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Shaded-relief map of Lake Elmo, Minnesota: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MINNESOTA · WASHINGTON COUNTY

Lake Elmo

14,161 people, 930 ft above sea level in Washington County.

930 ftElevation, city center
14,161People, 2024 estimate
22 sq miLand area
Clear 32°
Clear now Dew point 25° · Calm · high 35°
City of Lake Elmo River Interstate 2 miles
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The Lake Elmo plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Lake Elmo

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM CST
RIGHT NOW Lake Elmo Airport (K21D) · 6:05 PM
Clear
32° Clear Feels like 32° · high of 35° near 6 PM
WindCalmno gusts
Humidity74%rising to 88% by morning
Pressure30.30 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 25° · Dry39° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Friday80% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 50.18 in · 9 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Washington County
NWS Twin Cities/Chanhassen and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:19 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:07 AM4:44 PM ↓
9 h 36 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 27% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
49
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
mostly clear night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
clear day
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
35°
27°
46°
34°
52°
41°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
0
0
0
0
0
6
7
6
6
7
6
7
9
12
13
12
9
9
8
8
9
12
13
12
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 23 to 39° More humid: 38° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
35° 27°
0% rain — E 0 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly sunny; warmer Mostly sunny; warmer
48° 32°
0% rain — S 6 A
MON Nov. 16 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
53° 39°
0% rain — SSW 12 B
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
55° 44°
0% rain — S 10 B
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56° 46°
20% rain — S 10 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
53° 38°
20% rain — WNW 1 C
FRI Nov. 20 Showers likely Showers likely
54° 46°
80% rain 0.09–0.8″ SE 8 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Lake Elmo about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the open Pacific three days ago, and over the Canadian Prairies a day ago, about 2,450 miles back along its path. It came down from about 10,800 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from Canada; at 10,000 feet, from British Columbia. It feels dry all the same. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, ONE YEAR AGO Nov. 14, 2025

The hottest this week has been

72° on Nov. 14, 2025, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1871. Next is 71° in 1999.

71°
72°
19992025
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the St. Paul Downtown Airport record since 1871.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Lake Elmo stands on

Lake Elmo’s center stands about 930 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 880 ft to 1,030 ft, a difference of 150 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Big Mound, about 1,130 ft, 13 miles east-northeast.

The section below crosses 5 rock units mapped at the surface.

St. Paul to St. Joseph, cut in half

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
700 ft800 ft900 ft1,000 ft LAKE ELMO930 ftMississippi Riverabout 680 ftHigh point of the line1,090 ftBaytown940 ftBayport760 ftSt. Joseph820 ft ← W · St. PaulSt. Joseph · E →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 45×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Middle and Upper Ordovician

Shale, limestone, sandstone. Age: Middle Ordovician to Late Ordovician, 445 to 471 million years old. About 10 mi of the line.

Lower Ordovician

Dolostone, sandstone. Age: Early Ordovician, 471 to 487 million years old. About 7 mi of the line.

Cambrian, undivided

Sandstone. Age: Cambrian, 487 to 542 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Upper Cambrian

Sandstone, siltstone, shale. Age: Cambrian, 487 to 497 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Prairie du Chien Group

Dolostone. Age: Early Ordovician, 471 to 487 million years old. About 0.4 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Lake Elmo’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Lake Elmo reaches the Gulf of America by way of Valley Branch and the Mississippi: about 1,810 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Lake Elmo≈ 1,810 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF LAKE ELMO ≈ 1,810 mi to the Gulf of America Valley Branch → Mississippi

Lakes on the way: Lake Pepin and Lake Mallalieu 175.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Lake Elmo; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Lake Elmo’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1871 · St. Paul Downtown Airport, 10 mi west-southwest

Lake Elmo has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 83° in July; winter nights fall to about 9° in January. About 29 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

