FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Middlebury, Indiana: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
INDIANA · ELKHART COUNTY

Middlebury

3,721 people, 900 ft above sea level in Elkhart County.

900 ftElevation, city center
3,721People, 2024 estimate
5 sq miLand area
Clear 42°
Clear now Dew point 39° · W 12 mph · high 44°
City of Middlebury River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Middlebury plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Middlebury

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Elkhart Municipal (KEKM) · 5:55 PM
Clear
42° Clear Feels like 36° · high of 44° near 6 PM
WindW 12 mphno gusts
Humidity88%rising to 96% by morning
Pressure30.20 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 39° · Dry30° by Tuesday: drier air arrives
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 130.02 in · 1 dry day
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Elkhart County
NWS Northern Indiana and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:16 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:30 AM5:24 PM ↓
9 h 53 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
22
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, moderate. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
mostly cloudy night
overcast
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear day
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
44°
36°
48°
32°
50°
32°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
8
3
0
0
0
0
3
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
6
5
2
2
2
2
2
3
6
6
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 31 to 41° ↑ Humid air returns Drier: 38° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44° 35°
0% rain — NW 6 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
50° 30°
0% rain — NW 2 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
52° 32°
0% rain — WSW 4 A
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
55° 34°
0% rain — S 3 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
57° 41°
0% rain — S 7 A
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
61° 45°
10% rain — SW 6 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
61° 46°
10% rain — SSE 3 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Middlebury about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Gulf of Alaska three days ago, and over the northern Plains a day ago, about 2,660 miles back along its path. It came down from about 13,900 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. It feels dry all the same. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO Nov. 13, 2019

The coldest this week has been

2° on Nov. 13, 2019, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1948. Next is 12° in 1997.

12°
2°
19972019
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Goshen Municipal Airport record since 1948.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Middlebury stands on

Middlebury’s center stands about 900 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 810 ft to 980 ft, a difference of 170 ft: gently rolling country.

The section below crosses 4 rock units mapped at the surface.

Middlebury, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
800 ft900 ft MIDDLEBURY900 ftLow point750 ftSaint Joseph Riverabout 790 ftLittle Elkhart Riverabout 790 ftTopeka930 ft ← NWTopeka · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Coldwater Shale

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 15 mi of the line.

Ellsworth Shale

Shale. Age: Devonian to Carboniferous, 324 to 422 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Ellsworth Shale

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Coldwater Shale

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Middlebury’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Middlebury reaches Lake Michigan by way of the Little Elkhart and the Saint Joseph: about 95 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Middlebury≈ 95 mi · Lake Michigan
FROM THE CENTER OF MIDDLEBURY ≈ 95 mi to Lake Michigan and the St. Lawrence Little Elkhart → Saint Joseph

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Middlebury; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Middlebury’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1948 · Goshen Municipal Airport, 11 mi south-southwest

Middlebury has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 83° in July; winter nights fall to about 18° in January. About 35 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

32°18°36°20°47°29°60°38°71°50°80°60°83°62°81°60°75°53°62°43°48°33°37°24° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 TODAY MIDDLEBURY 34.6 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Rain by month Freezing
July, average83° / 62°high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 18°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year34.6 inwettest months: May and August
Hottest on record104°FJuly 7, 2012
Coldest on record−21°FJanuary 16, 2009
Wettest day on record5.84 inJuly 8, 1951
90° days a year12very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°130and 43 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 16, to the last in spring, about April 28 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingJan. 4 to Feb. 3; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingNov. 16 to March 29; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretchMay through July: 11.3 of the year’s 34.6 inches
MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high32°36°47°60°71°80°83°81°75°62°48°37°
Normal low18°20°29°38°50°60°62°60°53°43°33°24°
Rain, inches1.731.592.023.394.203.473.673.972.872.982.831.87

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 at Goshen Municipal Airport, 11 miles south-southwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Middlebury on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Elkhart IN · 13 MI 13 miles west South Bend IN · 29 MI 29 miles west Chicago IL · 103 MI 103 miles west Indianapolis IN · 133 MI 133 miles south Detroit MI · 143 MI 143 miles east Columbus OH · 184 MI 184 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Middlebury, Indiana. Explore the plate
INDIANA · ELKHART

Middlebury

3,721 people, 900 ft above sea level in Elkhart County.

900 ftElevation
3,721People
5 sq miLand
Clear 42°
ClearDew point 39°
1

Today in Middlebury

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy night 44° 1%
9p overcast 40° 2%
12a mostly cloudy night 39° 0%
3a overcast 37° 1%
6a overcast 36° 1%
9a mostly cloudy day 39° 0%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
35
44
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
30
50
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
32
52
A
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
34
55
A
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
57
A
Thu10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
45
61
B
Fri10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
46
61
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO · NOV. 13, 2019

2°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1948.

2

What Middlebury stands on

Middlebury’s center stands about 900 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 810 ft to 980 ft, a difference of 170 ft: gently rolling country.

Middlebury, northwest to southeast Middlebury900 ftSaint Joseph Riverabout 790 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center900 ft
Within 3 miles810 to 980 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (170 ft of relief)
5

Middlebury’s year

Middlebury has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 83° in July; winter nights fall to about 18° in January. About 35 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 34.6 in
July, average83° / 62° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 18° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year34.6 in · wettest months: May and August
Hottest on record104°F · July 7, 2012
Coldest on record−21°F · January 16, 2009
Wettest day on record5.84 in · July 8, 1951
90° days a year12 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°130 · and 43 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 16, to the last in spring, about April 28 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Jan. 4 to Feb. 3; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Nov. 16 to March 29; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretch · May through July: 11.3 of the year’s 34.6 inches
Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 at Goshen Municipal Airport, 11 miles south-southwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 95 mito Lake MichiganLittle Elkhart → Saint Joseph

A raindrop that lands in Middlebury reaches Lake Michigan by way of the Little Elkhart and the Saint Joseph: about 95 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.