FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Churchill, Michigan: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MICHIGAN · OGEMAW COUNTY

Churchill

1,561 people, 890 ft above sea level in Ogemaw County.

890 ftElevation, city center
1,561People, 2024 estimate
36 sq miLand area
Sunny 43°
Sunny now Dew point 32° · NNW 13 mph · high 41°
City of Churchill River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Churchill plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Churchill

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 1:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW West Branch Community Airport (KY31) · 2:55 PM
Sunny
43° Sunny Feels like 36° · high of 41° near 3 PM
WindNNW 13 mphno gusts
Humidity65%rising to 92% by morning
Pressure30.09 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 32° · Dry41° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 130.2 in · 1 dry day
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Ogemaw County
NWS Gaylord and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 3:16 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:30 AM5:10 PM ↓
9 h 40 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
27
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly sunny
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear day
mostly sunny
TEMPERATURE °F
41°
32°
45°
28°
49°
35°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
9
7
6
3
3
3
5
5
5
1
1
1
1
2
3
8
7
5
6
5
6
6
8
9
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 27 to 37° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 41° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 44° / 27°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
41° 30°
0% rain — NNW 10 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
47° 27°
0% rain — N 5 B
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
51° 32°
0% rain — WSW 6 B
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
56° 34°
0% rain — SW 6 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
55° 38°
0% rain — SSW 7 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
58° 41°
10% rain — WSW 7 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56° 40°
20% rain — S 2 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Churchill about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the Canadian Prairies a day ago, about 2,520 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from Canada; at 10,000 feet, from the Gulf of Alaska. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2022

The hottest this week has been

74° on Nov. 11, 2022, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1900. Next is 71° in 2020.

71°
74°
20202022
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the West Branch 3 SE record since 1900.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Churchill stands on

Churchill’s center stands about 890 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 820 ft to 990 ft, a difference of 170 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Wagon Wheel Hill, about 1,500 ft, 12 miles north-northwest.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Michigan Formation (shale), from the Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old.

Churchill, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
750 ft1,000 ft1,250 ft CHURCHILL890 ftHigh point of the line1,430 ftLow point780 ft ← NWWhittemore · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 30×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Michigan Formation

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 24 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Churchill’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Churchill reaches Lake Huron by way of Hiltz Creek: about 50 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Churchill≈ 50 mi · Lake Huron
FROM CHURCHILL ≈ 50 mi to Lake Huron and the St. Lawrence Hiltz Creek

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Churchill; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Churchill’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1900 · West Branch 3 SE, 7 mi west-southwest

Churchill has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 80° in July; winter nights fall to about 10° in January. A normal year brings about 53 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 34 inches of water.

27°10°31°10°41°19°54°30°67°42°76°52°80°56°79°55°71°46°58°36°44°27°33°18° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY CHURCHILL 33.6 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average80° / 56°high / low, the warmest month
January, average27° / 10°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow33.6 inwettest months: June and May
Snow a year53.0 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record107°FJuly 13, 1936
Coldest on record−36°FFebruary 10, 1912
Wettest day on record4.36 inOctober 3, 1954
Snowiest day on record14.0 inFebruary 14, 1911
90° days a year6very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°177and 61 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 1, to the last in spring, about May 18 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingDec. 16 to Feb. 22; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingOct. 28 to April 21; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Churchill normally reaches 44° and falls to 27°. The record high is 65°, in 1953; the record low 3°, in 1940. The most rain on this date, 1.02 in, fell in 1958.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high27°31°41°54°67°76°80°79°71°58°44°33°
Normal low10°10°19°30°42°52°56°55°46°36°27°18°
Rain and melt, in2.051.611.833.403.483.533.483.442.733.312.552.15
Snow, inches14.711.76.92.90.10.00.00.00.00.33.812.6
Record high62° (1944)70° (2024)86° (2012)91° (1990)96° (1944)105° (1934)107° (1936)103° (1955)97° (1931)89° (2007)77° (1950)68° (2001)
Record low−30° (1951)−36° (1912)−33° (1943)−11° (1923)15° (1947)25° (1949)15° (1919)30° (1923)21° (1918)5° (1933)−15° (1950)−27° (1933)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1900 at West Branch 3 SE, 7 miles west-southwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Churchill on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Grand Rapids MI · 122 MI 122 miles southwest Sterling Heights MI · 129 MI 129 miles southeast Warren MI · 135 MI 135 miles south Detroit MI · 141 MI 141 miles south
FORECASTCITY
Map of Churchill, Michigan. Explore the plate
MICHIGAN · OGEMAW

Churchill

1,561 people, 890 ft above sea level in Ogemaw County.

890 ftElevation
1,561People
36 sq miLand
Sunny 43°
SunnyDew point 32°
1

Today in Churchill

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy day 41° 1%
6p mostly cloudy night 38° 1%
9p mostly cloudy night 36° 1%
12a mostly cloudy night 34° 1%
3a mostly cloudy night 33° 1%
6a mostly cloudy night 33° 1%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
30
41
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
27
47
B
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
32
51
B
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
34
56
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
38
55
B
Thu10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
41
58
B
Fri20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
40
56
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2022

74°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1900.

2

What Churchill stands on

Churchill’s center stands about 890 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 820 ft to 990 ft, a difference of 170 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Wagon Wheel Hill, about 1,500 ft, 12 miles north-northwest.

Churchill, northwest to southeast Churchill890 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 57×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center890 ft
Within 3 miles820 to 990 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (170 ft of relief)
High point nearbyWagon Wheel Hill, 1,500 ft, 12 mi north-northwest
Rock at the surfaceMichigan Formation
Its ageCarboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old
5

Churchill’s year

Churchill has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 80° in July; winter nights fall to about 10° in January. A normal year brings about 53 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 34 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 33.6 in
July, average80° / 56° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average27° / 10° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow33.6 in · wettest months: June and May
Snow a year53.0 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record107°F · July 13, 1936
Coldest on record−36°F · February 10, 1912
Wettest day on record4.36 in · October 3, 1954
Snowiest day on record14.0 in · February 14, 1911
90° days a year6 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°177 · and 61 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 1, to the last in spring, about May 18 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Dec. 16 to Feb. 22; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Oct. 28 to April 21; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Churchill normally reaches 44° and falls to 27°. The record high is 65°, in 1953; the record low 3°, in 1940. The most rain on this date, 1.02 in, fell in 1958.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1900 at West Branch 3 SE, 7 miles west-southwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 50 mito Lake HuronHiltz Creek

A raindrop that lands in Churchill reaches Lake Huron by way of Hiltz Creek: about 50 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.