FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Flat Willow Colony, Montana: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
MONTANA · MUSSELSHELL COUNTY

Flat Willow Colony

15 people, 3,510 ft above sea level in Musselshell County.

3,510 ftElevation, city center
15People, 2024 estimate
0 sq miLand area
Sunny 64°
Sunny now Dew point 27° · SW 9 mph · high 62°
City of Flat Willow Colony River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Flat Willow Colony plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Flat Willow Colony

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 11:00 AM MST
RIGHT NOW N BAR Ranch Airport (KMVH) · 1:00 PM
Sunny
64° Sunny Feels like 64° · high of 62° near 1 PM
WindSW 9 mphgusts 16
Humidity24%falling to 30% this afternoon
Pressure29.67 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 27° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Tuesday70% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 20.57 in · 12 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Musselshell County
NWS Billings and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 1:16 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:15 AM4:41 PM ↓
9 h 26 m of daylight, 3 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
48
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
clear day
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
62°
37°
56°
41°
55°
36°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
7
2
9
8
5
2
2
9
10
6
7
6
5
2
2
2
5
2
2
3
3
3
3
6
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 23 to 34°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 47° / 23°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
62° 34°
0% rain — S 6 A
SUN Nov. 15 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 34°
0% rain — SW 7 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
57° 33°
0% rain — S 3 B
TUE Nov. 17 Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
44° 26°
70% rain up to 0.3″ N 6 C
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
39° 22°
20% rain — NW 3 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
39° 24°
30% rain — ESE 5 C
FRI Nov. 20 Chance of showers Chance of showers
37° 21°
40% rain up to 0.2″ NNW 6 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Flat Willow Colony about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the northern Rockies a day ago, about 820 miles back along its path. Most of the nine paths traced from around the city agree. Near the ground the air came from British Columbia; at 10,000 feet, from the Pacific north of Hawaii. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1999 Nov. 12, 1999

The hottest this week has been

79° on Nov. 12, 1999, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1913. Next is 78° in 1990.

78°
79°
19901999
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Flatwillow 4 ENE record since 1913.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Flat Willow Colony stands on

Flat Willow Colony’s center stands about 3,510 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 3,430 ft to 3,820 ft, a difference of 390 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Three Buttes, about 4,100 ft, 15 miles northwest.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Eagle Formation (sandstone, sandstone-mudstone), from the Late Cretaceous, 72 to 87 million years old.

The section below crosses 10 rock units mapped at the surface.

Flat Willow Colony, cut in half from west to east

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
3,250 ft3,500 ft3,750 ft4,000 ft FLAT WILLOW COLONY3,510 ftHigh point of the line4,090 ftLow point3,150 ft ← WE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 21×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Gravel

Age: Late Miocene to Holocene, less than 7.2 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Judith River Formation

Sandstone, shale. Age: Late Cretaceous, 72 to 84 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Eagle Formation

Sandstone, sandstone-mudstone. Age: Late Cretaceous, 72 to 87 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Claggett Formation

Shale. Age: Late Cretaceous, 72 to 84 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Kootenai Formation

Mudstone, siltstone, sandstone. Age: Early Cretaceous, 100 to 133 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Thermopolis Formation

Shale. Age: Early Cretaceous, 100 to 113 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 4 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Flat Willow Colony’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Flat Willow Colony reaches the Gulf of America by way of Little Wall Creek, North Willow Creek, the Musselshell, the Missouri and the Mississippi: about 3,190 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Flat Willow Colony≈ 3,190 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF FLAT WILLOW COLONY ≈ 3,190 mi to the Gulf of America Little Wall Creek → North Willow Creek → Musselshell → Missouri → Mississippi

Lakes on the way: Lake Oahe, Lake Sakakawea, Lake Fort Peck and Lake Sharpe.

1,170 miles of the trip are on the Mississippi.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Flat Willow Colony; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Flat Willow Colony’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1913 · Flatwillow 4 ENE, 9 mi northeast

Flat Willow Colony has a cold semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 86° in July; winter nights fall to about 14° in January. A normal year brings about 43 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 14 inches of water.

