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Shaded-relief map of Manchester, Michigan: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MICHIGAN · WASHTENAW COUNTY

Manchester

4,630 people, 910 ft above sea level in Washtenaw County.

910 ftElevation, city center
4,630People, 2024 estimate
38 sq miLand area
Sunny 41°
Sunny now Dew point 33° · NW 9 mph · high 43°
City of Manchester River Interstate 2 miles
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The Manchester plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Manchester

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 1:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Jackson County Airport - Reynolds Field (KJXN) · 1:56 PM
Sunny
41° Sunny Feels like 35° · high of 43° near 4 PM
WindNW 9 mphno gusts
Humidity73%falling to 70% this afternoon
Pressure30.13 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 33° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.31 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Washtenaw County
NWS Detroit/Pontiac and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 2:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:25 AM5:16 PM ↓
9 h 51 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
19
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
41°
33°
44°
29°
49°
32°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
9
8
7
6
5
5
5
6
5
2
0
0
0
0
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6
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 28 to 35°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 48° / 33°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
43° 29°
0% rain — NW 9 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
46° 26°
0% rain — NNW 5 B
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
50° 28°
0% rain — WSW 4 B
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
53° 31°
0% rain — SSW 5 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
55° 37°
0% rain — S 7 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
58° 42°
0% rain — WSW 7 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
59° 42°
10% rain — S 3 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Manchester about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the northern Plains a day ago, about 2,350 miles back along its path. It came down from about 9,700 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from Canada; at 10,000 feet, from the Pacific north of Hawaii. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2020

The hottest this week has been

77° on Nov. 11, 2020, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1985. Next is 75° in 2022.

75°
77°
20222020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Tecumseh record since 1985.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Manchester stands on

Manchester’s center stands about 910 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 850 ft to 1,020 ft, a difference of 170 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Prospect Hill, about 1,230 ft, 14 miles southwest.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

Tecumseh to Sylvan, cut in half

A section south to north, 24 miles through the town center
800 ft900 ft1,000 ft1,100 ft MANCHESTER910 ftTecumseh830 ftSharon1,110 ft ← S · TecumsehSylvan · N →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 58×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Coldwater Shale

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 18 mi of the line.

Marshall Sandstone

Sandstone. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Michigan Formation

Shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Manchester’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Manchester reaches Lake Erie by way of Iron Creek and the River Raisin: about 100 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Manchester≈ 100 mi · Lake Erie
FROM THE CENTER OF MANCHESTER ≈ 100 mi to Lake Erie and the St. Lawrence Iron Creek → River Raisin

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Manchester; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Manchester’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1985 · Tecumseh, 12 mi south-southeast

Manchester has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 86° in July; winter nights fall to about 15° in January. About 36 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

32°15°37°16°46°24°59°34°71°45°81°55°86°59°83°57°76°50°63°39°49°29°38°21° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY MANCHESTER 36.0 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Rain by month Freezing
July, average86° / 59°high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 15°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year36.0 inwettest months: June and May
Hottest on record102°FJuly 18, 2012
Coldest on record−19°FJanuary 31, 2019
Wettest day on record4.00 inAugust 6, 1998
Climate typeHot-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfa

AROUND THE RING

1Highs below freezingJan. 10 to Jan. 28; normal highs stay below 32°
2Lows below freezingNov. 4 to April 11; normal lows fall below 32°
MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high32°37°46°59°71°81°86°83°76°63°49°38°
Normal low15°16°24°34°45°55°59°57°50°39°29°21°
Rain, inches2.382.102.413.353.673.853.553.303.263.032.852.27

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1985 at Tecumseh, 12 miles south-southeast, 130 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Manchester on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Ann Arbor MI · 20 MI 20 miles northeast Canton MI · 33 MI 33 miles northeast Detroit MI · 53 MI 53 miles east Cleveland OH · 131 MI 131 miles east Columbus OH · 158 MI 158 miles south Chicago IL · 187 MI 187 miles west
FORECASTCITY
Map of Manchester, Michigan. Explore the plate
MICHIGAN · WASHTENAW

Manchester

4,630 people, 910 ft above sea level in Washtenaw County.

910 ftElevation
4,630People
38 sq miLand
Sunny 41°
SunnyDew point 33°
1

Today in Manchester

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy day 41° 1%
5p mostly cloudy night 43° 1%
8p mostly cloudy night 39° 1%
11p mostly cloudy night 37° 1%
2a mostly cloudy night 35° 1%
5a mostly cloudy night 34° 0%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
29
43
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
26
46
B
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
28
50
B
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
31
53
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
37
55
A
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
58
B
Fri10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
59
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2020

77°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1985.

2

What Manchester stands on

Manchester’s center stands about 910 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 850 ft to 1,020 ft, a difference of 170 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Prospect Hill, about 1,230 ft, 14 miles southwest.

Manchester, south to north Manchester910 ft ← SN → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 111×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center910 ft
Within 3 miles850 to 1,020 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (170 ft of relief)
High point nearbyProspect Hill, 1,230 ft, 14 mi southwest
5

Manchester’s year

Manchester has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 86° in July; winter nights fall to about 15° in January. About 36 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 36.0 in
July, average86° / 59° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 15° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year36.0 in · wettest months: June and May
Hottest on record102°F · July 18, 2012
Coldest on record−19°F · January 31, 2019
Wettest day on record4.00 in · August 6, 1998
Climate typeHot-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfa
1Highs below freezing · Jan. 10 to Jan. 28; normal highs stay below 32°
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 4 to April 11; normal lows fall below 32°
Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1985 at Tecumseh, 12 miles south-southeast, 130 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 100 mito Lake Erie and the St. LawrenceIron Creek → River Raisin

A raindrop that lands in Manchester reaches Lake Erie by way of Iron Creek and the River Raisin: about 100 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.