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Shaded-relief map of Oak Leaf, Texas: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
TEXAS · ELLIS COUNTY

Oak Leaf

1,685 people, 600 ft above sea level in Ellis County.

600 ftElevation, city center
1,685People, 2024 estimate
2 sq miLand area
Clear 57°
Clear now Dew point 38° · N 5 mph · high 59°
City of Oak Leaf River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Oak Leaf plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Oak Leaf

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM CST
RIGHT NOW Mid-Way Regional Airport (KJWY) · 5:55 PM
Clear
57° Clear Feels like 57° · high of 59° near 6 PM
WindN 5 mphno gusts
Humidity49%rising to 100% by morning
Pressure30.09 in →steady
Visibility9 mihazy
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 38° · Dry48° by Monday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Tonight, about 11 PMin about 5 hours · 100% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 80.2 in · 6 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Ellis County
NWS Fort Worth and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:21 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:56 AM5:27 PM ↓
10 h 31 m of daylight, 1 minute less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 27% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
36
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
rain
rain
rain
rain
rain
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
59°
45°
51°
45°
56°
43°
CHANCE OF RAIN
100% · 1.86 in Sunday morning 50%
WIND, MPH
10
10
9
12
13
15
15
13
10
7
6
6
7
7
7
4
0
0
0
1
3
5
6
5
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 39 to 48° More humid: 48° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Chance of showers Chance of showers
59° 43°
30% rain — ESE 10 A
SUN Nov. 15 Showers likely Showers likely
52° 43°
100% rain 1.2–2.5″ E 14, gusts 25 B
MON Nov. 16 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56° 43°
20% rain — NE 6 B
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
63° 46°
0% rain — ESE 2 B
WED Nov. 18 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
68° 56°
10% rain — SE 2 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
72° 57°
30% rain — ESE 3 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
74° 59°
10% rain — SSE 7 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Oak Leaf about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Ozarks three days ago, about 360 miles back along its path. Most of the nine paths traced from around the city agree. It came down from about 10,100 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from the Mississippi Valley; at 10,000 feet, from the central Plains. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO Nov. 12, 2019

The coldest this week has been

20° on Nov. 12, 2019, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1940. Next is 22° in 2014.

22°
20°
20142019
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Ferris record since 1940.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Oak Leaf stands on

Oak Leaf’s center stands about 600 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 530 ft to 730 ft, a difference of 200 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Inspiration Point, about 870 ft, 9 miles west-northwest.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Austin Chalk (marlstone, chalk), from the Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old.

The section below crosses 5 rock units mapped at the surface.

Oak Leaf, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
400 ft600 ft800 ft OAK LEAF600 ftMountain Creekabout 520 ftOvilla680 ftRed Oak580 ftLow point390 ft ← NWPalmer · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 40×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Austin Chalk

Marlstone, chalk. Age: Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old. About 16 mi of the line.

Ozan Formation

Claystone. Age: Late Cretaceous, 66 to 72 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Eagle Ford Formation

Black-shale, siltstone. Age: Late Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

Terrace deposits

Sand. Age: Pleistocene to Holocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 0.6 mi of the line.

Alluvium

Fine-detrital, coarse-detrital. Age: Holocene, less than 12,000 years old. About 0.3 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Oak Leaf’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Oak Leaf reaches Galveston Bay and the Gulf of America by way of Little Creek, Red Oak Creek and the Trinity: about 440 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Oak Leaf≈ 440 mi · Galveston Bay and the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF OAK LEAF ≈ 440 mi to Galveston Bay and the Gulf of America Little Creek → Red Oak Creek → Trinity

Lake on the way: Woodlands Golf Course Lake.