36°14°38°16°48°24°58°32°67°41°76°50°86°55°86°54°75°45°60°35°46°24°37°15° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY 14.2 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average86° / 55°high / low, the warmest month
January, average36° / 14°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow14.2 inwettest months: May and June
Snow a year43.4 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record111°FJuly 12, 2026
Coldest on record−48°FDecember 18, 1924
Wettest day on record4.54 inSeptember 18, 2024
Snowiest day on record18.0 inApril 28, 1970
90° days a year35about 3 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°172and 35 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeCold semi-aridKöppen BSk

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Sept. 22, to the last in spring, about May 20 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingOct. 22 to April 21; normal lows fall below 32°
3Wettest stretchApril through June: 7.0 of the year’s 14.2 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Flat Willow Colony normally reaches 47° and falls to 24°. The record high is 75°, in 1999; the record low −13°, in 2014. The most rain on this date, 0.16 in, fell in 1930.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high36°38°48°58°67°76°86°86°75°60°46°37°
Normal low14°16°24°32°41°50°55°54°45°35°24°15°
Rain and melt, in0.480.450.581.412.832.721.271.141.171.160.500.48
Snow, inches10.49.04.74.20.20.00.00.00.02.33.88.8
Record high72° (2005)76° (1992)80° (2004)91° (1952)98° (1934)107° (1936)111° (2026)108° (1961)104° (2022)94° (2011)81° (1917)70° (1956)
Record low−42° (1997)−46° (1936)−30° (1960)−14° (1940)8° (1954)27° (2009)34° (1918)30° (1992)8° (1926)−18° (1925)−29° (1921)−48° (1924)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1913 at Flatwillow 4 ENE, 9 miles northeast, 220 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Flat Willow Colony on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Billings MT · 65 MI 65 miles south Great Falls MT · 143 MI 143 miles west
FORECASTCITY
Map of Flat Willow Colony, Montana. Explore the plate
MONTANA · MUSSELSHELL

Flat Willow Colony

15 people, 3,510 ft above sea level in Musselshell County.

3,510 ftElevation
15People
0 sq miLand
Sunny 64°
SunnyDew point 27°
1

Today in Flat Willow Colony

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly sunny 62° 0%
4p mostly sunny 56° 0%
7p mostly clear night 45° 1%
10p mostly clear night 44° 1%
1a mostly clear night 41° 1%
4a mostly clear night 39° 1%
Rain
NEXT RAINTuesday · 70%
→
Sat0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
34
62
A
Sun0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
34
57
A
Mon0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
33
57
B
Tue70%
Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
26
44
C
Wed20%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
22
39
B
Thu30%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
24
39
C
Fri40%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
21
37
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1999 · NOV. 12, 1999

79°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1913.

2

What Flat Willow Colony stands on

Flat Willow Colony’s center stands about 3,510 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 3,430 ft to 3,820 ft, a difference of 390 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Three Buttes, about 4,100 ft, 15 miles northwest.

Flat Willow Colony, west to east Flat Willow Colony3,510 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 39×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center3,510 ft
Within 3 miles3,430 to 3,820 ft
Lie of the landRolling (390 ft of relief)
High point nearbyThree Buttes, 4,100 ft, 15 mi northwest
Rock at the surfaceEagle Formation
Its ageLate Cretaceous, 72 to 87 million years old
5

Flat Willow Colony’s year

Flat Willow Colony has a cold semi-arid climate. Summer afternoons average 86° in July; winter nights fall to about 14° in January. A normal year brings about 43 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 14 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 14.2 in
July, average86° / 55° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average36° / 14° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow14.2 in · wettest months: May and June
Snow a year43.4 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record111°F · July 12, 2026
Coldest on record−48°F · December 18, 1924
Wettest day on record4.54 in · September 18, 2024
Snowiest day on record18.0 in · April 28, 1970
90° days a year35 · about 3 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°172 · and 35 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeCold semi-arid · Köppen BSk
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Sept. 22, to the last in spring, about May 20 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Oct. 22 to April 21; normal lows fall below 32°
3Wettest stretch · April through June: 7.0 of the year’s 14.2 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Flat Willow Colony normally reaches 47° and falls to 24°. The record high is 75°, in 1999; the record low −13°, in 2014. The most rain on this date, 0.16 in, fell in 1930.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1913 at Flatwillow 4 ENE, 9 miles northeast, 220 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 3,190 mito the Gulf of AmericaLittle Wall Creek → North Willow Creek → Musselshell → Missouri → Mississippi

A raindrop that lands in Flat Willow Colony reaches the Gulf of America by way of Little Wall Creek, North Willow Creek, the Musselshell, the Missouri and the Mississippi: about 3,190 river miles.

Lakes on the way: Lake Oahe, Lake Sakakawea, Lake Fort Peck and Lake Sharpe.

1,170 miles of the trip are on the Mississippi.