FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Jefferson, Michigan: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MICHIGAN · CASS COUNTY

Jefferson

2,565 people, 890 ft above sea level in Cass County.

890 ftElevation, city center
2,565People, 2024 estimate
35 sq miLand area
Clear 42°
Clear now Dew point 40° · WNW 8 mph · high 44°
City of Jefferson River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Jefferson plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Jefferson

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Elkhart Municipal (KEKM) · 5:35 PM
Clear
42° Clear Feels like 38° · high of 44° near 5 PM
WindWNW 8 mphno gusts
Humidity91%rising to 96% by morning
Pressure30.20 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 40° · Dry30° by Tuesday: drier air arrives
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 130.02 in · 1 dry day
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Cass County
NWS Northern Indiana and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 5:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:32 AM5:24 PM ↓
9 h 52 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
22
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, moderate. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
mostly cloudy night
overcast
mostly cloudy night
overcast
overcast
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
44°
36°
48°
32°
50°
32°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
9
5
1
0
0
0
2
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
5
5
3
2
2
2
2
3
5
6
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 31 to 41° ↑ Humid air returns Drier: 38° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44° 35°
0% rain — NW 6 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
50° 30°
0% rain — NW 2 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
52° 32°
0% rain — WSW 4 A
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
55° 34°
0% rain — S 3 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
57° 41°
0% rain — S 7 A
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
61° 45°
10% rain — SW 6 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
61° 46°
10% rain — SSE 3 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Jefferson about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the northern Plains a day ago, about 2,470 miles back along its path. It came down from about 10,300 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from British Columbia; at 10,000 feet, from the Pacific north of Hawaii. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2022

The hottest this week has been

75° on Nov. 11, 2022, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1953. Next is 73° in 1989.

73°
75°
19892022
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Dowagiac 1 W record since 1953.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Jefferson stands on

Jefferson’s center stands about 890 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 800 ft to 930 ft, a difference of 130 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Bald Hill, about 1,180 ft, 13 miles east-northeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Ellsworth Shale, from the Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old.

The section below crosses 2 rock units mapped at the surface.

Niles to Porter, cut in half

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
700 ft800 ft900 ft JEFFERSON890 ftSaint Joseph Riverabout 630 ftHoward800 ftCalvin870 ft ← W · NilesPorter · E →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 55×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Ellsworth Shale

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 16 mi of the line.

Coldwater Shale

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 8 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Jefferson’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Jefferson reaches Lake Michigan by way of Cobus Creek and the Saint Joseph: about 80 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Jefferson≈ 80 mi · Lake Michigan
FROM THE CENTER OF JEFFERSON ≈ 80 mi to Lake Michigan and the St. Lawrence Cobus Creek → Saint Joseph

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Jefferson; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Jefferson’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1953 · Dowagiac 1 W, 10 mi north-northwest

Jefferson has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 82° in July; winter nights fall to about 16° in January. About 42 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

31°16°34°18°44°25°57°36°69°47°78°57°82°60°80°58°73°51°61°40°47°31°36°22° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY JEFFERSON 41.7 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average82° / 60°high / low, the warmest month
January, average31° / 16°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year41.7 inwettest months: October and June
Hottest on record103°FJuly 31, 1999
Coldest on record−23°FFebruary 7, 1978
Wettest day on record5.79 inAugust 16, 2016
Snowiest day on record15.0 inJanuary 26, 1978
90° days a year11very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°144and 44 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 7, to the last in spring, about May 9 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingJan. 1 to Feb. 8; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingNov. 10 to April 7; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Jefferson normally reaches 48° and falls to 31°. The record high is 73°, in 1989; the record low 10°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 1.32 in, fell in 1957.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high31°34°44°57°69°78°82°80°73°61°47°36°
Normal low16°18°25°36°47°57°60°58°51°40°31°22°
Rain, inches3.102.412.443.694.194.264.094.123.384.332.902.82
Record high63° (1967)72° (2000)85° (2012)89° (2002)95° (2018)103° (1953)103° (1999)100° (1988)99° (1953)88° (1971)77° (2024)72° (2001)
Record low−21° (1972)−23° (1978)−13° (1967)6° (1972)19° (1966)30° (1972)38° (2003)36° (1967)26° (2002)13° (2002)4° (1959)−20° (1989)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1953 at Dowagiac 1 W, 10 miles north-northwest, 150 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Jefferson on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

South Bend IN · 17 MI 17 miles southwest Kalamazoo MI · 38 MI 38 miles northeast Chicago IL · 84 MI 84 miles west Milwaukee WI · 129 MI 129 miles northwest Indianapolis IN · 143 MI 143 miles south Detroit MI · 156 MI 156 miles east
FORECASTCITY
Map of Jefferson, Michigan. Explore the plate
MICHIGAN · CASS

Jefferson

2,565 people, 890 ft above sea level in Cass County.

890 ftElevation
2,565People
35 sq miLand
Clear 42°
ClearDew point 40°
1

Today in Jefferson

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy night 44° 0%
8p mostly cloudy night 41° 1%
11p overcast 39° 2%
2a overcast 38° 2%
5a mostly cloudy night 36° 1%
8a mostly cloudy day 36° 0%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
35
44
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
30
50
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
32
52
A
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
34
55
A
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
57
A
Thu10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
45
61
B
Fri10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
46
61
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2022

75°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1953.

2

What Jefferson stands on

Jefferson’s center stands about 890 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 800 ft to 930 ft, a difference of 130 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Bald Hill, about 1,180 ft, 13 miles east-northeast.

Jefferson, west to east Jefferson890 ftSaint Joseph Riverabout 630 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 105×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center890 ft
Within 3 miles800 to 930 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (130 ft of relief)
High point nearbyBald Hill, 1,180 ft, 13 mi east-northeast
Rock at the surfaceEllsworth Shale
Its ageLate Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old
5

Jefferson’s year

Jefferson has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 82° in July; winter nights fall to about 16° in January. About 42 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 41.7 in
July, average82° / 60° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average31° / 16° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year41.7 in · wettest months: October and June
Hottest on record103°F · July 31, 1999
Coldest on record−23°F · February 7, 1978
Wettest day on record5.79 in · August 16, 2016
Snowiest day on record15.0 in · January 26, 1978
90° days a year11 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°144 · and 44 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 7, to the last in spring, about May 9 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Jan. 1 to Feb. 8; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Nov. 10 to April 7; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Jefferson normally reaches 48° and falls to 31°. The record high is 73°, in 1989; the record low 10°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 1.32 in, fell in 1957.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1953 at Dowagiac 1 W, 10 miles north-northwest, 150 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 80 mito Lake MichiganCobus Creek → Saint Joseph

A raindrop that lands in Jefferson reaches Lake Michigan by way of Cobus Creek and the Saint Joseph: about 80 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.