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Shaded-relief map of Surprise, Nebraska: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
NEBRASKA · BUTLER COUNTY

Surprise

40 people, 1,540 ft above sea level in Butler County.

1,540 ftElevation, city center
40People, 2024 estimate
0 sq miLand area
Sunny 47°
Sunny now Dew point 28° · SE 10 mph · high 46°
City of Surprise River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Surprise plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Surprise

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 12:00 PM CST
RIGHT NOW Lincoln Municipal Airport (KLNK) · 12:54 PM
Sunny
47° Sunny Feels like 42° · high of 46° near 3 PM
WindSE 10 mphno gusts
Humidity48%falling to 51% this afternoon
Pressure30.24 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 28° · Dry42° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Friday80% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 30.48 in · 11 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Butler County
NWS Omaha/Valley and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 1:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:15 AM5:11 PM ↓
9 h 55 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
21
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
1p
4p
7p
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10a
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
44°
29°
51°
33°
53°
41°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
13
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 26 to 29° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 42° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 52° / 28°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46° 28°
0% rain — SSE 13 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53° 32°
0% rain — S 7 B
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
55° 39°
0% rain — S 13, gusts 26 B
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
58° 45°
0% rain — S 18, gusts 31 B
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
62° 45°
10% rain — S 18, gusts 30 C
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
60° 45°
10% rain — E 6 C
FRI Nov. 20 Showers likely Showers likely
66° 50°
80% rain 0.1–1.2″ S 18, gusts 30 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Surprise about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the central Plains three days ago, and over the southern Plains a day ago, about 660 miles back along its path. The nine paths traced from around the city fan out, so treat that as a best guess. Near the ground the air came from Texas; at 10,000 feet, from the central Plains. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 2014 Nov. 16, 2014

The coldest this week has been

−3° on Nov. 16, 2014, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1978. Next is −2° in 2019.

−2°
−3°
20192014
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Surprise record since 1978.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Surprise stands on

Surprise’s center stands about 1,540 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,520 ft to 1,620 ft, a difference of 100 ft: gently rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Greenhorn Limestone and Graneros Shale (shale, limestone), from the Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old.

The section below crosses 2 rock units mapped at the surface.

Surprise, cut in half from south to north

A section south to north, 24 miles through the town center
1,500 ft1,600 ft SURPRISE1,540 ftLincoln Creekabout 1,480 ftHigh point of the line1,660 ft ← SN →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Carlile Shale

Shale. Age: Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old. About 19 mi of the line.

Greenhorn Limestone and Graneros Shale

Shale, limestone. Age: Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Surprise’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Surprise reaches the Gulf of America by way of the Big Blue, the Kansas, the Missouri and the Mississippi: about 1,940 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Surprise≈ 1,940 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF SURPRISE ≈ 1,940 mi to the Gulf of America Big Blue → Kansas → Missouri → Mississippi

Lake on the way: Tuttle Creek Lake.

1,170 miles of the trip are on the Mississippi.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Surprise; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Surprise’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1978 · Surprise

Surprise has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 86° in July; winter nights fall to about 12° in January. A normal year brings about 24 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 28 inches of water.

34°12°39°16°51°26°62°36°72°48°82°59°86°64°84°61°78°51°65°38°51°25°38°16° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY SURPRISE 28.3 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average86° / 64°high / low, the warmest month
January, average34° / 12°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow28.3 inwettest months: May and June
Snow a year24.3 insnowiest: February
Hottest on record106°FJuly 13, 1995
Coldest on record−34°FFebruary 16, 2021
Wettest day on record6.10 inJune 30, 1986
Snowiest day on record18.0 inNovember 28, 1983
90° days a year32about 1 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°150and 39 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 11, to the last in spring, about April 28 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingOct. 29 to April 5; normal lows fall below 32°
3Wettest stretchMay through July: 12.5 of the year’s 28.3 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Surprise normally reaches 51° and falls to 26°. The record high is 84°, in 1999; the record low 1°, in 2014. The most rain on this date, 0.19 in, fell in 2021.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high34°39°51°62°72°82°86°84°78°65°51°38°
Normal low12°16°26°36°48°59°64°61°51°38°25°16°
Rain and melt, in0.580.691.452.854.874.363.253.382.552.071.340.91
Snow, inches5.86.43.61.50.00.00.00.00.00.61.54.9
Record high74° (1990)79° (1995)97° (2026)96° (1989)101° (2013)106° (1988)106° (1995)101° (2007)103° (2000)95° (2015)84° (2006)71° (1998)
Record low−24° (1996)−34° (2021)−13° (1998)6° (2018)27° (2026)41° (2022)44° (1995)41° (1988)27° (1995)6° (1997)−11° (1991)−27° (1989)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1978 at Surprise, here. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Surprise on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Columbus NE · 23 MI 23 miles north Lincoln NE · 39 MI 39 miles southeast Omaha NE · 66 MI 66 miles east Topeka KS · 166 MI 166 miles southeast Kansas City KS · 193 MI 193 miles southeast Kansas City MO · 200 MI 200 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Surprise, Nebraska. Explore the plate
NEBRASKA · BUTLER

Surprise

40 people, 1,540 ft above sea level in Butler County.

1,540 ftElevation
40People
0 sq miLand
Sunny 47°
SunnyDew point 28°
1

Today in Surprise

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now partly cloudy day 44° 0%
4p partly cloudy day 45° 0%
7p mostly cloudy night 39° 0%
10p partly cloudy night 36° 0%
1a partly cloudy night 33° 0%
4a mostly clear night 30° 0%
Rain
NEXT RAINFriday · 80%
→
Sat0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
28
46
A
Sun0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
32
53
B
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
39
55
B
Tue0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
45
58
B
Wed10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
45
62
C
Thu10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
45
60
C
Fri80%
Showers likely Showers likely
50
66
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 2014 · NOV. 16, 2014

−3°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1978.

2

What Surprise stands on

Surprise’s center stands about 1,540 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,520 ft to 1,620 ft, a difference of 100 ft: gently rolling country.

Surprise, south to north Surprise1,540 ftLincoln Creekabout 1,480 ftHigh point1,660 ft ← SN → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center1,540 ft
Within 3 miles1,520 to 1,620 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (100 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceGreenhorn Limestone and Graneros Shale
Its ageLate Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old
5

Surprise’s year

Surprise has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 86° in July; winter nights fall to about 12° in January. A normal year brings about 24 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 28 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 28.3 in
July, average86° / 64° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average34° / 12° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow28.3 in · wettest months: May and June
Snow a year24.3 in · snowiest: February
Hottest on record106°F · July 13, 1995
Coldest on record−34°F · February 16, 2021
Wettest day on record6.10 in · June 30, 1986
Snowiest day on record18.0 in · November 28, 1983
90° days a year32 · about 1 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°150 · and 39 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 11, to the last in spring, about April 28 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Oct. 29 to April 5; normal lows fall below 32°
3Wettest stretch · May through July: 12.5 of the year’s 28.3 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Surprise normally reaches 51° and falls to 26°. The record high is 84°, in 1999; the record low 1°, in 2014. The most rain on this date, 0.19 in, fell in 2021.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1978 at Surprise, here. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 1,940 mito the Gulf of AmericaBig Blue → Kansas → Missouri → Mississippi

A raindrop that lands in Surprise reaches the Gulf of America by way of the Big Blue, the Kansas, the Missouri and the Mississippi: about 1,940 river miles.

Lake on the way: Tuttle Creek Lake.

1,170 miles of the trip are on the Mississippi.