FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of South Arm, Michigan: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MICHIGAN · CHARLEVOIX COUNTY

South Arm

1,936 people, 740 ft above sea level in Charlevoix County.

740 ftElevation, city center
1,936People, 2024 estimate
31 sq miLand area
Clear 41°
Clear now Dew point 34° · NNW 15 mph · high 39°
City of South Arm River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The South Arm plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in South Arm

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 6:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Charlevoix Municipal Airport (KCVX) · 6:35 PM
Clear
41° Clear Feels like 33° · high of 39° near 6 PM
WindNNW 15 mphgusts 21
Humidity75%rising to 89% by morning
Pressure30.21 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 34° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Showers
Thursday30% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 130.22 in · 1 dry day
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Charlevoix County
NWS Gaylord and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:37 AM5:13 PM ↓
9 h 35 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
2
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
clear day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
TEMPERATURE °F
39°
38°
42°
39°
47°
45°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
12
8
7
6
5
6
7
6
2
3
5
7
8
12
15
15
14
14
15
15
15
16
17
16
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 32 to 39°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 45° / 34°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
39° 36°
0% rain — NNW 10 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
45° 37°
0% rain — NNW 6 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
50° 43°
0% rain — SW 13 A
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53° 44°
0% rain — SSW 14 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
55° 46°
0% rain — SSW 13 A
THU Nov. 19 Chance of showers Chance of showers
56° 44°
30% rain up to 0.09″ WSW 12 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
53° 44°
20% rain — SSE 3 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over South Arm about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Gulf of Alaska three days ago, and over the Canadian Prairies a day ago, about 2,620 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from British Columbia; at 10,000 feet, from the Gulf of Alaska. It feels dry all the same. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2022

The hottest this week has been

74° on Nov. 11, 2022, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1891. Next is 70° in 2012.

70°
74°
20122022
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Charlevoix record since 1891.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What South Arm stands on

South Arm’s center stands about 740 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 570 ft to 930 ft, a difference of 360 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Deadmans Hill, about 1,340 ft, 14 miles southeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Antrim Shale (black-shale), from the Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

South Arm, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
600 ft800 ft1,000 ft SOUTH ARM740 ftMarion800 ftEast Jordan660 ftMount Bliss890 ftJordan980 ft ← NW · NorwoodSE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 32×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Traverse Group

Limestone. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 394 million years old. About 18 mi of the line.

Antrim Shale

Black-shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Ellsworth Shale

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where South Arm’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in South Arm reaches Lake Michigan by way of the Pine River: about 13 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
South Arm≈ 13 mi · Lake Michigan
FROM THE CENTER OF SOUTH ARM ≈ 13 mi to Lake Michigan and the St. Lawrence Pine River

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of South Arm; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

South Arm’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1891 · Charlevoix, 12 mi north-northwest

South Arm has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 76° in July; winter nights fall to about 16° in February. A normal year brings about 100 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 34 inches of water.

29°18°29°16°37°22°48°33°61°43°71°54°76°61°76°61°70°53°57°43°45°34°35°25° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY SOUTH ARM 33.7 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average76° / 61°high / low, the warmest month
February, average29° / 16°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow33.7 inwettest months: October and September
Snow a year100.2 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record99°FJuly 2, 1911
Coldest on record−33°FFebruary 17, 1904
Wettest day on record4.72 inJune 24, 1898
Snowiest day on record20.5 inNovember 11, 1950
90° days a year3on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°135and 63 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 29, to the last in spring, about April 28 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingDec. 23 to March 1; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingNov. 20 to April 15; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 South Arm normally reaches 45° and falls to 34°. The record high is 63°, in 1999; the record low 9°, in 1911. The most rain on this date, 1.95 in, fell in 1927.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high29°29°37°48°61°71°76°76°70°57°45°35°
Normal low18°16°22°33°43°54°61°61°53°43°34°25°
Rain and melt, in2.271.541.862.923.052.882.723.243.604.332.832.50
Snow, inches29.919.312.05.00.10.00.00.00.00.26.427.3
Record high54° (1894)67° (2024)83° (2012)88° (2002)94° (1998)96° (2011)99° (1911)97° (2006)95° (1897)87° (2025)76° (2020)63° (2021)
Record low−22° (1904)−33° (1904)−16° (2014)3° (1912)20° (1907)32° (1913)41° (1896)37° (1915)32° (2000)24° (1925)8° (1919)−8° (1919)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1891 at Charlevoix, 12 miles north-northwest, 150 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around South Arm on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Traverse City MI · 35 MI 35 miles southwest Garfield MI · 38 MI 38 miles southwest Green Bay WI · 145 MI 145 miles west Flint MI · 165 MI 165 miles southeast Waterford MI · 194 MI 194 miles southeast Rochester Hills MI · 199 MI 199 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of South Arm, Michigan. Explore the plate
MICHIGAN · CHARLEVOIX

South Arm

1,936 people, 740 ft above sea level in Charlevoix County.

740 ftElevation
1,936People
31 sq miLand
Clear 41°
ClearDew point 34°
1

Today in South Arm

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now overcast 39° 0%
9p overcast 38° 2%
12a mostly cloudy night 38° 2%
3a mostly cloudy night 39° 2%
6a mostly cloudy night 39° 3%
9a mostly cloudy day 39° 3%
Showers
NEXT RAINThursday · 30%
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
36
39
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
37
45
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
43
50
A
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
44
53
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46
55
A
Thu30%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
44
56
B
Fri20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
44
53
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, FOUR YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2022

74°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1891.

2

What South Arm stands on

South Arm’s center stands about 740 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 570 ft to 930 ft, a difference of 360 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Deadmans Hill, about 1,340 ft, 14 miles southeast.

South Arm, northwest to southeast South Arm740 ftMount Bliss890 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 61×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center740 ft
Within 3 miles570 to 930 ft
Lie of the landRolling (360 ft of relief)
High point nearbyDeadmans Hill, 1,340 ft, 14 mi southeast
Rock at the surfaceAntrim Shale
Its ageLate Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old
5

South Arm’s year

South Arm has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 76° in July; winter nights fall to about 16° in February. A normal year brings about 100 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 34 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 33.7 in
July, average76° / 61° · high / low, the warmest month
February, average29° / 16° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow33.7 in · wettest months: October and September
Snow a year100.2 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record99°F · July 2, 1911
Coldest on record−33°F · February 17, 1904
Wettest day on record4.72 in · June 24, 1898
Snowiest day on record20.5 in · November 11, 1950
90° days a year3 · on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°135 · and 63 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 29, to the last in spring, about April 28 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Dec. 23 to March 1; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Nov. 20 to April 15; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 South Arm normally reaches 45° and falls to 34°. The record high is 63°, in 1999; the record low 9°, in 1911. The most rain on this date, 1.95 in, fell in 1927.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1891 at Charlevoix, 12 miles north-northwest, 150 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 13 mito Lake MichiganPine River

A raindrop that lands in South Arm reaches Lake Michigan by way of the Pine River: about 13 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.