FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Waconia, Minnesota: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MINNESOTA · CARVER COUNTY

Waconia

13,831 people, 1,020 ft above sea level in Carver County.

1,020 ftElevation, city center
13,831People, 2024 estimate
6 sq miLand area
Clear 38°
Clear now Dew point 21° · ESE 3 mph · high 37°
City of Waconia River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Waconia plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Waconia

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM CST
RIGHT NOW Minneapolis - Flying Cloud Airport (KFCM) · 5:53 PM
Clear
38° Clear Feels like 36° · high of 37° near 6 PM
WindESE 3 mphno gusts
Humidity50%rising to 85% by morning
Pressure30.28 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 21° · Dry39° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Friday80% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 50.02 in · 9 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Carver County
NWS Twin Cities/Chanhassen and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:11 AM4:48 PM ↓
9 h 37 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 27% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
52
MODERATEAir quality index · fine particles
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
clear day
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
37°
28°
47°
36°
53°
42°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
3
3
3
3
5
7
9
8
8
9
10
10
11
14
16
14
12
12
12
12
12
14
16
14
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 24 to 39° More humid: 38° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 43° / 28°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
37° 28°
0% rain — SE 3 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly sunny; warmer Mostly sunny; warmer
49° 35°
0% rain — S 8 A
MON Nov. 16 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
54° 41°
0% rain — SSW 14, gusts 26 A
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56° 46°
0% rain — S 13 B
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 47°
20% rain — S 13 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
54° 39°
20% rain — WNW 5 C
FRI Nov. 20 Showers likely Showers likely
55° 47°
80% rain 0.1–0.8″ SE 12 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Waconia about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the Canadian Prairies a day ago, about 1,400 miles back along its path. It rose from near the ground on the way. Near the ground the air came from Canada; at 10,000 feet, from the Pacific north of Hawaii. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 2014 Nov. 15, 2014

The coldest this week has been

1° on Nov. 15, 2014, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1996. Next is 2° in 2019.

2°
1°
20192014
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Chanhassen Wsfo record since 1996.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Waconia stands on

Waconia’s center stands about 1,020 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 920 ft to 1,050 ft, a difference of 130 ft: gently rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Middle and Upper Cambrian (sandstone, siltstone, shale), from the Middle Cambrian to Cambrian, 487 to 521 million years old.

The section below crosses 4 rock units mapped at the surface.

Lester Prairie to Jackson, cut in half

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
700 ft800 ft900 ft1,000 ft WACONIA1,020 ftMayer970 ftWaconia1,020 ftMinnesota Riverabout 690 ft ← NW · Lester PrairieJackson · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 52×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Upper Cambrian

Sandstone, siltstone, shale. Age: Cambrian, 487 to 497 million years old. About 15 mi of the line.

Lower Ordovician

Dolostone, sandstone. Age: Early Ordovician, 471 to 487 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Middle and Upper Cambrian

Sandstone, siltstone, shale. Age: Middle Cambrian to Cambrian, 487 to 521 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Claystone, siltstone, and sandstone

Claystone, siltstone, sandstone. Age: Early Cretaceous, 100 to 113 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Waconia’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Waconia reaches the Gulf of America by way of Carver Creek, the Minnesota and the Mississippi: about 1,870 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Waconia≈ 1,870 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF WACONIA ≈ 1,870 mi to the Gulf of America Carver Creek → Minnesota → Mississippi

Lake on the way: Lake Pepin.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Waconia; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Waconia’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1996 · Chanhassen Wsfo, 11 mi east

Waconia has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 82° in July; winter nights fall to about 6° in January. A normal year brings about 55 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 33 inches of water.

