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Shaded-relief map of Bull Run, Virginia: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
VIRGINIA · FAIRFAX COUNTY

Bull Run

6,972 people, 310 ft above sea level in Fairfax County.

310 ftElevation, city center
6,972People, 2024 estimate
14 sq miLand area
Clear 47°
Clear now Dew point 30° · WNW 14 mph · high 46°
City of Bull Run River Interstate 2 miles
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The Bull Run plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Bull Run

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 6:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW DC (KIAD) · 5:52 PM
Clear
47° Clear Feels like 41° · high of 46° near 6 PM
WindWNW 14 mphgusts 23
Humidity52%rising to 82% by morning
Pressure30.01 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 30° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.02 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Fairfax County
NWS Baltimore MD/Washington and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:47 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:51 AM4:57 PM ↓
10 h 6 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
22
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 28, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
mostly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
46°
39°
54°
35°
56°
33°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
12
12
10
12
9
13
13
13
8
8
7
7
7
10
9
8
6
7
5
5
3
5
6
0
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 29 to 36°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 57° / 36°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46° 36°
0% rain — WNW 12 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
54° 33°
0% rain — NW 12 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
57° 31°
0% rain — NNW 9 B
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
60° 31°
0% rain — WNW 5 A
WED Nov. 18 Sunny Sunny
63° 32°
0% rain — S 5 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
65° 36°
0% rain — S 2 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
67° 38°
0% rain — NW 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Bull Run about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Gulf of Alaska three days ago, and over the Great Lakes a day ago, about 3,290 miles back along its path. It came down from about 13,200 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from the Canadian Prairies; at 10,000 feet, from the Pacific north of Hawaii. It feels dry all the same. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1993 Nov. 15, 1993

The hottest this week has been

81° on Nov. 15, 1993, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1960. Next is 80° in 1985.

80°
81°
19851993
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Sterling-Dulles Airport Area threaded record since 1960.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Bull Run stands on

Bull Run’s center stands about 310 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 170 ft to 340 ft, a difference of 170 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Signal Mountain, about 1,380 ft, 12 miles west-northwest.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Diabase (basalt), from the Early Jurassic, 175 to 202 million years old.

The section below crosses 15 rock units mapped at the surface.

Bull Run Mountain Estates to Burke, cut in half

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
500 ft1,000 ft BULL RUN310 ftHigh point of the line1,270 ftLow point160 ftUnion Mill420 ftFairfax Station410 ftBurke Centre430 ft ← NW · Bull Run Mountain EstatesBurke · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 17×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Newark Supergroup; Triassic shale and siltstone

Shale, siltstone. Age: Triassic, 202 to 252 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Popes Head Formation - Old Mill Branch Metasiltstone Member

Metasiltstone. Age: Cambrian to Ordovician, 445 to 542 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Diabase

Basalt. Age: Early Jurassic, 175 to 202 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Newark Supergroup; Sandstone, undifferentiated

Sandstone. Age: Triassic, 202 to 252 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Sykesville Formation

Melange. Age: Cambrian, 487 to 542 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Newark Supergroup; Jurassic Interbedded Sandstone and Siltstone

Siltstone, sandstone. Age: Early Jurassic, 175 to 202 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 9 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Bull Run’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Bull Run reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Bull Run, the Occoquan and the Potomac: about 120 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Bull Run≈ 120 mi · Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF BULL RUN ≈ 120 mi to Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean Bull Run → Occoquan → Potomac

85 miles of the trip are on the Potomac.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Bull Run; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Bull Run’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1960 · Washington Dulles International Airport, 7 mi north-northeast

Bull Run has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 88° in July; winter nights fall to about 25° in January. A normal year brings about 21 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 43 inches of water.

