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Shaded-relief map of Willow Oak, Florida: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
FLORIDA · POLK COUNTY

Willow Oak

6,806 people, 120 ft above sea level in Polk County.

120 ftElevation, city center
6,806People, 2024 estimate
3 sq miLand area
Sunny 64°
Sunny now Dew point 31° · NNW 8 mph · high 64°
City of Willow Oak River Interstate 2 miles
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The Willow Oak plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Willow Oak

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 1:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Plant City Municipal Airport (KPCM) · 1:55 PM
Sunny
64° Sunny Feels like 64° · high of 64° near 2 PM
WindNNW 8 mphno gusts
Humidity29%falling to 37% this afternoon
Pressure30.03 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 31° · Dry64° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 40.03 in · 10 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Polk County
NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 2:15 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:48 AM5:36 PM ↓
10 h 47 m of daylight, 1 minute less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
33
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
64°
48°
72°
55°
75°
61°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
10
7
6
7
8
9
9
10
9
9
9
9
10
10
11
13
15
13
11
10
10
11
12
15
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 37 to 43° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 62° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
64° 48°
0% rain — N 9 A
SUN Nov. 15 Sunny; warmer Sunny; warmer
73° 55°
0% rain — N 9 B
MON Nov. 16 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
76° 61°
0% rain — ENE 13 B
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
76° 62°
10% rain — NE 14 C
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
79° 63°
20% rain — NE 14 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
81° 65°
10% rain — NE 14 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
81° 65°
20% rain — NE 14 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Willow Oak about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Caribbean three days ago, and over the eastern Gulf of America a day ago, about 630 miles back along its path. It rose from near the ground on the way. Near the ground the air came from the Atlantic off the Carolinas; at 10,000 feet, from the Caribbean. Air off the water carries moisture, which is why it feels humid. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11–12, 2020

The wettest two days this week has seen

4.24 inches of rain fell in two days, the most for this week of the year since records began in 1948. The next wettest, 4.18 inches, fell in 1994.

4.18″
4.24″
19942020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Lakeland Area threaded record since 1948.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Willow Oak stands on

Willow Oak’s center stands about 120 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 80 ft to 160 ft, a difference of 80 ft: gently rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Hawthorn Group, Peace River Formation, Bone Valley Member (sand, clay, phosphorite), from the Middle Miocene to Pliocene, 2.6 to 16 million years old.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

Valrico to Bartow, cut in half

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
100 ft200 ft300 ft WILLOW OAK120 ftLow point50 ftFuller Heights120 ftHigh point of the line330 ftPeace Riverabout 90 ft ← W · ValricoBartow · E →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Hawthorn Group, Peace River Formation, Bone Valley Member

Sand, clay, phosphorite. Age: Middle Miocene to Pliocene, 2.6 to 16 million years old. About 22 mi of the line.

Cypresshead Formation

Sand. Age: Late Pliocene, 2.6 to 3.6 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Hawthorn Group, Arcadia Formation, Tampa Member

Limestone. Age: Late Oligocene to Middle Miocene, 12 to 28 million years old. About 0.4 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Willow Oak’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Willow Oak reaches Tampa Bay and the Gulf of America by way of Poley Creek, the North Prong Alafia and the Alafia: about 35 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Willow Oak≈ 35 mi · Tampa Bay and the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF WILLOW OAK ≈ 35 mi to Tampa Bay and the Gulf of America Poley Creek → North Prong Alafia → Alafia

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Willow Oak; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Willow Oak’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1948 · Lakeland Linder Regional Airport, 6 mi north-northwest

Willow Oak has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 92° in July; winter nights fall to about 50° in January. About 57 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

