age: Miocene, 5.3 to 23 million years old. About 11 mi of the line.

Undifferentiated sediments

Sand, clay. Age: Pleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 11 mi of the line.

Hawthorn Group, Arcadia Formation, Tampa Member

Limestone. Age: Late Oligocene to Middle Miocene, 12 to 28 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Wesley Chapel’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Wesley Chapel reaches Tampa Bay and the Gulf of America by way of Basset Branch and the Hillsborough: about 45 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Wesley Chapel≈ 45 mi · Tampa Bay and the Gulf of America
FROM WESLEY CHAPEL ≈ 45 mi to Tampa Bay and the Gulf of America Basset Branch → Hillsborough

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Wesley Chapel; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Wesley Chapel’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1895 · Saint Leo, 8 mi north-northeast

Wesley Chapel has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 90° in July; winter nights fall to about 49° in January. About 54 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

70°49°73°52°78°55°83°60°88°66°89°71°90°73°90°73°88°71°83°65°77°57°72°52° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY 53.5 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average90° / 73°high / low, the warmest month
January, average70° / 49°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year53.5 inwettest months: June and August
Hottest on record103°FJune 7, 1985
Coldest on record18°FJanuary 21, 1985
Wettest day on record13.1 inJune 15, 1934
Snowiest day on record2.5 inAugust 20, 1901
90° days a year115very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°3a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Highs of 90° and upJune 19 to Aug. 31; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretchJune through August: 24.7 of the year’s 53.5 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Wesley Chapel normally reaches 77° and falls to 57°. The record high is 88°, in 2008; the record low 33°, in 1906. The most rain on this date, 2.15 in, fell in 1941.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high70°73°78°83°88°89°90°90°88°83°77°72°
Normal low49°52°55°60°66°71°73°73°71°65°57°52°
Rain, inches3.062.383.183.062.988.348.108.286.633.061.862.53
Record high87° (2002)90° (1971)95° (1907)98° (1945)102° (1945)103° (1985)102° (1902)101° (1900)99° (1925)97° (2025)92° (1989)88° (1991)
Record low18° (1985)19° (1899)24° (1980)38° (1987)46° (1992)54° (1984)62° (2012)62° (1968)56° (1990)33° (1903)26° (1903)18° (1962)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1895 at Saint Leo, 8 miles north-northeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Wesley Chapel on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Tampa FL · 19 MI 19 miles southwest St. Petersburg FL · 37 MI 37 miles southwest Orlando FL · 66 MI 66 miles east Cape Coral FL · 110 MI 110 miles south Port St. Lucie FL · 134 MI 134 miles southeast Jacksonville FL · 152 MI 152 miles north
FORECASTCITY
Map of Wesley Chapel, Florida. Explore the plate
FLORIDA · PASCO

Wesley Chapel

64,866 people, 120 ft above sea level in Pasco County.

120 ftElevation
64,866People
44 sq miLand
Sunny 62°
SunnyDew point 32°
1

Today in Wesley Chapel

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now partly cloudy day 61° 0%
7p mostly clear night 54° 0%
10p clear night 50° 0%
1a clear night 48° 0%
4a clear night 48° 0%
7a clear day 47° 0%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
47
61
A
Sun0%
Sunny; warmer Sunny; warmer
55
73
B
Mon0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
61
76
C
Tue10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
62
76
B
Wed20%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
63
79
B
Thu10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
64
80
B
Fri10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
65
81
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 2008 · NOV. 13, 2008

90°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1895.

2

What Wesley Chapel stands on

Wesley Chapel’s center stands about 120 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 70 ft to 140 ft, a difference of 70 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Nursery Hill, about 270 ft, 10 miles northeast.

Wesley Chapel, southwest to northeast Wesley Chapel120 ftHigh point240 ft ← SWNE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center120 ft
Within 3 miles70 to 140 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (70 ft of relief)
High point nearbyNursery Hill, 270 ft, 10 mi northeast
Rock at the surfaceUndifferentiated sediments
Its agePleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old
5

Wesley Chapel’s year

Wesley Chapel has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 90° in July; winter nights fall to about 49° in January. About 54 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 53.5 in
July, average90° / 73° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average70° / 49° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year53.5 in · wettest months: June and August
Hottest on record103°F · June 7, 1985
Coldest on record18°F · January 21, 1985
Wettest day on record13.1 in · June 15, 1934
Snowiest day on record2.5 in · August 20, 1901
90° days a year115 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°3 · a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Highs of 90° and up · June 19 to Aug. 31; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretch · June through August: 24.7 of the year’s 53.5 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Wesley Chapel normally reaches 77° and falls to 57°. The record high is 88°, in 2008; the record low 33°, in 1906. The most rain on this date, 2.15 in, fell in 1941.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1895 at Saint Leo, 8 miles north-northeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 45 mito the GulfBasset Branch → Hillsborough

A raindrop that lands in Wesley Chapel reaches Tampa Bay and the Gulf of America by way of Basset Branch and the Hillsborough: about 45 river miles.