220 miles of the trip are on the Trinity.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Oak Leaf; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Oak Leaf’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1940 · Ferris, 11 mi east

Oak Leaf has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 97° in August; winter nights fall to about 36° in January. About 41 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

57°36°62°39°69°45°77°53°84°63°92°71°96°73°97°73°90°66°79°55°67°45°59°37° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 TODAY OAK LEAF 40.9 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
August, average97° / 73°high / low, the warmest month
January, average57° / 36°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year40.9 inwettest months: October and May
Hottest on record112°FJuly 20, 2022
Coldest on record−1°FFebruary 16, 2021
Wettest day on record11.3 inOctober 27, 2023
Snowiest day on record4.7 inFebruary 18, 1978
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Highs of 90° and upJune 5 to Sept. 17; normal highs reach 90°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Oak Leaf normally reaches 68° and falls to 45°. The record high is 89°, in 1989; the record low 25°, in 2018. The most rain on this date, 1.32 in, fell in 1994.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high57°62°69°77°84°92°96°97°90°79°67°59°
Normal low36°39°45°53°63°71°73°73°66°55°45°37°
Rain, inches2.963.084.003.854.343.951.982.812.694.862.843.51
Record high84° (2006)96° (1996)94° (1974)100° (1963)102° (1985)110° (1980)112° (2022)111° (2023)111° (2023)99° (2019)92° (2017)87° (2005)
Record low3° (1964)−1° (2021)14° (1980)29° (1989)38° (2013)53° (1989)55° (1967)50° (1986)42° (1983)26° (1993)16° (1976)−1° (1989)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1940 at Ferris, 11 miles east, 130 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Oak Leaf on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Dallas TX · 19 MI 19 miles north Fort Worth TX · 34 MI 34 miles northwest Frisco TX · 44 MI 44 miles north McKinney TX · 48 MI 48 miles north Denton TX · 51 MI 51 miles north Shreveport LA · 178 MI 178 miles east
FORECASTCITY
Map of Oak Leaf, Texas. Explore the plate
TEXAS · ELLIS

Oak Leaf

1,685 people, 600 ft above sea level in Ellis County.

600 ftElevation
1,685People
2 sq miLand
Clear 57°
ClearDew point 38°
1

Today in Oak Leaf

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy night 59° 23%
9p mostly cloudy night 53° 14%
12a rain 50° 42%
3a rain 46° 84%
6a rain 45° 99%
9a rain 47° 89%
Rain
NEXT RAINTonight about 11 PM · 100%
→
Sat30%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
43
59
A
Sun100%
Showers likely Showers likely
43
52
B
Mon20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
43
56
B
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
46
63
B
Wed10%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
56
68
B
Thu30%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57
72
B
Fri10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
59
74
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO · NOV. 12, 2019

20°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1940.

2

What Oak Leaf stands on

Oak Leaf’s center stands about 600 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 530 ft to 730 ft, a difference of 200 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Inspiration Point, about 870 ft, 9 miles west-northwest.

Oak Leaf, northwest to southeast Oak Leaf600 ftMountain Creekabout 520 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 77×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center600 ft
Within 3 miles530 to 730 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (200 ft of relief)
High point nearbyInspiration Point, 870 ft, 9 mi west-northwest
Rock at the surfaceAustin Chalk
Its ageLate Cretaceous, 66 to 100 million years old
5

Oak Leaf’s year

Oak Leaf has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 97° in August; winter nights fall to about 36° in January. About 41 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 40.9 in
August, average97° / 73° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average57° / 36° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year40.9 in · wettest months: October and May
Hottest on record112°F · July 20, 2022
Coldest on record−1°F · February 16, 2021
Wettest day on record11.3 in · October 27, 2023
Snowiest day on record4.7 in · February 18, 1978
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Highs of 90° and up · June 5 to Sept. 17; normal highs reach 90°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Oak Leaf normally reaches 68° and falls to 45°. The record high is 89°, in 1989; the record low 25°, in 2018. The most rain on this date, 1.32 in, fell in 1994.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1940 at Ferris, 11 miles east, 130 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 440 mito the GulfLittle Creek → Red Oak Creek → Trinity

A raindrop that lands in Oak Leaf reaches Galveston Bay and the Gulf of America by way of Little Creek, Red Oak Creek and the Trinity: about 440 river miles.

Lake on the way: Woodlands Golf Course Lake.

220 miles of the trip are on the Trinity.