22°6°27°9°40°22°55°35°68°47°77°58°82°62°79°60°71°51°57°38°41°25°27°12° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 TODAY WACONIA 32.8 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average82° / 62°high / low, the warmest month
January, average22° / 6°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow32.8 inwettest months: August and June
Snow a year54.7 insnowiest: December
Hottest on record100°FJune 7, 2011
Coldest on record−35°FFebruary 2, 1996
Wettest day on record5.53 inSeptember 4, 2005
Snowiest day on record13.6 inDecember 9, 2012
90° days a year7none reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°156and 79 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 7, to the last in spring, about April 29 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingDec. 1 to Feb. 29; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingOct. 29 to April 9; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretchJune through August: 13.0 of the year’s 32.8 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Waconia normally reaches 41° and falls to 26°. The record high is 71°, in 2025; the record low 4°, in 2014. The most rain on this date, 0.72 in, fell in 2010.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high22°27°40°55°68°77°82°79°71°57°41°27°
Normal low6°9°22°35°47°58°62°60°51°38°25°12°
Rain and melt, in0.870.941.563.164.364.403.874.763.292.661.731.21
Snow, inches10.011.29.15.40.00.00.00.00.00.65.113.3
Record high55° (2003)64° (2024)79° (2012)90° (2004)99° (2018)100° (2011)99° (2012)98° (2023)96° (2023)90° (2023)77° (1999)67° (1998)
Record low−31° (2019)−35° (1996)−19° (2019)6° (2018)27° (2026)41° (2009)48° (2009)38° (2004)30° (2001)13° (2020)−10° (1996)−26° (1996)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1996 at Chanhassen Wsfo, 11 miles east. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Waconia on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Minneapolis MN · 27 MI 27 miles east St. Paul MN · 34 MI 34 miles east Woodbury MN · 43 MI 43 miles east St. Cloud MN · 51 MI 51 miles north Rochester MN · 86 MI 86 miles southeast Eau Claire WI · 113 MI 113 miles east
FORECASTCITY
Map of Waconia, Minnesota. Explore the plate
MINNESOTA · CARVER

Waconia

13,831 people, 1,020 ft above sea level in Carver County.

1,020 ftElevation
13,831People
6 sq miLand
Clear 38°
ClearDew point 21°
1

Today in Waconia

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly clear night 37° 0%
9p partly cloudy night 32° 0%
12a partly cloudy night 31° 0%
3a partly cloudy night 30° 0%
6a partly cloudy night 28° 0%
9a mostly sunny 34° 0%
Rain
NEXT RAINFriday · 80%
→
Sat0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
28
37
A
Sun0%
Mostly sunny; warmer Mostly sunny; warmer
35
49
A
Mon0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
41
54
A
Tue0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46
56
B
Wed20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
47
57
B
Thu20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
39
54
C
Fri80%
Showers likely Showers likely
47
55
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 2014 · NOV. 15, 2014

1°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1996.

2

What Waconia stands on

Waconia’s center stands about 1,020 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 920 ft to 1,050 ft, a difference of 130 ft: gently rolling country.

Waconia, northwest to southeast Waconia1,020 ftMinnesota Riverabout 690 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 99×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center1,020 ft
Within 3 miles920 to 1,050 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (130 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceMiddle and Upper Cambrian
Its ageMiddle Cambrian to Cambrian, 487 to 521 million years old
5

Waconia’s year

Waconia has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 82° in July; winter nights fall to about 6° in January. A normal year brings about 55 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 33 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 32.8 in
July, average82° / 62° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average22° / 6° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow32.8 in · wettest months: August and June
Snow a year54.7 in · snowiest: December
Hottest on record100°F · June 7, 2011
Coldest on record−35°F · February 2, 1996
Wettest day on record5.53 in · September 4, 2005
Snowiest day on record13.6 in · December 9, 2012
90° days a year7 · none reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°156 · and 79 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 7, to the last in spring, about April 29 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Dec. 1 to Feb. 29; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Oct. 29 to April 9; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretch · June through August: 13.0 of the year’s 32.8 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Waconia normally reaches 41° and falls to 26°. The record high is 71°, in 2025; the record low 4°, in 2014. The most rain on this date, 0.72 in, fell in 2010.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1996 at Chanhassen Wsfo, 11 miles east. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 1,870 mito the Gulf of AmericaCarver Creek → Minnesota → Mississippi

A raindrop that lands in Waconia reaches the Gulf of America by way of Carver Creek, the Minnesota and the Mississippi: about 1,870 river miles.

Lake on the way: Lake Pepin.