74°50°77°53°80°56°85°61°89°67°91°72°92°74°92°74°90°73°86°67°80°59°76°54° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY WILLOW OAK 56.8 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average92° / 74°high / low, the warmest month
January, average74° / 50°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year56.8 inwettest months: August and July
Hottest on record105°FJune 4, 1985
Coldest on record20°FJanuary 22, 1985
Wettest day on record8.93 inOctober 10, 2024
Snowiest day on record1.0 inJanuary 19, 1977
90° days a year121very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°2a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Highs of 90° and upMay 15 to Sept. 24; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretchJune through August: 26.6 of the year’s 56.8 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Willow Oak normally reaches 80° and falls to 59°. The record high is 88°, in 2008; the record low 40°, in 1963. The most rain on this date, 1.72 in, fell in 1997.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high74°77°80°85°89°91°92°92°90°86°80°76°
Normal low50°53°56°61°67°72°74°74°73°67°59°54°
Rain, inches2.992.333.062.823.808.698.859.087.623.041.932.61
Record high88° (2026)90° (2026)92° (2023)96° (2017)103° (1989)105° (1985)102° (2010)100° (1995)98° (1990)96° (1986)93° (1986)89° (2016)
Record low20° (1985)24° (2026)25° (1980)35° (1987)47° (1992)56° (1984)64° (1981)63° (1957)61° (2006)38° (2008)28° (1970)20° (1962)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 from the Lakeland Area threaded record (Lakeland Linder Regional Airport, 6 miles north-northwest). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Willow Oak on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Tampa FL · 28 MI 28 miles west St. Petersburg FL · 39 MI 39 miles west Orlando FL · 58 MI 58 miles northeast Port St. Lucie FL · 110 MI 110 miles southeast Jacksonville FL · 168 MI 168 miles north Miami FL · 186 MI 186 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Willow Oak, Florida. Explore the plate
FLORIDA · POLK

Willow Oak

6,806 people, 120 ft above sea level in Polk County.

120 ftElevation
6,806People
3 sq miLand
Sunny 64°
SunnyDew point 31°
1

Today in Willow Oak

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now partly cloudy day 64° 0%
5p partly cloudy day 61° 0%
8p clear night 53° 0%
11p clear night 50° 0%
2a clear night 48° 0%
5a clear night 48° 0%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
48
64
A
Sun0%
Sunny; warmer Sunny; warmer
55
73
B
Mon0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
61
76
B
Tue10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
62
76
C
Wed20%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
63
79
B
Thu10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
65
81
B
Fri20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
65
81
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11–12, 2020

4.24 inches in two days, the most for this week since 1948.

2

What Willow Oak stands on

Willow Oak’s center stands about 120 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 80 ft to 160 ft, a difference of 80 ft: gently rolling country.

Willow Oak, west to east Willow Oak120 ftHigh point330 ftPeace Riverabout 90 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center120 ft
Within 3 miles80 to 160 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (80 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceHawthorn Group, Peace River Formation, Bone Valley Member
Its ageMiddle Miocene to Pliocene, 2.6 to 16 million years old
5

Willow Oak’s year

Willow Oak has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 92° in July; winter nights fall to about 50° in January. About 57 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 56.8 in
July, average92° / 74° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average74° / 50° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year56.8 in · wettest months: August and July
Hottest on record105°F · June 4, 1985
Coldest on record20°F · January 22, 1985
Wettest day on record8.93 in · October 10, 2024
Snowiest day on record1.0 in · January 19, 1977
90° days a year121 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°2 · a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Highs of 90° and up · May 15 to Sept. 24; normal highs reach 90°
2Wettest stretch · June through August: 26.6 of the year’s 56.8 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Willow Oak normally reaches 80° and falls to 59°. The record high is 88°, in 2008; the record low 40°, in 1963. The most rain on this date, 1.72 in, fell in 1997.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 from the Lakeland Area threaded record (Lakeland Linder Regional Airport, 6 miles north-northwest). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 35 mito the GulfPoley Creek → North Prong Alafia → Alafia

A raindrop that lands in Willow Oak reaches Tampa Bay and the Gulf of America by way of Poley Creek, the North Prong Alafia and the Alafia: about 35 river miles.