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Shaded-relief map of Lake Carmel, New York: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
NEW YORK · PUTNAM COUNTY

Lake Carmel

8,069 people, 610 ft above sea level in Putnam County.

610 ftElevation, city center
8,069People, 2024 estimate
5 sq miLand area
Sunny 46°
Sunny now Dew point 30° · N 3 mph · high 46°
City of Lake Carmel River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Lake Carmel plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Lake Carmel

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 3:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Dutchess County Airport (KPOU) · 2:53 PM
Sunny
46° Sunny Feels like 45° · high of 46° near 3 PM
WindN 3 mphno gusts
Humidity53%rising to 89% by morning
Pressure29.74 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 30° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.54 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Putnam County
NWS Upton and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 3:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:42 AM4:36 PM ↓
9 h 54 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
7
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
Tomorrow: 22, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
TEMPERATURE °F
46°
30°
48°
29°
49°
27°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
7
6
3
0
3
3
9
12
8
3
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6
7
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2
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 24 to 32° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 34° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 52° / 32°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
46° 26°
10% rain — WNW 7 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
50° 25°
0% rain — NNW 9 A
MON Nov. 16 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
52° 25°
0% rain — NNW 5 A
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
57° 27°
0% rain — W 5 B
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
60° 28°
0% rain — W 5 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
61° 32°
0% rain — SW 5 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
63° 34°
0% rain — NW 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Lake Carmel about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the Great Lakes a day ago, about 2,460 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from the Canadian Prairies; at 10,000 feet, from British Columbia. It feels dry all the same. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2020

The hottest this week has been

77° on Nov. 11, 2020, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1950. Next is 69° in 2022.

69°
77°
20222020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Shrub Oak record since 1950.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Lake Carmel stands on

Lake Carmel’s center stands about 610 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 440 ft to 1,030 ft, a difference of 590 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is South Beacon Mountain, about 1,580 ft, 15 miles west.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Biotite-quartz-plagioclase gneiss (biotite-gneiss), from the Mesoproterozoic, 1 to 1.6 billion years old.

The section below crosses 10 rock units mapped at the surface.

Golden's Bridge to Beekman, cut in half

A section south to north, 24 miles through the town center
250 ft500 ft750 ft1,000 ft LAKE CARMEL610 ftGolden's Bridge340 ftCroton Riverabout 190 ftMiddle Branch Croton Riverabout 310 ftMount Pisgah770 ftBare Hill1,060 ftShorehaven700 ft ← S · Golden's BridgeBeekman · N →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 22×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Biotite-quartz-plagioclase gneiss

Biotite-gneiss. Age: Mesoproterozoic, 1 to 1.6 billion years old. About 8 mi of the line.

Biotite granite gneiss

Biotite-gneiss. Age: Mesoproterozoic, 1 to 1.6 billion years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Amphibolite

Age: Mesoproterozoic, 1 to 1.6 billion years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Manhattan Formation, undivided

Pelitic-schist, gneiss, amphibolite. Age: Early Cambrian to Middle Ordovician, 459 to 542 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Fordham Gneiss, undivided

Gneiss. Age: Precambrian to Mesoproterozoic. About 2 mi of the line.

Walloomsac Formation

Phyllite, schist, metagraywacke. Age: Middle Ordovician, 459 to 471 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 4 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Lake Carmel’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Lake Carmel reaches New York Harbor and the Atlantic Ocean by way of the Middle Branch Croton, the Croton and the Hudson: about 65 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Lake Carmel≈ 65 mi · New York Harbor and the Atlantic Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF LAKE CARMEL ≈ 65 mi to New York Harbor and the Atlantic Ocean Middle Branch Croton → Croton → Hudson

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Lake Carmel; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Lake Carmel’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1950 · Shrub Oak, 13 mi southwest

Lake Carmel has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 84° in July; winter nights fall to about 17° in January. About 50 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

