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Shaded-relief map of Chance, Maryland: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MARYLAND · SOMERSET COUNTY

Chance

330 people, 50 ft above sea level in Somerset County.

50 ftElevation, city center
330People, 2024 estimate
2 sq miLand area
Clear 48°
Clear now Dew point 32° · NW 8 mph · high 47°
City of Chance River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Chance plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Chance

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Wallops Flight Facility Airport (KWAL) · 4:54 PM
Clear
48° Clear Feels like 44° · high of 47° near 5 PM
WindNW 8 mphno gusts
Humidity54%rising to 89% by morning
Pressure29.95 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 32° · Dry40° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.05 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Somerset County
NWS Wakefield and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 5:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:43 AM4:52 PM ↓
10 h 9 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
25
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 22, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
47°
38°
54°
36°
53°
36°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
14
13
12
12
12
13
14
14
9
8
8
9
9
11
11
10
7
5
5
5
7
7
8
7
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 32 to 40°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 59° / 41°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
47° 37°
0% rain — WNW 13 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54° 35°
0% rain — NW 13 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54° 35°
0% rain — N 10 A
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
57° 36°
0% rain — NW 3 A
WED Nov. 18 Sunny Sunny
60° 37°
0% rain — W 2 A
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
62° 39°
0% rain — SSW 5 A
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
63° 40°
0% rain — NNW 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Chance about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Canadian Prairies three days ago, and over the Great Lakes a day ago, about 1,970 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from the Ohio Valley; at 10,000 feet, from the open Pacific. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

MILE2
THE GROUND

What Chance stands on

Chance’s center stands about 50 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 0 ft to 50 ft, a difference of 50 ft: nearly flat ground. Open water lies within three miles.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Quaternary Deposits Undivided (fine-detrital, coarse-detrital), from the Pleistocene, less than 2.6 million years old.

Smith Island to Tyaskin, cut in half

A section southwest to northeast, 24 miles through the town center
0 ft CHANCE50 ftManokin Riversea levelDeal Island20 ftHigh point of the line90 ft ← SW · Smith IslandTyaskin · NE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Quaternary Deposits Undivided

Fine-detrital, coarse-detrital. Age: Pleistocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 11 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Chance’s rain goes

Rain that falls on Chance runs straight into Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean.

FROM THE CENTER OF CHANCE < 2 mi to Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean straight to the shore

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Chance; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Chance on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Salisbury MD · 24 MI 24 miles northeast Washington DC · 77 MI 77 miles northwest Baltimore MD · 86 MI 86 miles northwest Virginia Beach VA · 97 MI 97 miles south Philadelphia PA · 134 MI 134 miles north
FORECASTCITY
Map of Chance, Maryland. Explore the plate
MARYLAND · SOMERSET

Chance

330 people, 50 ft above sea level in Somerset County.

50 ftElevation
330People
2 sq miLand
Clear 48°
ClearDew point 32°
1

Today in Chance

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy night 47° 0%
8p mostly cloudy night 44° 0%
11p mostly clear night 41° 1%
2a mostly clear night 39° 1%
5a mostly clear night 39° 0%
8a clear day 43° 1%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
37
47
A
Sun0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
35
54
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
35
54
A
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
36
57
A
Wed0%
Sunny Sunny
37
60
A
Thu0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
39
62
A
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
40
63
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
2

What Chance stands on

Chance’s center stands about 50 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 0 ft to 50 ft, a difference of 50 ft: nearly flat ground. Open water lies within three miles.

Chance, southwest to northeast Chance50 ftManokin Riversea levelHigh point90 ft ← SWNE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center50 ft
Within 3 miles0 to 50 ft
Lie of the landNearly flat (50 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceQuaternary Deposits Undivided
Its agePleistocene, less than 2.6 million years old
3

Where the rain goes

< 2 mito the Atlanticstraight to the shore

Rain that falls on Chance runs straight into Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean.