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Shaded-relief map of Lower Chanceford, Pennsylvania: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
PENNSYLVANIA · YORK COUNTY

Lower Chanceford

3,110 people, 630 ft above sea level in York County.

630 ftElevation, city center
3,110People, 2024 estimate
42 sq miLand area
Sunny 47°
Sunny now Dew point 31° · WNW 14 mph · high 49°
City of Lower Chanceford River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Lower Chanceford plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Lower Chanceford

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 3:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW York Airport (KTHV) · 2:53 PM
Sunny
47° Sunny Feels like 41° · high of 49° near 3 PM
WindWNW 14 mphgusts 25
Humidity53%rising to 85% by morning
Pressure29.87 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 31° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.24 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for York County
NWS State College and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 3:47 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:49 AM4:51 PM ↓
10 h 1 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
23
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
Tomorrow: 28, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
overcast
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
mostly sunny
clear day
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
49°
35°
51°
32°
53°
30°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
12
8
7
7
7
6
9
10
9
5
3
0
2
2
8
8
6
0
0
0
0
0
5
6
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 27 to 35° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 33° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 55° / 33°
SAT Nov. 14 Cloudy Cloudy
49° 30°
0% rain — WNW 12 A
SUN Nov. 15 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
51° 25°
0% rain — NNW 9 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54° 25°
0% rain — NNW 6 B
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
58° 26°
0% rain — W 5 B
WED Nov. 18 Sunny Sunny
62° 27°
0% rain — SW 5 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
64° 32°
0% rain — SSW 5 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
65° 34°
0% rain — NW 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Lower Chanceford about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the Great Lakes a day ago, about 2,590 miles back along its path. It came down from about 12,700 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from British Columbia; at 10,000 feet, from the open Pacific. It feels dry all the same. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, NINE YEARS AGO Nov. 12, 2017

The coldest this week has been

20° on Nov. 12, 2017, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1948. Next is 21° in 2023.

21°
20°
20232017
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Safe Harbor Dam record since 1948.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Lower Chanceford stands on

Lower Chanceford’s center stands about 630 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 130 ft to 840 ft, a difference of 710 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Stony Hill, about 800 ft, 14 miles northeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Octoraro Formation (schist, phyllite), from the Paleozoic, 252 to 542 million years old.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

North Hopewell to East Drumore, cut in half

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
250 ft500 ft750 ft LOWER CHANCEFORD630 ftCross Roads850 ftEast Hopewell770 ftSusquehanna Riverabout 130 ftDrumore480 ft ← W · North HopewellEast Drumore · E →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 22×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Octoraro Formation

Schist, phyllite. Age: Paleozoic, 252 to 542 million years old. About 19 mi of the line.

Peters Creek Schist

Mica-schist, quartzite. Age: Paleozoic, 252 to 542 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Peach Bottom Slate and Cardiff Conglomerate, undivided

Slate, conglomerate. Age: Paleozoic, 252 to 542 million years old. About 0.3 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Lower Chanceford’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Lower Chanceford reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Orson Run, Muddy Creek and the Susquehanna: about 35 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Lower Chanceford≈ 35 mi · Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF LOWER CHANCEFORD ≈ 35 mi to Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean Orson Run → Muddy Creek → Susquehanna

Lake on the way: Lake Aldred.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Lower Chanceford; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Lower Chanceford’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1948 · Safe Harbor Dam, 8 mi north

Lower Chanceford has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 87° in July; winter nights fall to about 25° in January. A normal year brings about 21 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 46 inches of water.

39°25°42°27°49°33°63°44°72°53°82°63°87°68°84°66°77°60°65°48°53°38°44°30° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 TODAY 46.3 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Rain by month Freezing
July, average87° / 68°high / low, the warmest month
January, average39° / 25°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow46.3 inwettest months: September and June
Snow a year21.3 insnowiest: February
Hottest on record105°FJuly 23, 2011
Coldest on record1°FFebruary 6, 1996
Wettest day on record5.56 inOctober 1, 2010
Climate typeHot-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfa

AROUND THE RING

1Lows below freezingDec. 6 to March 15; normal lows fall below 32°
MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high39°42°49°63°72°82°87°84°77°65°53°44°
Normal low25°27°33°44°53°63°68°66°60°48°38°30°
Rain and melt, in3.262.684.053.543.884.554.313.574.884.373.403.82
Snow, inches6.17.63.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.53.6

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 at Safe Harbor Dam, 8 miles north, 440 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Lower Chanceford on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Baltimore MD · 37 MI 37 miles south Dundalk MD · 38 MI 38 miles south Philadelphia PA · 68 MI 68 miles east Washington DC · 71 MI 71 miles southwest New York NY · 142 MI 142 miles northeast Hempstead NY · 157 MI 157 miles east
FORECASTCITY
Map of Lower Chanceford, Pennsylvania. Explore the plate
PENNSYLVANIA · YORK

Lower Chanceford

3,110 people, 630 ft above sea level in York County.

630 ftElevation
3,110People
42 sq miLand
Sunny 47°
SunnyDew point 31°
1

Today in Lower Chanceford

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now overcast 49° 0%
6p mostly cloudy night 46° 2%
9p partly cloudy night 41° 1%
12a partly cloudy night 39° 1%
3a partly cloudy night 37° 1%
6a partly cloudy night 35° 0%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Cloudy Cloudy
30
49
A
Sun0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
25
51
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
25
54
B
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
26
58
B
Wed0%
Sunny Sunny
27
62
B
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
32
64
B
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
34
65
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, NINE YEARS AGO · NOV. 12, 2017

20°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1948.

2

What Lower Chanceford stands on

Lower Chanceford’s center stands about 630 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 130 ft to 840 ft, a difference of 710 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Stony Hill, about 800 ft, 14 miles northeast.

Lower Chanceford, west to east Lower Chanceford630 ftSusquehanna Riverabout 130 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 41×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center630 ft
Within 3 miles130 to 840 ft
Lie of the landHilly (710 ft of relief)
High point nearbyStony Hill, 800 ft, 14 mi northeast
Rock at the surfaceOctoraro Formation
Its agePaleozoic, 252 to 542 million years old
5

Lower Chanceford’s year

Lower Chanceford has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 87° in July; winter nights fall to about 25° in January. A normal year brings about 21 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 46 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 46.3 in
July, average87° / 68° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average39° / 25° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow46.3 in · wettest months: September and June
Snow a year21.3 in · snowiest: February
Hottest on record105°F · July 23, 2011
Coldest on record1°F · February 6, 1996
Wettest day on record5.56 in · October 1, 2010
Climate typeHot-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfa
1Lows below freezing · Dec. 6 to March 15; normal lows fall below 32°
Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 at Safe Harbor Dam, 8 miles north, 440 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 35 mito the AtlanticOrson Run → Muddy Creek → Susquehanna

A raindrop that lands in Lower Chanceford reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Orson Run, Muddy Creek and the Susquehanna: about 35 river miles.

Lake on the way: Lake Aldred.