FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Au Sable, Michigan: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MICHIGAN · ROSCOMMON COUNTY

Au Sable

238 people, 1,180 ft above sea level in Roscommon County.

1,180 ftElevation, city center
238People, 2024 estimate
36 sq miLand area
Clear 37°
Clear now Dew point 34° · NW 10 mph · high 37°
City of Au Sable River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Au Sable plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Au Sable

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 6:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Roscommon County Airport (KHTL) · 6:53 PM
Clear
37° Clear Feels like 30° · high of 37° near 7 PM
WindNW 10 mphno gusts
Humidity89%rising to 100% by morning
Pressure30.19 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 34° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.26 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Roscommon County
NWS Gaylord and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 7:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:32 AM5:11 PM ↓
9 h 39 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 27% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
28
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
mostly cloudy night
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
mostly clear night
TEMPERATURE °F
37°
32°
43°
28°
48°
36°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
8
7
6
5
3
6
6
3
0
0
0
2
5
7
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
10
10
10
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 28 to 36° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 37° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 44° / 28°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
37° 30°
0% rain — NNW 8 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
46° 26°
0% rain — N 5 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
50° 33°
0% rain — WSW 7 A
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54° 35°
0% rain — SW 9 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
54° 39°
0% rain — SSW 10 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56° 41°
20% rain — WSW 9 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
54° 40°
20% rain — S 5 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Au Sable about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the Canadian Prairies a day ago, about 2,460 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from the Canadian Prairies; at 10,000 feet, from the Gulf of Alaska. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1933 Nov. 16, 1933

The coldest this week has been

−11° on Nov. 16, 1933, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1913. Next is 0° in 1940.

0°
−11°
19401933
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Houghton Lake Area threaded record since 1913.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Au Sable stands on

Au Sable’s center stands about 1,180 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,150 ft to 1,310 ft, a difference of 160 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Wagon Wheel Hill, about 1,500 ft, 11 miles east.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Marshall Sandstone, from the Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

Au Sable, cut in half from south to north

A section south to north, 24 miles through the town center
1,100 ft1,200 ft1,300 ft1,400 ft AU SABLE1,180 ftHigh point of the line1,480 ftLow point1,100 ft ← S · OgemawN →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 52×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Michigan Formation

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 14 mi of the line.

Marshall Sandstone

Sandstone. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 9 mi of the line.

Coldwater Shale

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 0.8 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Au Sable’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Au Sable reaches Lake Huron by way of East Creek, the South Branch Au Sable and the Au Sable: about 130 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Au Sable≈ 130 mi · Lake Huron
FROM THE CENTER OF AU SABLE ≈ 130 mi to Lake Huron and the St. Lawrence East Creek → South Branch Au Sable → Au Sable

100 miles of the trip are on the Au Sable.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Au Sable; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Au Sable’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1913 · Houghton Lake Roscommon County Airport, 14 mi west-southwest

Au Sable has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 81° in July; winter nights fall to about 11° in January. A normal year brings about 66 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 30 inches of water.

27°11°30°11°40°19°54°31°67°42°77°51°81°55°78°53°71°46°57°37°43°28°32°19° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY AU SABLE 29.6 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average81° / 55°high / low, the warmest month
January, average27° / 11°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow29.6 inwettest months: June and May
Snow a year65.9 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record107°FJuly 13, 1936
Coldest on record−48°FFebruary 1, 1918
Wettest day on record5.18 inJuly 8, 1957
Snowiest day on record15.4 inJanuary 26, 1978
90° days a year4on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°169and 71 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Sept. 23, to the last in spring, about May 20 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingDec. 14 to Feb. 24; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingOct. 31 to April 20; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Au Sable normally reaches 44° and falls to 28°. The record high is 63°, in 1953; the record low 0°, in 1940. The most rain on this date, 0.79 in, fell in 1958.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high27°30°40°54°67°77°81°78°71°57°43°32°
Normal low11°11°19°31°42°51°55°53°46°37°28°19°
Rain and melt, in1.701.411.783.103.153.222.742.862.593.082.201.76
Snow, inches16.413.68.34.40.10.00.00.00.00.57.515.1
Record high58° (1914)69° (2024)85° (2012)89° (1925)96° (1939)107° (1934)107° (1936)100° (1931)100° (1931)88° (1922)77° (1927)64° (2001)
Record low−32° (1951)−48° (1918)−25° (1943)−15° (1923)12° (1926)23° (1949)26° (1919)27° (1927)19° (1918)7° (1925)−14° (1950)−28° (1926)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1913 from the Houghton Lake Area threaded record (Houghton Lake Roscommon County Airport, 14 miles west-southwest). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Au Sable on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Grand Rapids MI · 121 MI 121 miles southwest Sterling Heights MI · 148 MI 148 miles southeast Warren MI · 153 MI 153 miles southeast Detroit MI · 159 MI 159 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Au Sable, Michigan. Explore the plate
MICHIGAN · ROSCOMMON

Au Sable

238 people, 1,180 ft above sea level in Roscommon County.

1,180 ftElevation
238People
36 sq miLand
Clear 37°
ClearDew point 34°
1

Today in Au Sable

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy night 37° 1%
10p mostly cloudy night 35° 1%
1a mostly cloudy night 33° 1%
4a mostly cloudy night 32° 1%
7a mostly cloudy night 32° 1%
10a mostly cloudy day 38° 1%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
30
37
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
26
46
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
33
50
A
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
35
54
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
39
54
A
Thu20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
41
56
B
Fri20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
40
54
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1933 · NOV. 16, 1933

−11°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1913.

2

What Au Sable stands on

Au Sable’s center stands about 1,180 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,150 ft to 1,310 ft, a difference of 160 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Wagon Wheel Hill, about 1,500 ft, 11 miles east.

Au Sable, south to north Au Sable1,180 ft ← SN → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 98×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center1,180 ft
Within 3 miles1,150 to 1,310 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (160 ft of relief)
High point nearbyWagon Wheel Hill, 1,500 ft, 11 mi east
Rock at the surfaceMarshall Sandstone
Its ageCarboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old
5

Au Sable’s year

Au Sable has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 81° in July; winter nights fall to about 11° in January. A normal year brings about 66 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 30 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 29.6 in
July, average81° / 55° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average27° / 11° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow29.6 in · wettest months: June and May
Snow a year65.9 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record107°F · July 13, 1936
Coldest on record−48°F · February 1, 1918
Wettest day on record5.18 in · July 8, 1957
Snowiest day on record15.4 in · January 26, 1978
90° days a year4 · on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°169 · and 71 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Sept. 23, to the last in spring, about May 20 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Dec. 14 to Feb. 24; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Oct. 31 to April 20; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Au Sable normally reaches 44° and falls to 28°. The record high is 63°, in 1953; the record low 0°, in 1940. The most rain on this date, 0.79 in, fell in 1958.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1913 from the Houghton Lake Area threaded record (Houghton Lake Roscommon County Airport, 14 miles west-southwest). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 130 mito Lake HuronEast Creek → South Branch Au Sable → Au Sable

A raindrop that lands in Au Sable reaches Lake Huron by way of East Creek, the South Branch Au Sable and the Au Sable: about 130 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

100 miles of the trip are on the Au Sable.