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Shaded-relief map of Arbela, Michigan: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MICHIGAN · TUSCOLA COUNTY

Arbela

2,770 people, 680 ft above sea level in Tuscola County.

680 ftElevation, city center
2,770People, 2024 estimate
33 sq miLand area
Clear 42°
Clear now Dew point 33° · NW 12 mph · high 41°
City of Arbela River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Arbela plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Arbela

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW MBS International Airport (KMBS) · 5:53 PM
Clear
42° Clear Feels like 36° · high of 41° near 6 PM
WindNW 12 mphno gusts
Humidity70%rising to 96% by morning
Pressure30.17 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 33° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.19 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Tuscola County
NWS Detroit/Pontiac and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:16 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:26 AM5:11 PM ↓
9 h 45 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
22
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
41°
34°
46°
30°
51°
34°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
10
7
7
7
7
7
6
5
2
0
3
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5
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 30 to 38°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 47° / 32°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
41° 33°
0% rain — NW 8 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
46° 30°
0% rain — NNW 6 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
51° 34°
0% rain — WSW 8 A
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
54° 36°
0% rain — SW 8 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
54° 41°
0% rain — SSW 9 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
58° 44°
10% rain — WSW 10 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 44°
20% rain — S 5 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Arbela about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Canada three days ago, and over the Canadian Prairies a day ago, about 2,270 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from Canada; at 10,000 feet, from British Columbia. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2020

The hottest this week has been

77° on Nov. 11, 2020, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1963. Next is 69° in 2012.

69°
77°
20122020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Vassar record since 1963.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Arbela stands on

Arbela’s center stands about 680 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 640 ft to 800 ft, a difference of 160 ft: gently rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Saginaw Formation (sandstone, shale), from the Carboniferous, 299 to 324 million years old.

The section below crosses 2 rock units mapped at the surface.

Bridgeport to Marathon, cut in half

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
600 ft700 ft800 ft900 ft ARBELA680 ftLow point600 ftOtter Lake880 ft ← NW · BridgeportMarathon · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 60×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Saginaw Formation

Sandstone, shale. Age: Carboniferous, 299 to 324 million years old. About 18 mi of the line.

Michigan Formation

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 7 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Arbela’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Arbela reaches Lake Huron by way of Cole Creek, the Cass, the Shiawassee and the Saginaw: about 50 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Arbela≈ 50 mi · Lake Huron
FROM THE CENTER OF ARBELA ≈ 50 mi to Lake Huron and the St. Lawrence Cole Creek → Cass → Shiawassee → Saginaw

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Arbela; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Arbela’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1963 · Vassar, 8 mi north-northeast

Arbela has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 82° in July; winter nights fall to about 12° in January. About 34 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

30°12°33°13°43°21°57°32°69°43°78°53°82°57°80°56°74°48°61°38°47°29°35°22° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY ARBELA 34.2 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Rain by month Freezing
July, average82° / 57°high / low, the warmest month
January, average30° / 12°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year34.2 inwettest months: July and August
Hottest on record99°FJuly 18, 2012
Coldest on record−29°FFebruary 21, 2015
Wettest day on record4.32 inMay 25, 2019
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Highs below freezingDec. 25 to Feb. 14; normal highs stay below 32°
2Lows below freezingNov. 2 to April 18; normal lows fall below 32°
3Wettest stretchJune through August: 11.2 of the year’s 34.2 inches
MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high30°33°43°57°69°78°82°80°74°61°47°35°
Normal low12°13°21°32°43°53°57°56°48°38°29°22°
Rain, inches1.961.451.903.293.553.374.073.733.013.082.672.08

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1963 at Vassar, 8 miles north-northeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Arbela on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Flint MI · 17 MI 17 miles south Saginaw MI · 19 MI 19 miles northwest Detroit MI · 67 MI 67 miles southeast Grand Rapids MI · 104 MI 104 miles west Toledo OH · 111 MI 111 miles south Cleveland OH · 159 MI 159 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Arbela, Michigan. Explore the plate
MICHIGAN · TUSCOLA

Arbela

2,770 people, 680 ft above sea level in Tuscola County.

680 ftElevation
2,770People
33 sq miLand
Clear 42°
ClearDew point 33°
1

Today in Arbela

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy night 41° 1%
9p mostly cloudy night 38° 1%
12a mostly cloudy night 36° 1%
3a mostly cloudy night 35° 1%
6a mostly cloudy night 34° 0%
9a mostly cloudy day 38° 1%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
33
41
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
30
46
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
34
51
A
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
36
54
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
41
54
B
Thu10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
44
58
B
Fri20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
44
57
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2020

77°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1963.

2

What Arbela stands on

Arbela’s center stands about 680 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 640 ft to 800 ft, a difference of 160 ft: gently rolling country.

Arbela, northwest to southeast Arbela680 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 115×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center680 ft
Within 3 miles640 to 800 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (160 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceSaginaw Formation
Its ageCarboniferous, 299 to 324 million years old
5

Arbela’s year

Arbela has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 82° in July; winter nights fall to about 12° in January. About 34 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 34.2 in
July, average82° / 57° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average30° / 12° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year34.2 in · wettest months: July and August
Hottest on record99°F · July 18, 2012
Coldest on record−29°F · February 21, 2015
Wettest day on record4.32 in · May 25, 2019
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Highs below freezing · Dec. 25 to Feb. 14; normal highs stay below 32°
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 2 to April 18; normal lows fall below 32°
3Wettest stretch · June through August: 11.2 of the year’s 34.2 inches
Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1963 at Vassar, 8 miles north-northeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 50 mito Lake HuronCole Creek → Cass → Shiawassee → Saginaw

A raindrop that lands in Arbela reaches Lake Huron by way of Cole Creek, the Cass, the Shiawassee and the Saginaw: about 50 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.