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Shaded-relief map of Provencal, Louisiana: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
LOUISIANA · NATCHITOCHES PARISH

Provencal

509 people, 190 ft above sea level in Natchitoches Parish.

190 ftElevation, city center
509People, 2024 estimate
2 sq miLand area
Sunny 61°
Sunny now Dew point 28° · Calm · high 61°
City of Provencal River Interstate 2 miles
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The Provencal plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Provencal

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 3:00 PM CST
RIGHT NOW Natchitoches Regional Airport (KIER) · 3:35 PM
Sunny
61° Sunny Feels like 61° · high of 61° near 3 PM
WindCalmno gusts
Humidity29%rising to 85% by morning
Pressure30.18 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 28° · Dry46° by Sunday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow, around noonin about 20 hours · 82% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT0.3–1.4 inmost likely 0.9; 1 in 10 over 1.9
LAST RAINNov. 40.78 in · 10 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Natchitoches Parish
NWS Shreveport and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 3:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:40 AM5:14 PM ↓
10 h 34 m of daylight, 1 minute less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
35
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 31, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
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3a
6a
9a
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3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
clear day
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
rain
rain
rain
rain
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
61°
40°
56°
43°
64°
40°
CHANCE OF RAIN
82% · 0.37 in Sunday evening 50%
WIND, MPH
8
0
0
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 27 to 38° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 40° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 69° / 45°
SAT Nov. 14 Sunny Sunny
61° 40°
0% rain — ENE 8 A
SUN Nov. 15 Showers likely Showers likely
57° 40°
80% rain 0.3–1.4″ ENE 10, gusts 25 C
MON Nov. 16 Showers likely Showers likely
64° 39°
80% rain — ENE 7 C
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
70° 42°
0% rain — ENE 5 B
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
75° 49°
0% rain — E 5 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
77° 51°
0% rain — E 5 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
78° 52°
0% rain — ESE 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Provencal about 5,000 feet above the ground was over a point about 130 miles to the north three days ago, and over the Mississippi Valley a day ago, about 510 miles back along its path. Most of the nine paths traced from around the city agree. Near the ground the air came from the Carolinas; at 10,000 feet, from the Ozarks. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO Nov. 13, 2019

The coldest this week has been

21° on Nov. 13, 2019, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1893. Next is 22° in 1940.

22°
21°
19402019
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Natchitoches Area threaded record since 1893.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Provencal stands on

Provencal’s center stands about 190 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 150 ft to 330 ft, a difference of 180 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Bedstead Hill, about 390 ft, 13 miles south-southeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Cane River Formation (clay, silt), from the Eocene, 34 to 56 million years old.

The section below crosses 6 rock units mapped at the surface.

Fort Jesup to Vienna Bend, cut in half

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
100 ft200 ft300 ft PROVENCAL190 ftHigh point of the line400 ftOld Riverabout 120 ft ← W · Fort JesupVienna Bend · E →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Sparta Formation

Sand, clay. Age: Eocene, 34 to 56 million years old. About 8 mi of the line.

Wilcox Group (undifferentiated)

Sand, clay, lignite. Age: Paleocene, 56 to 66 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Natural Levees

Silt, clay. Age: Holocene, less than 12,000 years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Alluvium

Clay. Age: Holocene, less than 12,000 years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Cane River Formation

Clay, silt. Age: Eocene, 34 to 56 million years old. About 0.9 mi of the line.

Cook Mountain Formation

Clay, marl. Age: Eocene, 34 to 56 million years old. About 0.7 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Provencal’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Provencal reaches the Gulf of America by way of Edmund Bayou, Sand Creek, Kisatchie Bayou, the Cane, the Red River, the Atchafalaya and the Lower Atchafalaya: about 320 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Provencal≈ 320 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF PROVENCAL ≈ 320 mi to the Gulf of America Edmund Bayou → Sand Creek → … → Red River → Atchafalaya → Lower Atchafalaya

130 miles of the trip are on the Red River.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Provencal; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Provencal’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1893 · Natchitoches #2, 13 mi north-northeast

Provencal has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 93° in July; winter nights fall to about 38° in January. About 55 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

