FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Ayr, North Dakota: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
NORTH DAKOTA · CASS COUNTY

Ayr

12 people, 1,200 ft above sea level in Cass County.

1,200 ftElevation, city center
12People, 2024 estimate
0 sq miLand area
Sunny 44°
Sunny now Dew point 22° · SSE 21 mph · high 37°
City of Ayr River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Ayr plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Ayr

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 4:00 PM CST
RIGHT NOW Hector International Airport (KFAR) · 3:53 PM
Sunny
44° Sunny Feels like 36° · high of 37° near 4 PM
WindSSE 21 mphgusts 29
Humidity41%rising to 82% by morning
Pressure30.16 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 22° · Dry42° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Wednesday40% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 40.06 in · 10 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Cass County
NWS Grand Forks and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 4:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:31 AM4:57 PM ↓
9 h 25 m of daylight, 3 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
25
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
clear night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
37°
31°
49°
39°
55°
42°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
15
14
14
14
14
15
17
20
18
17
16
14
13
13
14
14
12
11
12
12
12
13
16
17
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 25 to 42° More humid: 42° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 39° / 22°
SAT Nov. 14 Sunny Sunny
37° 29°
0% rain — SSE 15 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly sunny; warmer Mostly sunny; warmer
50° 38°
0% rain — S 18, gusts 33 B
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
56° 40°
0% rain — SSW 14, gusts 26 B
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
54° 42°
0% rain — SSE 14, gusts 25 B
WED Nov. 18 Chance of showers Chance of showers
53° 38°
40% rain up to 0.08″ SSW 9 C
THU Nov. 19 Mostly cloudy; cooler Mostly cloudy; cooler
45° 32°
10% rain — N 6 C
FRI Nov. 20 Chance of showers Chance of showers
45° 35°
60% rain up to 0.6″ E 12 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Ayr about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the northern Rockies a day ago, about 1,730 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from British Columbia; at 10,000 feet, from the Pacific north of Hawaii. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1999 Nov. 14, 1999

The hottest this week has been

66° on Nov. 14, 1999, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1984. Next is 66° in 2025.

66°
66°
20251999
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Casselton Agronomy Farm record since 1984.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Ayr stands on

Ayr’s center stands about 1,200 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,140 ft to 1,230 ft, a difference of 90 ft: gently rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Greenhorn Formation (shale), from the Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old.

The section below crosses 4 rock units mapped at the surface.

Ayr, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
1,000 ft1,100 ft1,200 ft AYR1,200 ftLow point950 ft ← NWAmenia · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Greenhorn Formation

Shale. Age: Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old. About 13 mi of the line.

Belle Fourche-Skull Creek, Undivided

Shale, sandstone. Age: Early Cretaceous to Late Cretaceous, 66 to 145 million years old. About 9 mi of the line.

Carlile Formation

Shale. Age: Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Belle Fourche Formation

Shale. Age: Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old. About 0.8 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Ayr’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Ayr reaches Hudson Bay by way of Swan Creek, the Maple, the Sheyenne, the Red River of the North and the Nelson: about 1,150 river miles. Past the border it runs north through Canada to Hudson Bay.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Ayr≈ 1,150 mi · Hudson Bay
FROM THE CENTER OF AYR ≈ 1,150 mi to Hudson Bay Swan Creek → Maple → Sheyenne → Red River of the North → Nelson

Lake on the way: Lake Winnipeg.

430 miles of the trip are on the Red River of the North.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Ayr; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Ayr’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1984 · Casselton Agronomy Farm, 17 mi southeast

Ayr has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 81° in July; winter nights fall to about −1° in January. A normal year brings about 37 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 24 inches of water.

