FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Erie, Pennsylvania: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
PENNSYLVANIA · ERIE COUNTY

Erie

92,940 people, 660 ft above sea level in Erie County.

660 ftElevation, city center
92,940People, 2024 estimate
19 sq miLand area
Clear 44°
Clear now Dew point 37° · NW 16 mph · high 42°
City of Erie River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Erie plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Erie

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 6:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Erie International Airport (KERI) · 5:51 PM
Clear
44° Clear Feels like 37° · high of 42° near 6 PM
WindNW 16 mphgusts 26
Humidity76%rising to 85% by morning
Pressure30.02 in →steady
Visibility9 mihazy
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 37° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.24 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Erie County
NWS Cleveland and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:47 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:09 AM5:00 PM ↓
9 h 51 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
28
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 15, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
overcast
mostly cloudy night
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
42°
39°
44°
41°
46°
38°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
16
14
13
12
10
12
10
9
8
7
6
6
5
7
8
9
7
7
7
8
9
10
12
10
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 32 to 39°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 51° / 37°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
42° 36°
20% rain — NNW 15 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
46° 38°
10% rain — N 10 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
47° 35°
0% rain — W 7 A
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
50° 35°
0% rain — SW 7 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54° 39°
0% rain — S 7 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 45°
0% rain — SSW 10 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 44°
0% rain — SW 2 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Erie about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Canada three days ago, and over Ontario a day ago, about 2,560 miles back along its path. It came down from about 9,700 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from the Canadian Prairies; at 10,000 feet, from the Gulf of Alaska. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1933 Nov. 16, 1933

The coldest this week has been

14° on Nov. 16, 1933, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1873. Next is 15° in 1959.

15°
14°
19591933
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Erie Area threaded record since 1873.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Erie stands on

Erie’s center stands about 660 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 560 ft to 960 ft, a difference of 400 ft: hilly country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Northeast Shale, from the Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old.

The section below crosses 4 rock units mapped at the surface.

Erie, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
500 ft750 ft1,000 ft1,250 ft1,500 ft ERIE660 ftLow point560 ftHigh point of the line1,560 ft ← NWSE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 19×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Chadakoin Formation

Siltstone, shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Venango Formation

Siltstone, conglomerate. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Northeast Shale

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Girard Shale

Siltstone, shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Erie’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Erie reaches Lake Erie by way of Mill Creek: about 2 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

FROM THE CENTER OF ERIE ≈ 2 mi to Lake Erie and the St. Lawrence Mill Creek

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Erie; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Erie’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1873 · Erie International Airport, 6 mi southwest

Erie has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 81° in July; winter nights fall to about 21° in January. A normal year brings about 104 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 43 inches of water.

35°21°37°21°44°28°57°38°68°49°77°59°81°64°80°63°74°57°62°46°51°37°40°28° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY ERIE 43.0 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average81° / 64°high / low, the warmest month
January, average35° / 21°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow43.0 inwettest months: October and September
Snow a year104.3 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record100°FJune 25, 1988
Coldest on record−18°FFebruary 16, 2015
Wettest day on record10.4 inJuly 22, 1947
Snowiest day on record22.6 inNovember 29, 2024
90° days a year5none reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°111and 42 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Nov. 6, to the last in spring, about April 28 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingNov. 30 to March 31; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Erie normally reaches 51° and falls to 37°. The record high is 73°, in 1994; the record low 18°, in 1905. The most rain on this date, 1.27 in, fell in 2011.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high35°37°44°57°68°77°81°80°74°62°51°40°
Normal low21°21°28°38°49°59°64°63°57°46°37°28°
Rain and melt, in3.412.523.083.473.503.703.333.354.324.383.754.17
Snow, inches31.819.414.52.60.00.00.00.00.00.19.626.3
Record high73° (1950)77° (2017)82° (1998)89° (1990)91° (1879)100° (1988)99° (1990)96° (1918)99° (1953)89° (2019)82° (1950)75° (1982)
Record low−18° (1994)−18° (2015)−9° (1980)7° (1923)26° (1970)32° (1972)44° (1963)37° (1982)33° (1974)23° (1895)6° (1929)−11° (1880)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1873 from the Erie Area threaded record (Erie International Airport, 6 miles southwest). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Erie on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Buffalo NY · 82 MI 82 miles northeast Cleveland OH · 94 MI 94 miles southwest Pittsburgh PA · 116 MI 116 miles south Detroit MI · 156 MI 156 miles west
FORECASTCITY
Map of Erie, Pennsylvania. Explore the plate
PENNSYLVANIA · ERIE

Erie

92,940 people, 660 ft above sea level in Erie County.

660 ftElevation
92,940People
19 sq miLand
Clear 44°
ClearDew point 37°
1

Today in Erie

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now overcast 42° 0%
9p mostly cloudy night 40° 12%
12a mostly cloudy night 40° 8%
3a mostly cloudy night 40° 3%
6a mostly cloudy night 40° 5%
9a mostly cloudy day 43° 4%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat20%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
36
42
A
Sun10%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
38
46
A
Mon0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
35
47
A
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
35
50
A
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
39
54
A
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
45
57
B
Fri0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
44
57
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1933 · NOV. 16, 1933

14°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1873.

2

What Erie stands on

Erie’s center stands about 660 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 560 ft to 960 ft, a difference of 400 ft: hilly country.

Erie, northwest to southeast Erie660 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 37×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center660 ft
Within 3 miles560 to 960 ft
Lie of the landHilly (400 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceNortheast Shale
Its ageLate Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old
5

Erie’s year

Erie has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 81° in July; winter nights fall to about 21° in January. A normal year brings about 104 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 43 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 43.0 in
July, average81° / 64° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average35° / 21° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow43.0 in · wettest months: October and September
Snow a year104.3 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record100°F · June 25, 1988
Coldest on record−18°F · February 16, 2015
Wettest day on record10.4 in · July 22, 1947
Snowiest day on record22.6 in · November 29, 2024
90° days a year5 · none reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°111 · and 42 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Nov. 6, to the last in spring, about April 28 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 30 to March 31; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Erie normally reaches 51° and falls to 37°. The record high is 73°, in 1994; the record low 18°, in 1905. The most rain on this date, 1.27 in, fell in 2011.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1873 from the Erie Area threaded record (Erie International Airport, 6 miles southwest). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 2 mito Lake Erie and the St. LawrenceMill Creek

A raindrop that lands in Erie reaches Lake Erie by way of Mill Creek: about 2 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.