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Shaded-relief map of Bear Lake, Michigan: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MICHIGAN · KALKASKA COUNTY

Bear Lake

698 people, 1,300 ft above sea level in Kalkaska County.

1,300 ftElevation, city center
698People, 2024 estimate
71 sq miLand area
Clear 37°
Clear now Dew point 37° · NW 6 mph · high 37°
City of Bear Lake River Interstate 2 miles
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The Bear Lake plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Bear Lake

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 6:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Grayling Army Airfield (KGOV) · 7:00 PM
Clear
37° Clear Feels like 33° · high of 37° near 7 PM
WindNW 6 mphno gusts
Humidity100%rising to 100% by morning
Pressure30.17 in →steady
Visibility3 mihazy
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 37° · Dry28° by Monday: drier air arrives
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 140.01 in · 0 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Kalkaska County
NWS Gaylord and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 7:19 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:35 AM5:13 PM ↓
9 h 38 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 27% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
29
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear day
mostly clear night
TEMPERATURE °F
37°
31°
43°
28°
48°
36°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
7
5
2
0
0
5
5
3
0
0
0
1
3
7
9
8
7
8
8
8
8
10
11
10
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 28 to 36° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 37° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
37° 27°
0% rain — NNW 6 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
47° 23°
0% rain — NNW 4 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
52° 32°
0% rain — WSW 7 A
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
57° 34°
0% rain — SW 8 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 39°
0% rain — SSW 10 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
58° 39°
20% rain — WSW 9 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56° 39°
20% rain — S 1 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Bear Lake about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the Canadian Prairies a day ago, about 2,590 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from British Columbia; at 10,000 feet, from the Gulf of Alaska. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO Nov. 15, 2019

The coldest this week has been

−4° on Nov. 15, 2019, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1891. Next is −3° in 1943.

−3°
−4°
19432019
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Grayling record since 1891.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Bear Lake stands on

Bear Lake’s center stands about 1,300 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,110 ft to 1,330 ft, a difference of 220 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Cote Dame Marie, about 1,540 ft, 8 miles southeast.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

Coldsprings to Beaver Creek, cut in half

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
1,100 ft1,200 ft1,300 ft1,400 ft BEAR LAKE1,300 ftManistee Lake1,250 ftBear Lake1,230 ftLow point1,120 ftCote Dame Marie1,540 ftBeaver Creek1,230 ft ← NW · ColdspringsBeaver Creek · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 53×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Coldwater Shale

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 17 mi of the line.

Michigan Formation

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Marshall Sandstone

Sandstone. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Bear Lake’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Bear Lake reaches Lake Michigan by way of the Manistee: about 160 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Bear Lake≈ 160 mi · Lake Michigan
FROM THE CENTER OF BEAR LAKE ≈ 160 mi to Lake Michigan and the St. Lawrence Manistee

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Bear Lake; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Bear Lake’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1891 · Grayling, 10 mi east-southeast

Bear Lake has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 80° in July; winter nights fall to about 9° in February. A normal year brings about 88 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 33 inches of water.

26°10°29°9°39°16°53°29°67°41°77°51°80°55°79°53°71°45°57°35°43°26°32°18° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 TODAY BEAR LAKE 33.2 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average80° / 55°high / low, the warmest month
February, average29° / 9°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow33.2 inwettest months: October and June
Snow a year88.3 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record104°FJuly 12, 1936
Coldest on record−42°FFebruary 17, 1979
Wettest day on record5.02 inAugust 9, 1965
Snowiest day on record14.0 inJanuary 30, 1987
90° days a year6none reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°185and 76 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Sept. 23, to the last in spring, about May 25 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingDec. 12 to Feb. 26; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingOct. 25 to April 24; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretchAugust through October: 10.5 of the year’s 33.2 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bear Lake normally reaches 43° and falls to 27°. The record high is 65°, in 1953; the record low 3°, in 1940. The most rain on this date, 0.76 in, fell in 1951.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high26°29°39°53°67°77°80°79°71°57°43°32°
Normal low10°9°16°29°41°51°55°53°45°35°26°18°
Rain and melt, in1.821.391.683.393.233.643.073.263.224.012.581.95
Snow, inches25.818.910.84.20.10.00.00.00.01.46.920.2
Record high57° (1973)68° (2024)85° (2012)89° (1980)98° (1895)103° (1934)104° (1936)102° (1991)101° (1933)87° (2025)75° (1950)64° (2001)
Record low−34° (1994)−42° (1979)−38° (1943)−12° (1982)14° (2020)23° (1978)28° (1898)26° (1986)16° (1989)7° (1895)−9° (1950)−28° (2017)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1891 at Grayling, 10 miles east-southeast, 150 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Bear Lake on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Traverse City MI · 35 MI 35 miles west Garfield MI · 36 MI 36 miles west Grand Rapids MI · 124 MI 124 miles south Sterling Heights MI · 173 MI 173 miles southeast Warren MI · 178 MI 178 miles southeast Detroit MI · 183 MI 183 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Bear Lake, Michigan. Explore the plate
MICHIGAN · KALKASKA

Bear Lake

698 people, 1,300 ft above sea level in Kalkaska County.

1,300 ftElevation
698People
71 sq miLand
Clear 37°
ClearDew point 37°
1

Today in Bear Lake

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now overcast 37° 1%
10p mostly cloudy night 35° 1%
1a mostly cloudy night 33° 1%
4a mostly cloudy night 32° 1%
7a mostly cloudy night 31° 1%
10a mostly cloudy day 38° 2%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
27
37
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
23
47
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
32
52
A
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
34
57
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
39
57
A
Thu20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
39
58
B
Fri20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
39
56
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO · NOV. 15, 2019

−4°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1891.

2

What Bear Lake stands on

Bear Lake’s center stands about 1,300 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,110 ft to 1,330 ft, a difference of 220 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Cote Dame Marie, about 1,540 ft, 8 miles southeast.

Bear Lake, northwest to southeast Bear Lake1,300 ftCote Dame Marie1,540 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 100×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center1,300 ft
Within 3 miles1,110 to 1,330 ft
Lie of the landRolling (220 ft of relief)
High point nearbyCote Dame Marie, 1,540 ft, 8 mi southeast
5

Bear Lake’s year

Bear Lake has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 80° in July; winter nights fall to about 9° in February. A normal year brings about 88 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 33 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 33.2 in
July, average80° / 55° · high / low, the warmest month
February, average29° / 9° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow33.2 in · wettest months: October and June
Snow a year88.3 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record104°F · July 12, 1936
Coldest on record−42°F · February 17, 1979
Wettest day on record5.02 in · August 9, 1965
Snowiest day on record14.0 in · January 30, 1987
90° days a year6 · none reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°185 · and 76 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Sept. 23, to the last in spring, about May 25 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Dec. 12 to Feb. 26; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Oct. 25 to April 24; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretch · August through October: 10.5 of the year’s 33.2 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bear Lake normally reaches 43° and falls to 27°. The record high is 65°, in 1953; the record low 3°, in 1940. The most rain on this date, 0.76 in, fell in 1951.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1891 at Grayling, 10 miles east-southeast, 150 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 160 mito Lake MichiganManistee

A raindrop that lands in Bear Lake reaches Lake Michigan by way of the Manistee: about 160 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.