FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Erie, Michigan: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MICHIGAN · MONROE COUNTY

Erie

4,353 people, 590 ft above sea level in Monroe County.

590 ftElevation, city center
4,353People, 2024 estimate
24 sq miLand area
Sunny 41°
Sunny now Dew point 34° · NNW 9 mph · high 44°
City of Erie River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Erie plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Erie

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 3:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Toledo Suburban Airport (KDUH) · 3:35 PM
Sunny
41° Sunny Feels like 35° · high of 44° near 3 PM
WindNNW 9 mphno gusts
Humidity75%rising to 96% by morning
Pressure30.13 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 34° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 130.33 in · 1 dry day
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Monroe County
NWS Detroit/Pontiac and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 3:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:22 AM5:14 PM ↓
9 h 52 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
14
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
44°
34°
46°
30°
50°
31°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
9
5
5
5
5
5
6
5
5
1
0
0
1
1
3
6
5
2
2
3
3
3
5
7
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 30 to 37° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 37° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44° 31°
0% rain — NW 9 A
SUN Nov. 15 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
48° 28°
0% rain — NW 5 B
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
52° 28°
0% rain — WSW 4 A
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
54° 30°
0% rain — SSW 2 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56° 35°
0% rain — S 3 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
60° 43°
0% rain — SW 5 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
61° 42°
10% rain — S 1 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Erie about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Canada three days ago, and over the northern Plains a day ago, about 2,540 miles back along its path. It came down from about 13,700 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from British Columbia; at 10,000 feet, from the open Pacific. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO Nov. 13, 2019

The coldest this week has been

6° on Nov. 13, 2019, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1939. Next is 15° in 1942.

15°
6°
19422019
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Toledo Executive Airport record since 1939.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Erie stands on

Erie’s center stands about 590 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 560 ft to 660 ft, a difference of 100 ft: gently rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Salina Group (evaporite, shale, dolostone), from the Silurian, 422 to 428 million years old.

The section below crosses 5 rock units mapped at the surface.

Erie, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
600 ft700 ft ERIE590 ftHigh point of the line750 ftIda640 ftLow point560 ft ← NW · DundeeSE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Bass Island Dolomite

Dolostone. Age: Silurian, 422 to 428 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Salina Group

Evaporite, shale, dolostone. Age: Silurian, 422 to 428 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Detroit River Group

Dolostone. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 394 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Tymochtee and Greenfield Formations, Undivided

Dolostone. Age: Silurian, 428 to 445 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Sylvania Sandstone

Sandstone. Age: Early Devonian, 394 to 422 million years old. About 0.8 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Erie’s rain goes

Rain that falls on Erie runs only a short way, about 2 miles, to Lake Erie. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

FROM THE CENTER OF ERIE ≈ 2 mi to Lake Erie and the St. Lawrence straight to the shore

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Erie; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Erie’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1939 · Toledo Executive Airport, 16 mi south

Erie has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 85° in July; winter nights fall to about 20° in January. About 32 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

34°20°37°22°47°29°59°40°71°51°81°61°85°65°82°63°76°55°64°45°50°34°38°26° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY ERIE 32.4 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average85° / 65°high / low, the warmest month
January, average34° / 20°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year32.4 inwettest months: May and August
Hottest on record105°FJuly 21, 2011
Coldest on record−16°FJanuary 16, 2009
Wettest day on record5.78 inJune 27, 2015
90° days a year18very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°118and 40 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 23, to the last in spring, about April 23 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingNov. 20 to March 26; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Erie normally reaches 51° and falls to 34°. The record high is 68°, in 2011; the record low 15°, in 1942. The most rain on this date, 1.17 in, fell in 2011.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high34°37°47°59°71°81°85°82°76°64°50°38°
Normal low20°22°29°40°51°61°65°63°55°45°34°26°
Rain, inches1.791.752.313.263.503.243.243.493.062.362.272.09
Record high71° (1950)74° (2017)86° (2012)89° (1942)96° (2018)103° (2012)105° (2011)101° (1951)100° (1953)92° (1951)80° (2016)70° (1998)
Record low−16° (2009)−11° (2015)−10° (1948)16° (1944)26° (2020)38° (1945)44° (1945)41° (1946)29° (1942)21° (1952)2° (1947)−13° (1944)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1939 at Toledo Executive Airport, 16 miles south. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Erie on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Toledo OH · 9 MI 9 miles southwest Ann Arbor MI · 37 MI 37 miles north Detroit MI · 46 MI 46 miles northeast Cleveland OH · 95 MI 95 miles east Fort Wayne IN · 98 MI 98 miles southwest Columbus OH · 126 MI 126 miles south
FORECASTCITY
Map of Erie, Michigan. Explore the plate
MICHIGAN · MONROE

Erie

4,353 people, 590 ft above sea level in Monroe County.

590 ftElevation
4,353People
24 sq miLand
Sunny 41°
SunnyDew point 34°
1

Today in Erie

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy day 44° 0%
6p mostly cloudy night 43° 1%
9p mostly cloudy night 40° 1%
12a mostly cloudy night 38° 1%
3a mostly cloudy night 36° 1%
6a mostly cloudy night 34° 0%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
31
44
A
Sun0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
28
48
B
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
28
52
A
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
30
54
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
35
56
A
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
43
60
B
Fri10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
61
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO · NOV. 13, 2019

6°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1939.

2

What Erie stands on

Erie’s center stands about 590 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 560 ft to 660 ft, a difference of 100 ft: gently rolling country.

Erie, northwest to southeast Erie590 ftHigh point750 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center590 ft
Within 3 miles560 to 660 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (100 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceSalina Group
Its ageSilurian, 422 to 428 million years old
5

Erie’s year

Erie has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 85° in July; winter nights fall to about 20° in January. About 32 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 32.4 in
July, average85° / 65° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average34° / 20° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year32.4 in · wettest months: May and August
Hottest on record105°F · July 21, 2011
Coldest on record−16°F · January 16, 2009
Wettest day on record5.78 in · June 27, 2015
90° days a year18 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°118 · and 40 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 23, to the last in spring, about April 23 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 20 to March 26; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Erie normally reaches 51° and falls to 34°. The record high is 68°, in 2011; the record low 15°, in 1942. The most rain on this date, 1.17 in, fell in 2011.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1939 at Toledo Executive Airport, 16 miles south. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 2 mito Lake Erie and the St. Lawrencestraight to the shore

Rain that falls on Erie runs only a short way, about 2 miles, to Lake Erie. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.