24°9°29°13°42°25°57°37°69°49°79°59°83°64°80°62°72°53°58°40°42°27°29°15° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 TODAY LAKE ELMO 29.2 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average83° / 64°high / low, the warmest month
January, average24° / 9°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year29.2 inwettest months: June and August
Hottest on record104°FAugust 10, 1947
Coldest on record−41°FJanuary 21, 1888
Wettest day on record5.57 inMay 29, 1942
Snowiest day on record17.2 inMarch 29, 1924
90° days a year12very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°145and 69 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 12, to the last in spring, about April 23 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingDec. 5 to Feb. 25; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingNov. 3 to April 3; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretchJune through August: 12.7 of the year’s 29.2 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Lake Elmo normally reaches 43° and falls to 28°. The record high is 72°, in 2025; the record low 1°, in 1919. The most rain on this date, 1.03 in, fell in 1926.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high24°29°42°57°69°79°83°80°72°58°42°29°
Normal low9°13°25°37°49°59°64°62°53°40°27°15°
Rain, inches0.480.521.432.583.974.633.974.103.082.471.320.65
Record high58° (1944)64° (2024)83° (1910)93° (1952)99° (2018)101° (2011)104° (1901)104° (1947)101° (1931)91° (2023)78° (1999)63° (1939)
Record low−41° (1888)−33° (1899)−23° (1948)6° (1924)23° (1907)34° (1945)45° (1895)39° (1950)28° (1942)8° (1925)−25° (1875)−39° (1879)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1871 at St. Paul Downtown Airport, 10 miles west-southwest, 230 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Lake Elmo on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

St. Paul MN · 10 MI 10 miles west Minneapolis MN · 18 MI 18 miles west Eau Claire WI · 70 MI 70 miles east Rochester MN · 71 MI 71 miles south St. Cloud MN · 72 MI 72 miles northwest Duluth MN · 129 MI 129 miles north
FORECASTCITY
Map of Lake Elmo, Minnesota. Explore the plate
MINNESOTA · WASHINGTON

Lake Elmo

14,161 people, 930 ft above sea level in Washington County.

930 ftElevation
14,161People
22 sq miLand
Clear 32°
ClearDew point 25°
1

Today in Lake Elmo

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly clear night 35° 0%
9p mostly cloudy night 30° 0%
12a mostly cloudy night 29° 0%
3a partly cloudy night 28° 0%
6a partly cloudy night 27° 0%
9a mostly sunny 33° 0%
Rain
NEXT RAINFriday · 80%
→
Sat0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
27
35
A
Sun0%
Mostly sunny; warmer Mostly sunny; warmer
32
48
A
Mon0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
39
53
B
Tue0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
44
55
B
Wed20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46
56
B
Thu20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
38
53
C
Fri80%
Showers likely Showers likely
46
54
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, ONE YEAR AGO · NOV. 14, 2025

72°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1871.

2

What Lake Elmo stands on

Lake Elmo’s center stands about 930 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 880 ft to 1,030 ft, a difference of 150 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Big Mound, about 1,130 ft, 13 miles east-northeast.

Lake Elmo, west to east Lake Elmo930 ftMississippi Riverabout 680 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 87×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center930 ft
Within 3 miles880 to 1,030 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (150 ft of relief)
High point nearbyBig Mound, 1,130 ft, 13 mi east-northeast
5

Lake Elmo’s year

Lake Elmo has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 83° in July; winter nights fall to about 9° in January. About 29 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 29.2 in
July, average83° / 64° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average24° / 9° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year29.2 in · wettest months: June and August
Hottest on record104°F · August 10, 1947
Coldest on record−41°F · January 21, 1888
Wettest day on record5.57 in · May 29, 1942
Snowiest day on record17.2 in · March 29, 1924
90° days a year12 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°145 · and 69 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 12, to the last in spring, about April 23 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Dec. 5 to Feb. 25; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Nov. 3 to April 3; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretch · June through August: 12.7 of the year’s 29.2 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Lake Elmo normally reaches 43° and falls to 28°. The record high is 72°, in 2025; the record low 1°, in 1919. The most rain on this date, 1.03 in, fell in 1926.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1871 at St. Paul Downtown Airport, 10 miles west-southwest, 230 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 1,810 mito the Gulf of AmericaValley Branch → Mississippi

A raindrop that lands in Lake Elmo reaches the Gulf of America by way of Valley Branch and the Mississippi: about 1,810 river miles.

Lakes on the way: Lake Pepin and Lake Mallalieu 175.