FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Uncertain, Texas: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
TEXAS · HARRISON COUNTY

Uncertain

85 people, 200 ft above sea level in Harrison County.

200 ftElevation, city center
85People, 2024 estimate
1 sq miLand area
Sunny 61°
Sunny now Dew point 30° · E 8 mph · high 60°
City of Uncertain River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Uncertain plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Uncertain

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 3:00 PM CST
RIGHT NOW Shreveport Regional Airport (KSHV) · 2:56 PM
Sunny
61° Sunny Feels like 61° · high of 60° near 3 PM
WindE 8 mphno gusts
Humidity31%rising to 76% by morning
Pressure30.18 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 30° · Dry46° by Sunday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow, about 10 AMin about 18 hours · 92% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT0.7–1.5 inmost likely 1.1; 1 in 10 over 2
LAST RAINNov. 32.63 in · 11 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Harrison County
NWS Shreveport and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 3:47 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:45 AM5:16 PM ↓
10 h 30 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
35
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 31, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
mostly sunny
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
rain
rain
rain
rain
rain
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
60°
44°
51°
46°
63°
42°
CHANCE OF RAIN
92% · 0.36 in Sunday evening 50%
WIND, MPH
10
8
9
8
9
12
13
12
14
13
10
8
8
9
9
9
8
6
6
6
6
6
7
8
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 30 to 46° More humid: 42° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 68° / 46°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
60° 43°
0% rain — E 10 A
SUN Nov. 15 Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
52° 43°
90% rain 0.7–1.5″ E 12 C
MON Nov. 16 Chance of showers; warmer Chance of showers; warmer
63° 42°
60% rain — NE 9 B
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
68° 45°
0% rain — E 6 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
73° 53°
0% rain — ESE 6 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
75° 55°
10% rain — E 6 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
75° 56°
0% rain — SE 7 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Uncertain about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Ozarks three days ago, and over the Mississippi Valley a day ago, about 420 miles back along its path. Most of the nine paths traced from around the city agree. Near the ground the air came from the Carolinas; at 10,000 feet, from the northern Plains. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO Nov. 13, 2019

The coldest this week has been

19° on Nov. 13, 2019, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1903. Next is 21° in 1997.

21°
19°
19972019
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Jefferson record since 1903.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Uncertain stands on

Uncertain’s center stands about 200 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 160 ft to 330 ft, a difference of 170 ft: gently rolling country.

The section below crosses 7 rock units mapped at the surface.

Uncertain, cut in half from west to east

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
200 ft300 ft UNCERTAIN200 ftHigh point of the line370 ftLow point160 ft ← WE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Wilcox Group, undivided

Mudstone. Age: Late Paleocene to Early Eocene, 48 to 59 million years old. About 10 mi of the line.

Prairie Terraces

Clay, silt, sand. Age: Pleistocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Deweyville Terrace

Clay. Age: Pleistocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Quaternary deposit, undivided

Coarse-detrital, fine-detrital. Age: Quaternary, less than 2.6 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Alluvium

Fine-detrital, coarse-detrital. Age: Holocene, less than 12,000 years old. About 1 mi of the line.

Reklaw Formation

Sandstone. Age: Eocene, 34 to 56 million years old. About 0.6 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 1 smaller unit along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Uncertain’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Uncertain reaches the Gulf of America by way of Clear Lake, Twelvemile Bayou, Cross Bayou, the Red River, the Atchafalaya and the Lower Atchafalaya: about 440 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Uncertain≈ 440 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF UNCERTAIN ≈ 440 mi to the Gulf of America Clear Lake → Twelvemile Bayou → Cross Bayou → Red River → Atchafalaya → Lower Atchafalaya

Lake on the way: Clear Lake.

260 miles of the trip are on the Red River.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Uncertain; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Uncertain’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1903 · Jefferson, 14 mi west-northwest

Uncertain has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 94° in July; winter nights fall to about 34° in January. About 50 inches of rain fall in a normal year, with about 1 inch of snow.