59°38°63°41°70°48°78°55°84°64°90°71°93°74°93°74°88°68°78°56°69°45°61°40° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY PROVENCAL 55.2 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average93° / 74°high / low, the warmest month
January, average59° / 38°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year55.2 inwettest months: March and January
Snow a year0.4 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record110°FSeptember 2, 2000
Coldest on record3°FFebruary 16, 2021
Wettest day on record12.5 inMarch 10, 2016
Snowiest day on record11.2 inJanuary 30, 1949
90° days a year97about 9 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°28a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Nov. 21, to the last in spring, about Feb. 27 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and upJune 14 to Sept. 10; normal highs reach 90°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Provencal normally reaches 69° and falls to 45°. The record high is 86°, in 1955; the record low 25°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 1.90 in, fell in 1998.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high59°63°70°78°84°90°93°93°88°78°69°61°
Normal low38°41°48°55°64°71°74°74°68°56°45°40°
Rain, inches5.604.935.865.103.873.904.563.843.195.273.805.27
Record high84° (2022)89° (2012)93° (1974)95° (1948)100° (1973)104° (2022)108° (1954)109° (2023)110° (2000)99° (1938)89° (2007)84° (2022)
Record low3° (1949)3° (2021)21° (2002)30° (1942)39° (1925)43° (1894)55° (1924)52° (1893)40° (1967)26° (1952)19° (1938)5° (1989)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1893 from the Natchitoches Area threaded record (Natchitoches #2, 13 miles north-northeast). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Provencal on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Natchitoches LA · 8 MI 8 miles northeast Shreveport LA · 66 MI 66 miles northwest Lafayette LA · 122 MI 122 miles southeast Baton Rouge LA · 148 MI 148 miles southeast Jackson MS · 181 MI 181 miles east
FORECASTCITY
Map of Provencal, Louisiana. Explore the plate
LOUISIANA · NATCHITOCHES

Provencal

509 people, 190 ft above sea level in Natchitoches Parish.

190 ftElevation
509People
2 sq miLand
Sunny 61°
SunnyDew point 28°
1

Today in Provencal

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now clear day 61° 0%
6p partly cloudy night 52° 0%
9p mostly cloudy night 48° 2%
12a partly cloudy night 45° 1%
3a partly cloudy night 43° 0%
6a mostly cloudy night 42° 8%
Mostly cloudy
NEXT RAINTomorrow around noon · 82%
→
Sat0%
Sunny Sunny
40
61
A
Sun80%
Showers likely Showers likely
40
57
C
Mon80%
Showers likely Showers likely
39
64
C
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
42
70
B
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
49
75
B
Thu0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
51
77
B
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
52
78
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO · NOV. 13, 2019

21°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1893.

2

What Provencal stands on

Provencal’s center stands about 190 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 150 ft to 330 ft, a difference of 180 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Bedstead Hill, about 390 ft, 13 miles south-southeast.

Provencal, west to east Provencal190 ftHigh point400 ftOld Riverabout 120 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center190 ft
Within 3 miles150 to 330 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (180 ft of relief)
High point nearbyBedstead Hill, 390 ft, 13 mi south-southeast
Rock at the surfaceCane River Formation
Its ageEocene, 34 to 56 million years old
5

Provencal’s year

Provencal has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 93° in July; winter nights fall to about 38° in January. About 55 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 55.2 in
July, average93° / 74° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average59° / 38° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year55.2 in · wettest months: March and January
Snow a year0.4 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record110°F · September 2, 2000
Coldest on record3°F · February 16, 2021
Wettest day on record12.5 in · March 10, 2016
Snowiest day on record11.2 in · January 30, 1949
90° days a year97 · about 9 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°28 · a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Nov. 21, to the last in spring, about Feb. 27 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and up · June 14 to Sept. 10; normal highs reach 90°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Provencal normally reaches 69° and falls to 45°. The record high is 86°, in 1955; the record low 25°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 1.90 in, fell in 1998.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1893 from the Natchitoches Area threaded record (Natchitoches #2, 13 miles north-northeast). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 320 mito the Gulf of AmericaEdmund Bayou → Sand Creek → … → Red River → Atchafalaya → Lower Atchafalaya

A raindrop that lands in Provencal reaches the Gulf of America by way of Edmund Bayou, Sand Creek, Kisatchie Bayou, the Cane, the Red River, the Atchafalaya and the Lower Atchafalaya: about 320 river miles.

130 miles of the trip are on the Red River.