36°17°39°20°48°26°60°36°71°47°79°56°84°61°83°60°75°52°64°41°52°31°41°24° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 TODAY LAKE CARMEL 50.5 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average84° / 61°high / low, the warmest month
January, average36° / 17°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year50.5 inwettest months: December and July
Hottest on record100°FJune 27, 1950
Coldest on record−25°FJanuary 22, 1961
Wettest day on record8.10 inJuly 10, 2023
Snowiest day on record17.0 inFebruary 4, 1961
Climate typeHot-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfa

AROUND THE RING

1Lows below freezingNov. 11 to April 6; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Lake Carmel normally reaches 53° and falls to 32°. The record high is 68°, in 1964; the record low 17°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 1.18 in, fell in 1955.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high36°39°48°60°71°79°84°83°75°64°52°41°
Normal low17°20°26°36°47°56°61°60°52°41°31°24°
Rain, inches3.613.044.363.904.324.524.724.314.604.633.674.85
Record high67° (2020)79° (2018)81° (2026)92° (2023)95° (2026)100° (1950)99° (2026)97° (2022)98° (1953)91° (2019)83° (2024)68° (2015)
Record low−25° (1961)−21° (1961)−13° (1967)10° (1954)25° (1957)32° (1958)40° (1957)33° (1965)21° (1957)16° (1969)7° (2018)−18° (1950)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1950 at Shrub Oak, 13 miles southwest, 150 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Lake Carmel on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Bridgeport CT · 31 MI 31 miles southeast Yonkers NY · 37 MI 37 miles south New York NY · 57 MI 57 miles south Newark NJ · 57 MI 57 miles southwest Philadelphia PA · 127 MI 127 miles southwest Boston MA · 149 MI 149 miles northeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Lake Carmel, New York. Explore the plate
NEW YORK · PUTNAM

Lake Carmel

8,069 people, 610 ft above sea level in Putnam County.

610 ftElevation
8,069People
5 sq miLand
Sunny 46°
SunnyDew point 30°
1

Today in Lake Carmel

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy day 46° 0%
6p mostly cloudy night 42° 5%
9p partly cloudy night 37° 4%
12a partly cloudy night 34° 4%
3a partly cloudy night 32° 2%
6a mostly clear night 30° 1%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat10%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
26
46
A
Sun0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
25
50
A
Mon0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
25
52
A
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
27
57
B
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
28
60
B
Thu0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
32
61
B
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
34
63
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2020

77°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1950.

2

What Lake Carmel stands on

Lake Carmel’s center stands about 610 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 440 ft to 1,030 ft, a difference of 590 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is South Beacon Mountain, about 1,580 ft, 15 miles west.

Lake Carmel, south to north Lake Carmel610 ftCroton Riverabout 190 ftMiddle Branch Croton Riverabout 310 ft ← SN → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 41×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center610 ft
Within 3 miles440 to 1,030 ft
Lie of the landHilly (590 ft of relief)
High point nearbySouth Beacon Mountain, 1,580 ft, 15 mi west
Rock at the surfaceBiotite-quartz-plagioclase gneiss
Its ageMesoproterozoic, 1 to 1.6 billion years old
5

Lake Carmel’s year

Lake Carmel has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 84° in July; winter nights fall to about 17° in January. About 50 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 50.5 in
July, average84° / 61° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average36° / 17° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year50.5 in · wettest months: December and July
Hottest on record100°F · June 27, 1950
Coldest on record−25°F · January 22, 1961
Wettest day on record8.10 in · July 10, 2023
Snowiest day on record17.0 in · February 4, 1961
Climate typeHot-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfa
1Lows below freezing · Nov. 11 to April 6; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Lake Carmel normally reaches 53° and falls to 32°. The record high is 68°, in 1964; the record low 17°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 1.18 in, fell in 1955.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1950 at Shrub Oak, 13 miles southwest, 150 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 65 mito the AtlanticMiddle Branch Croton → Croton → Hudson

A raindrop that lands in Lake Carmel reaches New York Harbor and the Atlantic Ocean by way of the Middle Branch Croton, the Croton and the Hudson: about 65 river miles.