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Shaded-relief map of Mancelona, Michigan: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MICHIGAN · ANTRIM COUNTY

Mancelona

4,519 people, 1,120 ft above sea level in Antrim County.

1,120 ftElevation, city center
4,519People, 2024 estimate
71 sq miLand area
Sunny 41°
Sunny now Dew point 34° · NNW 14 mph · high 39°
City of Mancelona River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Mancelona plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Mancelona

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 1:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Boyne Mountain Airport (KBFA) · 2:35 PM
Sunny
41° Sunny Feels like 33° · high of 39° near 2 PM
WindNNW 14 mphno gusts
Humidity75%falling to 82% this afternoon
Pressure30.14 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 34° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 130.05 in · 1 dry day
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Antrim County
NWS Gaylord and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 2:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:35 AM5:12 PM ↓
9 h 37 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
2
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
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11a
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11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
TEMPERATURE °F
39°
36°
43°
34°
48°
41°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
7
5
0
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6
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 31 to 40°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
39° 34°
0% rain — NNW 7 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
46° 32°
0% rain — N 0 A
MON Nov. 16 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
51° 38°
0% rain — SW 5 A
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
55° 40°
0% rain — SSW 5 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 44°
0% rain — SSW 6 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
58° 43°
20% rain — WSW 3 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
55° 43°
20% rain — ESE 5 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Mancelona about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Gulf of Alaska three days ago, and over the Canadian Prairies a day ago, about 2,660 miles back along its path. It came down from about 10,900 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from British Columbia; at 10,000 feet, from the Gulf of Alaska. It feels dry all the same. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2022

The hottest this week has been

74° on Nov. 11, 2022, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1938. Next is 68° in 2020.

68°
74°
20202022
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Kalkaska record since 1938.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Mancelona stands on

Mancelona’s center stands about 1,120 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 980 ft to 1,400 ft, a difference of 420 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Toll Hill, about 1,460 ft, 14 miles east-southeast.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

Mancelona, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
500 ft750 ft1,000 ft1,250 ft MANCELONA1,120 ftLow point570 ftGrass Riverabout 590 ftHigh point of the line1,430 ft ← NW · Forest HomeSE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 23×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Coldwater Shale

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 16 mi of the line.

Ellsworth Shale

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Antrim Shale

Black-shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Mancelona’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1938 · Kalkaska, 13 mi south-southwest

Mancelona has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 79° in July; winter nights fall to about 10° in February. A normal year brings about 132 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 34 inches of water.

26°11°28°10°38°16°51°29°65°41°75°51°79°55°77°54°70°46°56°36°42°27°31°18° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 TODAY MANCELONA 33.7 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average79° / 55°high / low, the warmest month
February, average28° / 10°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow33.7 inwettest months: October and September
Snow a year132.1 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record97°FJuly 1, 2018
Coldest on record−34°FFebruary 5, 1996
Wettest day on record3.62 inMay 29, 1942
Snowiest day on record24.0 inJanuary 26, 1990
90° days a year4on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°180and 79 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Sept. 29, to the last in spring, about May 26 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingDec. 10 to March 1; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingOct. 29 to April 23; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretchAugust through October: 10.8 of the year’s 33.7 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Mancelona normally reaches 43° and falls to 28°. The record high is 64°, in 1999; the record low 13°, in 1995. The most rain on this date, 0.58 in, fell in 1957.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high26°28°38°51°65°75°79°77°70°56°42°31°
Normal low11°10°16°29°41°51°55°54°46°36°27°18°
Rain and melt, in2.001.501.712.913.283.283.092.983.684.152.932.16
Snow, inches38.324.813.76.80.70.00.00.00.01.017.129.7
Record high58° (2013)68° (2024)85° (2012)86° (2002)90° (2022)94° (2025)97° (2018)96° (2006)92° (2017)88° (2025)75° (2020)63° (2001)
Record low−32° (1994)−34° (1996)−29° (2014)−4° (2003)19° (2020)29° (2003)33° (1992)32° (2009)23° (2000)19° (2013)−2° (1996)−18° (2004)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1938 at Kalkaska, 13 miles south-southwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Mancelona on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Traverse City MI · 32 MI 32 miles west Garfield MI · 34 MI 34 miles west Grand Rapids MI · 138 MI 138 miles south Sterling Heights MI · 187 MI 187 miles southeast Warren MI · 193 MI 193 miles southeast Detroit MI · 197 MI 197 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Mancelona, Michigan. Explore the plate
MICHIGAN · ANTRIM

Mancelona

4,519 people, 1,120 ft above sea level in Antrim County.

1,120 ftElevation
4,519People
71 sq miLand
Sunny 41°
SunnyDew point 34°
1

Today in Mancelona

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy day 39° 1%
5p mostly cloudy night 39° 1%
8p mostly cloudy night 37° 2%
11p mostly cloudy night 37° 3%
2a mostly cloudy night 36° 2%
5a mostly cloudy night 36° 2%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
34
39
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
32
46
A
Mon0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
38
51
A
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
40
55
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
44
57
A
Thu20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
43
58
B
Fri20%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
43
55
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2022

74°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1938.

2

What Mancelona stands on

Mancelona’s center stands about 1,120 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 980 ft to 1,400 ft, a difference of 420 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Toll Hill, about 1,460 ft, 14 miles east-southeast.

Mancelona, northwest to southeast Mancelona1,120 ftGrass Riverabout 590 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 43×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center1,120 ft
Within 3 miles980 to 1,400 ft
Lie of the landHilly (420 ft of relief)
High point nearbyToll Hill, 1,460 ft, 14 mi east-southeast
5

Mancelona’s year

Mancelona has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 79° in July; winter nights fall to about 10° in February. A normal year brings about 132 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 34 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 33.7 in
July, average79° / 55° · high / low, the warmest month
February, average28° / 10° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow33.7 in · wettest months: October and September
Snow a year132.1 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record97°F · July 1, 2018
Coldest on record−34°F · February 5, 1996
Wettest day on record3.62 in · May 29, 1942
Snowiest day on record24.0 in · January 26, 1990
90° days a year4 · on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°180 · and 79 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Sept. 29, to the last in spring, about May 26 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Dec. 10 to March 1; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Oct. 29 to April 23; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretch · August through October: 10.8 of the year’s 33.7 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Mancelona normally reaches 43° and falls to 28°. The record high is 64°, in 1999; the record low 13°, in 1995. The most rain on this date, 0.58 in, fell in 1957.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1938 at Kalkaska, 13 miles south-southwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.