42°25°46°27°55°34°67°43°75°53°83°62°88°67°86°65°79°58°68°45°56°36°47°29° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY BULL RUN 43.2 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average88° / 67°high / low, the warmest month
January, average42° / 25°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow43.2 inwettest months: May and June
Snow a year21.0 insnowiest: February
Hottest on record105°FJuly 22, 2011
Coldest on record−18°FJanuary 22, 1984
Wettest day on record10.7 inJune 21, 1972
Snowiest day on record22.5 inFebruary 11, 1983
90° days a year33very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°102and 11 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 18, to the last in spring, about April 16 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingNov. 28 to March 12; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bull Run normally reaches 57° and falls to 36°. The record high is 80°, in 1985; the record low 13°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.90 in, fell in 1972.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high42°46°55°67°75°83°88°86°79°68°56°47°
Normal low25°27°34°43°53°62°67°65°58°45°36°29°
Rain and melt, in2.942.613.503.474.724.304.153.533.943.653.133.30
Snow, inches6.97.03.90.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.32.8
Record high79° (2024)80° (2023)89° (1998)93° (2010)97° (1969)102° (2012)105° (2011)104° (1983)100° (2023)96° (2019)84° (1982)79° (1998)
Record low−18° (1984)−14° (1979)−1° (2014)17° (1969)28° (1970)36° (1977)41° (1988)38° (1982)30° (1974)15° (1969)9° (1989)−4° (1989)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1960 from the Sterling-Dulles Airport Area threaded record (Washington Dulles International Airport, 7 miles north-northeast). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Bull Run on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Arlington VA · 21 MI 21 miles east Washington DC · 26 MI 26 miles east Baltimore MD · 57 MI 57 miles northeast Philadelphia PA · 150 MI 150 miles northeast Virginia Beach VA · 163 MI 163 miles southeast Pittsburgh PA · 172 MI 172 miles northwest
FORECASTCITY
Map of Bull Run, Virginia. Explore the plate
VIRGINIA · FAIRFAX

Bull Run

6,972 people, 310 ft above sea level in Fairfax County.

310 ftElevation
6,972People
14 sq miLand
Clear 47°
ClearDew point 30°
1

Today in Bull Run

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy night 46° 0%
9p partly cloudy night 43° 1%
12a mostly clear night 40° 1%
3a mostly clear night 40° 1%
6a partly cloudy night 39° 1%
9a partly cloudy day 46° 1%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
36
46
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
33
54
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
31
57
B
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
31
60
A
Wed0%
Sunny Sunny
32
63
B
Thu0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
36
65
B
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
38
67
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1993 · NOV. 15, 1993

81°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1960.

2

What Bull Run stands on

Bull Run’s center stands about 310 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 170 ft to 340 ft, a difference of 170 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Signal Mountain, about 1,380 ft, 12 miles west-northwest.

Bull Run, northwest to southeast Bull Run310 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 33×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center310 ft
Within 3 miles170 to 340 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (170 ft of relief)
High point nearbySignal Mountain, 1,380 ft, 12 mi west-northwest
Rock at the surfaceDiabase
Its ageEarly Jurassic, 175 to 202 million years old
5

Bull Run’s year

Bull Run has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 88° in July; winter nights fall to about 25° in January. A normal year brings about 21 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 43 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 43.2 in
July, average88° / 67° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average42° / 25° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow43.2 in · wettest months: May and June
Snow a year21.0 in · snowiest: February
Hottest on record105°F · July 22, 2011
Coldest on record−18°F · January 22, 1984
Wettest day on record10.7 in · June 21, 1972
Snowiest day on record22.5 in · February 11, 1983
90° days a year33 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°102 · and 11 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 18, to the last in spring, about April 16 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 28 to March 12; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bull Run normally reaches 57° and falls to 36°. The record high is 80°, in 1985; the record low 13°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.90 in, fell in 1972.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1960 from the Sterling-Dulles Airport Area threaded record (Washington Dulles International Airport, 7 miles north-northeast). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 120 mito the AtlanticBull Run → Occoquan → Potomac

A raindrop that lands in Bull Run reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Bull Run, the Occoquan and the Potomac: about 120 river miles.

85 miles of the trip are on the Potomac.