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Shaded-relief map of Chanceford, Pennsylvania: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
PENNSYLVANIA · YORK COUNTY

Chanceford

6,015 people, 850 ft above sea level in York County.

850 ftElevation, city center
6,015People, 2024 estimate
48 sq miLand area
Clear 47°
Clear now Dew point 32° · NW 16 mph · high 44°
City of Chanceford River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Chanceford plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Chanceford

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 6:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Harrisburg International Airport (KMDT) · 5:56 PM
Clear
47° Clear Feels like 40° · high of 44° near 6 PM
WindNW 16 mphno gusts
Humidity56%rising to 89% by morning
Pressure29.92 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 32° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.34 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for York County
NWS State College and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:47 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:49 AM4:51 PM ↓
10 h 1 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
22
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 25, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
mostly sunny
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
44°
37°
52°
34°
54°
32°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
10
10
10
9
9
12
12
10
7
7
6
7
7
10
9
7
3
3
3
5
5
6
6
0
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 30 to 37°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 54° / 36°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44° 36°
0% rain — WNW 10 A
SUN Nov. 15 Partly cloudy; warmer Partly cloudy; warmer
52° 32°
0% rain — NNW 11 A
MON Nov. 16 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
55° 31°
0% rain — NNW 9 B
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
58° 33°
0% rain — W 3 A
WED Nov. 18 Sunny Sunny
61° 33°
0% rain — WSW 5 A
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
63° 37°
0% rain — SSW 5 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
64° 39°
0% rain — WNW 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Chanceford about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the Great Lakes a day ago, about 2,610 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from British Columbia; at 10,000 feet, from the open Pacific. It feels dry all the same. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, NINE YEARS AGO Nov. 12, 2017

The coldest this week has been

20° on Nov. 12, 2017, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1948. Next is 21° in 2023.

21°
20°
20232017
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Safe Harbor Dam record since 1948.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Chanceford stands on

Chanceford’s center stands about 850 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 510 ft to 880 ft, a difference of 370 ft: rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Octoraro Formation (schist, phyllite), from the Paleozoic, 252 to 542 million years old.

The section below crosses 2 rock units mapped at the surface.

Jacobus to Providence, cut in half

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
250 ft500 ft750 ft CHANCEFORD850 ftJacobus630 ftHigh point of the line950 ftSusquehanna Riverabout 150 ftMartic760 ft ← W · JacobusProvidence · E →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 24×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Octoraro Formation

Schist, phyllite. Age: Paleozoic, 252 to 542 million years old. About 19 mi of the line.

Marburg Schist

Phyllite, mica-schist. Age: Paleozoic, 252 to 542 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Chanceford’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Chanceford reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Otter Creek and the Susquehanna: about 40 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Chanceford≈ 40 mi · Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF CHANCEFORD ≈ 40 mi to Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean Otter Creek → Susquehanna

Lake on the way: Lake Aldred.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Chanceford; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Chanceford’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1948 · Safe Harbor Dam, 5 mi east-northeast

Chanceford has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 87° in July; winter nights fall to about 25° in January. A normal year brings about 21 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 46 inches of water.

39°25°42°27°49°33°63°44°72°53°82°63°87°68°84°66°77°60°65°48°53°38°44°30° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 TODAY CHANCEFORD 46.3 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Rain by month Freezing
July, average87° / 68°high / low, the warmest month
January, average39° / 25°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow46.3 inwettest months: September and June
Snow a year21.3 insnowiest: February
Hottest on record105°FJuly 23, 2011
Coldest on record1°FFebruary 6, 1996
Wettest day on record5.56 inOctober 1, 2010
Climate typeHot-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfa

AROUND THE RING

1Lows below freezingDec. 6 to March 15; normal lows fall below 32°
MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high39°42°49°63°72°82°87°84°77°65°53°44°
Normal low25°27°33°44°53°63°68°66°60°48°38°30°
Rain and melt, in3.262.684.053.543.884.554.313.574.884.373.403.82
Snow, inches6.17.63.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.53.6

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 at Safe Harbor Dam, 5 miles east-northeast, 660 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Chanceford on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Lancaster PA · 14 MI 14 miles northeast Towson MD · 35 MI 35 miles south Philadelphia PA · 72 MI 72 miles east Washington DC · 74 MI 74 miles southwest New York NY · 144 MI 144 miles east Hempstead NY · 160 MI 160 miles east
FORECASTCITY
Map of Chanceford, Pennsylvania. Explore the plate
PENNSYLVANIA · YORK

Chanceford

6,015 people, 850 ft above sea level in York County.

850 ftElevation
6,015People
48 sq miLand
Clear 47°
ClearDew point 32°
1

Today in Chanceford

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy night 44° 0%
9p mostly cloudy night 42° 2%
12a partly cloudy night 41° 2%
3a partly cloudy night 39° 1%
6a mostly clear night 37° 0%
9a mostly sunny 45° 0%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
36
44
A
Sun0%
Partly cloudy; warmer Partly cloudy; warmer
32
52
A
Mon0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
31
55
B
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
33
58
A
Wed0%
Sunny Sunny
33
61
A
Thu0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
37
63
B
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
39
64
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, NINE YEARS AGO · NOV. 12, 2017

20°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1948.

2

What Chanceford stands on

Chanceford’s center stands about 850 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 510 ft to 880 ft, a difference of 370 ft: rolling country.

Chanceford, west to east Chanceford850 ftSusquehanna Riverabout 150 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 46×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center850 ft
Within 3 miles510 to 880 ft
Lie of the landRolling (370 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceOctoraro Formation
Its agePaleozoic, 252 to 542 million years old
5

Chanceford’s year

Chanceford has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 87° in July; winter nights fall to about 25° in January. A normal year brings about 21 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 46 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 46.3 in
July, average87° / 68° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average39° / 25° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow46.3 in · wettest months: September and June
Snow a year21.3 in · snowiest: February
Hottest on record105°F · July 23, 2011
Coldest on record1°F · February 6, 1996
Wettest day on record5.56 in · October 1, 2010
Climate typeHot-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfa
1Lows below freezing · Dec. 6 to March 15; normal lows fall below 32°
Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 at Safe Harbor Dam, 5 miles east-northeast, 660 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 40 mito the AtlanticOtter Creek → Susquehanna

A raindrop that lands in Chanceford reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Otter Creek and the Susquehanna: about 40 river miles.

Lake on the way: Lake Aldred.