17°−1°22°2°35°17°53°31°68°43°77°55°81°59°80°56°71°46°56°34°38°20°23°7° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 TODAY AYR 24.2 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average81° / 59°high / low, the warmest month
January, average17° / −1°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow24.2 inwettest months: June and July
Snow a year36.7 insnowiest: December
Hottest on record107°FJuly 6, 1988
Coldest on record−39°FFebruary 9, 1994
Wettest day on record5.75 inJuly 16, 1993
Snowiest day on record21.0 inJanuary 18, 1996
90° days a year10very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°183and 93 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 1, to the last in spring, about May 13 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingNov. 26 to March 12; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingOct. 20 to April 20; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretchMay through July: 11.3 of the year’s 24.2 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Ayr normally reaches 38° and falls to 20°. The record high is 66°, in 1999; the record low −2°, in 2014. The most rain on this date, 0.41 in, fell in 1997.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high17°22°35°53°68°77°81°80°71°56°38°23°
Normal low−1°2°17°31°43°55°59°56°46°34°20°7°
Rain and melt, in0.540.571.091.493.164.433.692.622.792.330.800.69
Snow, inches7.46.66.23.30.00.00.00.00.00.74.48.1
Record high56° (2012)58° (2024)76° (1986)92° (1990)97° (1987)101° (2022)107° (1988)105° (1988)98° (1984)93° (2023)76° (1990)58° (2023)
Record low−37° (1994)−39° (1994)−23° (2008)1° (2023)19° (2005)35° (1985)41° (2001)36° (1987)22° (1995)8° (1991)−33° (1985)−34° (1990)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1984 at Casselton Agronomy Farm, 17 miles southeast, 260 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Ayr on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Fargo ND · 34 MI 34 miles east Moorhead MN · 37 MI 37 miles east Grand Forks ND · 64 MI 64 miles north Bismarck ND · 156 MI 156 miles west St. Cloud MN · 190 MI 190 miles southeast Minot ND · 195 MI 195 miles northwest
FORECASTCITY
Map of Ayr, North Dakota. Explore the plate
NORTH DAKOTA · CASS

Ayr

12 people, 1,200 ft above sea level in Cass County.

1,200 ftElevation
12People
0 sq miLand
Sunny 44°
SunnyDew point 22°
1

Today in Ayr

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now clear day 37° 0%
7p mostly clear night 35° 0%
10p partly cloudy night 34° 0%
1a partly cloudy night 32° 0%
4a mostly clear night 32° 0%
7a mostly clear night 31° 0%
Rain
NEXT RAINWednesday · 40%
→
Sat0%
Sunny Sunny
29
37
A
Sun0%
Mostly sunny; warmer Mostly sunny; warmer
38
50
B
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
40
56
B
Tue0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
42
54
B
Wed40%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
38
53
C
Thu10%
Mostly cloudy; cooler Mostly cloudy; cooler
32
45
C
Fri60%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
35
45
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1999 · NOV. 14, 1999

66°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1984.

2

What Ayr stands on

Ayr’s center stands about 1,200 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,140 ft to 1,230 ft, a difference of 90 ft: gently rolling country.

Ayr, northwest to southeast Ayr1,200 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center1,200 ft
Within 3 miles1,140 to 1,230 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (90 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceGreenhorn Formation
Its ageLate Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old
5

Ayr’s year

Ayr has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 81° in July; winter nights fall to about −1° in January. A normal year brings about 37 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 24 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1234 24.2 in
July, average81° / 59° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average17° / −1° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow24.2 in · wettest months: June and July
Snow a year36.7 in · snowiest: December
Hottest on record107°F · July 6, 1988
Coldest on record−39°F · February 9, 1994
Wettest day on record5.75 in · July 16, 1993
Snowiest day on record21.0 in · January 18, 1996
90° days a year10 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°183 · and 93 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 1, to the last in spring, about May 13 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Nov. 26 to March 12; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Oct. 20 to April 20; normal lows fall below 32°
4Wettest stretch · May through July: 11.3 of the year’s 24.2 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Ayr normally reaches 38° and falls to 20°. The record high is 66°, in 1999; the record low −2°, in 2014. The most rain on this date, 0.41 in, fell in 1997.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1984 at Casselton Agronomy Farm, 17 miles southeast, 260 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 1,150 mito Hudson BaySwan Creek → Maple → Sheyenne → Red River of the North → Nelson

A raindrop that lands in Ayr reaches Hudson Bay by way of Swan Creek, the Maple, the Sheyenne, the Red River of the North and the Nelson: about 1,150 river miles. Past the border it runs north through Canada to Hudson Bay.

Lake on the way: Lake Winnipeg.

430 miles of the trip are on the Red River of the North.