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Shaded-relief map of Advance, Michigan: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MICHIGAN · CHARLEVOIX COUNTY

Advance

340 people, 650 ft above sea level in Charlevoix County.

650 ftElevation, city center
340People, 2024 estimate
3 sq miLand area
Sunny 39°
Sunny now Dew point 32° · N 16 mph · high 39°
City of Advance River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Advance plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Advance

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 12:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Charlevoix Municipal Airport (KCVX) · 1:35 PM
Sunny
39° Sunny Feels like 30° · high of 39° near 1 PM
WindN 16 mphgusts 21
Humidity75%falling to 79% this afternoon
Pressure30.16 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 32° · Dry41° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Mostly cloudy
Thursday30% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 130.22 in · 1 dry day
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Charlevoix County
NWS Gaylord and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 1:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:37 AM5:12 PM ↓
9 h 35 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 24% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
2
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
1p
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mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
TEMPERATURE °F
39°
38°
42°
39°
47°
44°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
15
13
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 32 to 41°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 45° / 34°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
39° 36°
0% rain — NNW 15 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
45° 37°
0% rain — NNW 6 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
50° 42°
0% rain — SW 13 A
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53° 44°
0% rain — SSW 13 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
55° 46°
0% rain — SSW 13 A
THU Nov. 19 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
56° 44°
30% rain — WSW 12 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
53° 44°
20% rain — E 5 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Advance about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the Canadian Prairies a day ago, about 2,570 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from the Canadian Prairies; at 10,000 feet, from the Gulf of Alaska. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2022

The hottest this week has been

75° on Nov. 11, 2022, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1961. Next is 69° in 2012.

69°
75°
20122022
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Boyne Falls record since 1961.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Advance stands on

Advance’s center stands about 650 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 570 ft to 1,020 ft, a difference of 450 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Deadmans Hill, about 1,340 ft, 14 miles south-southeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Antrim Shale (black-shale), from the Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

Charlevoix to Warner, cut in half

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
500 ft750 ft1,000 ft1,250 ft ADVANCE650 ftMount McSauba760 ftWilson840 ftHigh point of the line1,270 ft ← NW · CharlevoixWarner · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 27×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Traverse Group

Limestone. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 394 million years old. About 12 mi of the line.

Ellsworth Shale

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 10 mi of the line.

Antrim Shale

Black-shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Advance’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Advance reaches Lake Michigan by way of Dyer Creek and the Pine River: about 14 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Advance≈ 14 mi · Lake Michigan
FROM THE CENTER OF ADVANCE ≈ 14 mi to Lake Michigan and the St. Lawrence Dyer Creek → Pine River

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Advance; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Advance’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1961 · Boyne Falls, 9 mi east-southeast

Advance has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 84° in July; winter nights fall to about 13° in February. A normal year brings about 112 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 36 inches of water.

28°14°32°13°42°21°56°32°70°43°80°53°84°58°82°57°74°50°59°40°45°30°33°22° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY ADVANCE 36.2 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average84° / 58°high / low, the warmest month
February, average32° / 13°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow36.2 inwettest months: October and September
Snow a year111.7 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record102°FJuly 1, 2018
Coldest on record−35°FFebruary 17, 1979
Wettest day on record4.90 inMay 8, 1963
Snowiest day on record17.0 inJanuary 26, 1978
90° days a year16very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°159and 62 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 1, to the last in spring, about May 27 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingDec. 19 to Feb. 18; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingNov. 8 to April 18; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Advance normally reaches 45° and falls to 31°. The record high is 65°, in 1994; the record low 14°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 0.63 in, fell in 1974.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high28°32°42°56°70°80°84°82°74°59°45°33°
Normal low14°13°21°32°43°53°58°57°50°40°30°22°
Rain and melt, in2.651.671.893.063.193.162.863.463.854.443.312.68
Snow, inches32.020.411.24.70.10.00.00.00.00.711.431.2
Record high56° (1996)72° (2024)87° (2012)89° (2002)96° (2022)102° (2018)102° (2018)100° (2006)96° (2023)91° (2007)78° (2022)66° (2001)
Record low−32° (1981)−35° (1979)−25° (2014)−6° (2003)17° (1966)27° (1972)32° (1965)28° (1976)22° (1965)15° (1974)−3° (1996)−26° (1976)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1961 at Boyne Falls, 9 miles east-southeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Advance on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Saginaw MI · 136 MI 136 miles southeast Green Bay WI · 150 MI 150 miles west Flint MI · 166 MI 166 miles southeast Pontiac MI · 199 MI 199 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Advance, Michigan. Explore the plate
MICHIGAN · CHARLEVOIX

Advance

340 people, 650 ft above sea level in Charlevoix County.

650 ftElevation
340People
3 sq miLand
Sunny 39°
SunnyDew point 32°
1

Today in Advance

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy day 39° 1%
4p mostly cloudy day 39° 1%
7p overcast 39° 2%
10p mostly cloudy night 37° 3%
1a mostly cloudy night 38° 3%
4a mostly cloudy night 39° 3%
Mostly cloudy
NEXT RAINThursday · 30%
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
36
39
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
37
45
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
42
50
A
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
44
53
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46
55
A
Thu30%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44
56
B
Fri20%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44
53
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2022

75°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1961.

2

What Advance stands on

Advance’s center stands about 650 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 570 ft to 1,020 ft, a difference of 450 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Deadmans Hill, about 1,340 ft, 14 miles south-southeast.

Advance, northwest to southeast Advance650 ftMount McSauba760 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 52×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center650 ft
Within 3 miles570 to 1,020 ft
Lie of the landHilly (450 ft of relief)
High point nearbyDeadmans Hill, 1,340 ft, 14 mi south-southeast
Rock at the surfaceAntrim Shale
Its ageLate Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old
5

Advance’s year

Advance has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 84° in July; winter nights fall to about 13° in February. A normal year brings about 112 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 36 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 36.2 in
July, average84° / 58° · high / low, the warmest month
February, average32° / 13° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow36.2 in · wettest months: October and September
Snow a year111.7 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record102°F · July 1, 2018
Coldest on record−35°F · February 17, 1979
Wettest day on record4.90 in · May 8, 1963
Snowiest day on record17.0 in · January 26, 1978
90° days a year16 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°159 · and 62 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 1, to the last in spring, about May 27 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Dec. 19 to Feb. 18; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Nov. 8 to April 18; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Advance normally reaches 45° and falls to 31°. The record high is 65°, in 1994; the record low 14°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 0.63 in, fell in 1974.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1961 at Boyne Falls, 9 miles east-southeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 14 mito Lake MichiganDyer Creek → Pine River

A raindrop that lands in Advance reaches Lake Michigan by way of Dyer Creek and the Pine River: about 14 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.