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Shaded-relief map of Bear Lake, Michigan: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MICHIGAN · MANISTEE COUNTY

Bear Lake

1,822 people, 810 ft above sea level in Manistee County.

810 ftElevation, city center
1,822People, 2024 estimate
35 sq miLand area
Sunny 41°
Sunny now Dew point 37° · NNW 9 mph · high 39°
City of Bear Lake River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Bear Lake plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Bear Lake

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Manistee County - Blacker Airport (KMBL) · 4:56 PM
Sunny
41° Sunny Feels like 35° · high of 39° near 5 PM
WindNNW 9 mphno gusts
Humidity86%rising to 89% by morning
Pressure30.22 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 37° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Showers
Thursday30% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 110.05 in · 3 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Manistee County
NWS Gaylord and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 5:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:39 AM5:18 PM ↓
9 h 39 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
2
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
39°
36°
45°
32°
49°
41°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
8
6
3
2
0
1
5
3
0
0
0
2
3
6
10
11
9
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8
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12
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 30 to 40°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
39° 30°
0% rain — N 7 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
47° 27°
0% rain — NNW 3 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
51° 36°
0% rain — SW 9 A
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53° 38°
0% rain — S 9 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
55° 42°
0% rain — S 12 A
THU Nov. 19 Chance of showers Chance of showers
56° 39°
30% rain up to 0.08″ WSW 7 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56° 42°
20% rain — S 2 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Bear Lake about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the Canadian Prairies a day ago, about 2,570 miles back along its path. It came down from about 10,300 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from Canada; at 10,000 feet, from the Gulf of Alaska. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1959 Nov. 17, 1959

The coldest this week has been

5° on Nov. 17, 1959, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1898. Next is 11° in 1933.

11°
5°
19331959
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Frankfort 2 NE record since 1898.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Bear Lake stands on

Bear Lake’s center stands about 810 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 760 ft to 1,050 ft, a difference of 290 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Buck Hills, about 1,150 ft, 10 miles northeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Ellsworth Shale, from the Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

Bear Lake, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
600 ft800 ft1,000 ft BEAR LAKE810 ftLow point570 ftKaleva750 ft ← NWMarilla · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 37×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Ellsworth Shale

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 10 mi of the line.

Coldwater Shale

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Antrim Shale

Black-shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Bear Lake’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Bear Lake reaches Lake Michigan by way of Little Beaver Creek, Bear Creek and the Manistee: about 30 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Bear Lake≈ 30 mi · Lake Michigan
FROM THE CENTER OF BEAR LAKE ≈ 30 mi to Lake Michigan and the St. Lawrence Little Beaver Creek → Bear Creek → Manistee

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Bear Lake; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Bear Lake’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1898 · Frankfort 2 NE, 16 mi north

Bear Lake has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 78° in July; winter nights fall to about 19° in January. A normal year brings about 93 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 34 inches of water.

29°19°31°19°39°25°52°35°64°45°73°55°78°60°76°60°69°54°56°43°44°33°34°24° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY BEAR LAKE 34.3 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average78° / 60°high / low, the warmest month
January, average29° / 19°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow34.3 inwettest months: October and September
Snow a year93.0 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record99°FJuly 7, 1921
Coldest on record−32°FFebruary 11, 1899
Wettest day on record6.15 inAugust 21, 1959
Snowiest day on record16.0 inDecember 22, 1989
90° days a year1on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°136and 57 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 23, to the last in spring, about May 2 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingDec. 20 to Feb. 23; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingNov. 17 to April 9; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bear Lake normally reaches 44° and falls to 33°. The record high is 62°, in 1964; the record low 12°, in 1933. The most rain on this date, 1.00 in, fell in 1916.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high29°31°39°52°64°73°78°76°69°56°44°34°
Normal low19°19°25°35°45°55°60°60°54°43°33°24°
Rain and melt, in2.191.721.983.063.083.183.043.183.753.992.942.23
Snow, inches27.219.412.83.30.10.00.00.00.00.36.423.5
Record high56° (1996)63° (2000)79° (2012)86° (1970)90° (2018)95° (1953)99° (1921)95° (1988)92° (1947)84° (2007)79° (2000)62° (2021)
Record low−20° (1918)−32° (1899)−15° (1912)−1° (1923)19° (1926)29° (1936)33° (1918)31° (1934)26° (1928)18° (1933)−8° (1950)−4° (1945)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1898 at Frankfort 2 NE, 16 miles north, 140 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Bear Lake on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Garfield MI · 34 MI 34 miles northeast Traverse City MI · 37 MI 37 miles northeast Grand Rapids MI · 101 MI 101 miles south Milwaukee WI · 129 MI 129 miles southwest Ann Arbor MI · 189 MI 189 miles southeast Sterling Heights MI · 199 MI 199 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Bear Lake, Michigan. Explore the plate
MICHIGAN · MANISTEE

Bear Lake

1,822 people, 810 ft above sea level in Manistee County.

810 ftElevation
1,822People
35 sq miLand
Sunny 41°
SunnyDew point 37°
1

Today in Bear Lake

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now overcast 39° 0%
8p overcast 38° 0%
11p mostly cloudy night 36° 0%
2a mostly cloudy night 36° 0%
5a mostly cloudy night 36° 0%
8a mostly cloudy day 36° 1%
Showers
NEXT RAINThursday · 30%
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
30
39
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
27
47
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
36
51
A
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
38
53
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
55
A
Thu30%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
39
56
B
Fri20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
56
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1959 · NOV. 17, 1959

5°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1898.

2

What Bear Lake stands on

Bear Lake’s center stands about 810 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 760 ft to 1,050 ft, a difference of 290 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Buck Hills, about 1,150 ft, 10 miles northeast.

Bear Lake, northwest to southeast Bear Lake810 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 70×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center810 ft
Within 3 miles760 to 1,050 ft
Lie of the landRolling (290 ft of relief)
High point nearbyBuck Hills, 1,150 ft, 10 mi northeast
Rock at the surfaceEllsworth Shale
Its ageLate Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old
5

Bear Lake’s year

Bear Lake has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 78° in July; winter nights fall to about 19° in January. A normal year brings about 93 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 34 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 34.3 in
July, average78° / 60° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average29° / 19° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow34.3 in · wettest months: October and September
Snow a year93.0 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record99°F · July 7, 1921
Coldest on record−32°F · February 11, 1899
Wettest day on record6.15 in · August 21, 1959
Snowiest day on record16.0 in · December 22, 1989
90° days a year1 · on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°136 · and 57 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 23, to the last in spring, about May 2 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Dec. 20 to Feb. 23; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Nov. 17 to April 9; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bear Lake normally reaches 44° and falls to 33°. The record high is 62°, in 1964; the record low 12°, in 1933. The most rain on this date, 1.00 in, fell in 1916.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1898 at Frankfort 2 NE, 16 miles north, 140 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 30 mito Lake MichiganLittle Beaver Creek → Bear Creek → Manistee

A raindrop that lands in Bear Lake reaches Lake Michigan by way of Little Beaver Creek, Bear Creek and the Manistee: about 30 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.