57°34°61°37°69°44°77°51°83°61°91°69°94°72°94°71°89°64°79°51°67°42°59°35° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 TODAY UNCERTAIN 49.7 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average94° / 72°high / low, the warmest month
January, average57° / 34°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year49.7 inwettest months: May and June
Snow a year1.3 insnowiest: February
Hottest on record112°FAugust 5, 2011
Coldest on record−5°FDecember 23, 1989
Wettest day on record9.10 inApril 26, 1921
Snowiest day on record16.8 inDecember 22, 1929
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Highs of 90° and upJune 8 to Sept. 12; normal highs reach 90°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Uncertain normally reaches 67° and falls to 42°. The record high is 82°, in 2007; the record low 19°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 1.52 in, fell in 1970.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high57°61°69°77°83°91°94°94°89°79°67°59°
Normal low34°37°44°51°61°69°72°71°64°51°42°35°
Rain, inches4.084.234.834.745.115.102.962.423.774.473.614.42
Snow, inches0.50.70.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Record high82° (2009)92° (1986)90° (2026)94° (2011)97° (2011)107° (2011)107° (2018)112° (2011)109° (2011)97° (2015)89° (2022)88° (1988)
Record low7° (2018)−4° (2021)15° (1996)28° (1989)38° (2014)46° (1984)55° (1990)52° (1992)38° (1989)25° (1993)16° (1903)−5° (1989)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1903 at Jefferson, 14 miles west-northwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Uncertain on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Shreveport LA · 26 MI 26 miles southeast Longview TX · 39 MI 39 miles west Dallas TX · 153 MI 153 miles west Plano TX · 154 MI 154 miles west Arlington TX · 174 MI 174 miles west Fort Worth TX · 187 MI 187 miles west
FORECASTCITY
Map of Uncertain, Texas. Explore the plate
TEXAS · HARRISON

Uncertain

85 people, 200 ft above sea level in Harrison County.

200 ftElevation
85People
1 sq miLand
Sunny 61°
SunnyDew point 30°
1

Today in Uncertain

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly sunny 60° 0%
6p partly cloudy night 54° 0%
9p mostly cloudy night 50° 2%
12a partly cloudy night 48° 1%
3a mostly cloudy night 47° 1%
6a mostly cloudy night 46° 21%
Mostly cloudy
NEXT RAINTomorrow about 10 AM · 92%
→
Sat0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
43
60
A
Sun90%
Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
43
52
C
Mon60%
Chance of showers; warmer Chance of showers; warmer
42
63
B
Tue0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
45
68
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
53
73
B
Thu10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
55
75
B
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
56
75
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO · NOV. 13, 2019

19°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1903.

2

What Uncertain stands on

Uncertain’s center stands about 200 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 160 ft to 330 ft, a difference of 170 ft: gently rolling country.

Uncertain, west to east Uncertain200 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center200 ft
Within 3 miles160 to 330 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (170 ft of relief)
5

Uncertain’s year

Uncertain has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 94° in July; winter nights fall to about 34° in January. About 50 inches of rain fall in a normal year, with about 1 inch of snow.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 49.7 in
July, average94° / 72° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average57° / 34° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year49.7 in · wettest months: May and June
Snow a year1.3 in · snowiest: February
Hottest on record112°F · August 5, 2011
Coldest on record−5°F · December 23, 1989
Wettest day on record9.10 in · April 26, 1921
Snowiest day on record16.8 in · December 22, 1929
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Highs of 90° and up · June 8 to Sept. 12; normal highs reach 90°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Uncertain normally reaches 67° and falls to 42°. The record high is 82°, in 2007; the record low 19°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 1.52 in, fell in 1970.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1903 at Jefferson, 14 miles west-northwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 440 mito the Gulf of AmericaClear Lake → Twelvemile Bayou → Cross Bayou → Red River → Atchafalaya → Lower Atchafalaya

A raindrop that lands in Uncertain reaches the Gulf of America by way of Clear Lake, Twelvemile Bayou, Cross Bayou, the Red River, the Atchafalaya and the Lower Atchafalaya: about 440 river miles.

Lake on the way: Clear Lake.

260 miles of the trip are on the Red River.