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Shaded-relief map of Carmel, Michigan: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MICHIGAN · EATON COUNTY

Carmel

2,850 people, 930 ft above sea level in Eaton County.

930 ftElevation, city center
2,850People, 2024 estimate
34 sq miLand area
Clear 42°
Clear now Dew point 34° · NNW 9 mph · high 42°
City of Carmel River Interstate 2 miles
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The Carmel plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Carmel

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Gerald R. Ford International Airport (KGRR) · 5:53 PM
Clear
42° Clear Feels like 37° · high of 42° near 6 PM
WindNNW 9 mphno gusts
Humidity73%rising to 100% by morning
Pressure30.20 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 34° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.2 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Eaton County
NWS Grand Rapids and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:16 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:29 AM5:18 PM ↓
9 h 49 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
20
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
clear night
mostly clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
42°
33°
46°
31°
48°
35°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
9
7
5
5
2
1
5
5
2
0
0
0
5
7
12
10
7
8
8
8
8
9
12
10
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 31 to 35° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 37° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 48° / 33°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
42° 32°
0% rain — NNW 8 A
SUN Nov. 15 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
48° 30°
0% rain — N 3 B
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
52° 34°
0% rain — WSW 9 A
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
54° 36°
0% rain — SSW 7 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
55° 42°
0% rain — S 10 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
58° 44°
10% rain — WSW 10 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
59° 45°
20% rain — S 6 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Carmel about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the northern Plains a day ago, about 2,450 miles back along its path. It came down from about 11,100 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from Canada; at 10,000 feet, from the open Pacific. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2022

The hottest this week has been

75° on Nov. 11, 2022, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1905. Next is 74° in 2020.

74°
75°
20202022
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Eaton Rapids record since 1905.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Carmel stands on

Carmel’s center stands about 930 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 850 ft to 970 ft, a difference of 120 ft: gently rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Saginaw Formation (sandstone, shale), from the Carboniferous, 299 to 324 million years old.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

Nashville to Hamlin, cut in half

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
800 ft900 ft CARMEL930 ftNashville820 ftHigh point of the line990 ft ← NW · NashvilleHamlin · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Saginaw Formation

Sandstone, shale. Age: Carboniferous, 299 to 324 million years old. About 17 mi of the line.

Michigan Formation

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Bayport Limestone

Limestone. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Carmel’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Carmel reaches Lake Michigan by way of Fish Creek, the Thornapple and the Grand River: about 140 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Carmel≈ 140 mi · Lake Michigan
FROM THE CENTER OF CARMEL ≈ 140 mi to Lake Michigan and the St. Lawrence Fish Creek → Thornapple → Grand River

75 miles of the trip are on the Thornapple.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Carmel; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Carmel’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1905 · Eaton Rapids, 13 mi east

Carmel has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 82° in July; winter nights fall to about 16° in January. About 36 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

30°16°34°16°45°25°57°36°69°47°79°58°82°61°80°59°74°51°61°40°47°30°36°23° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY CARMEL 36.3 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Rain by month Freezing
July, average82° / 61°high / low, the warmest month
January, average30° / 16°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year36.3 inwettest months: June and May
Hottest on record98°FJuly 6, 2012
Coldest on record−21°FFebruary 20, 2015
Wettest day on record5.45 inJuly 28, 2011
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Highs below freezingDec. 29 to Feb. 11; normal highs stay below 32°
2Lows below freezingNov. 8 to April 7; normal lows fall below 32°
MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high30°34°45°57°69°79°82°80°74°61°47°36°
Normal low16°16°25°36°47°58°61°59°51°40°30°23°
Rain, inches2.281.832.253.124.174.233.133.913.133.642.642.01

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1905 at Eaton Rapids, 13 miles east. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Carmel on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Lansing MI · 21 MI 21 miles northeast Kalamazoo MI · 40 MI 40 miles southwest Detroit MI · 93 MI 93 miles east Chicago IL · 151 MI 151 miles west Milwaukee WI · 159 MI 159 miles west Cleveland OH · 181 MI 181 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Carmel, Michigan. Explore the plate
MICHIGAN · EATON

Carmel

2,850 people, 930 ft above sea level in Eaton County.

930 ftElevation
2,850People
34 sq miLand
Clear 42°
ClearDew point 34°
1

Today in Carmel

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy night 42° 0%
9p mostly cloudy night 37° 0%
12a mostly cloudy night 35° 1%
3a partly cloudy night 33° 0%
6a partly cloudy night 33° 0%
9a partly cloudy day 37° 1%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
32
42
A
Sun0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
30
48
B
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
34
52
A
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
36
54
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
55
A
Thu10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
44
58
B
Fri20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
45
59
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2022

75°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1905.

2

What Carmel stands on

Carmel’s center stands about 930 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 850 ft to 970 ft, a difference of 120 ft: gently rolling country.

Carmel, northwest to southeast Carmel930 ftHigh point990 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center930 ft
Within 3 miles850 to 970 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (120 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceSaginaw Formation
Its ageCarboniferous, 299 to 324 million years old
5

Carmel’s year

Carmel has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 82° in July; winter nights fall to about 16° in January. About 36 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 36.3 in
July, average82° / 61° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average30° / 16° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year36.3 in · wettest months: June and May
Hottest on record98°F · July 6, 2012
Coldest on record−21°F · February 20, 2015
Wettest day on record5.45 in · July 28, 2011
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Highs below freezing · Dec. 29 to Feb. 11; normal highs stay below 32°
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 8 to April 7; normal lows fall below 32°
Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1905 at Eaton Rapids, 13 miles east. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 140 mito Lake MichiganFish Creek → Thornapple → Grand River

A raindrop that lands in Carmel reaches Lake Michigan by way of Fish Creek, the Thornapple and the Grand River: about 140 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

75 miles of the trip are on the Thornapple.