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Shaded-relief map of Lake Barcroft, Virginia: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
VIRGINIA · FAIRFAX COUNTY

Lake Barcroft

9,770 people, 280 ft above sea level in Fairfax County.

280 ftElevation, city center
9,770People, 2024 estimate
2 sq miLand area
Sunny 49°
Sunny now Dew point 30° · WNW 10 mph · high 50°
City of Lake Barcroft River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Lake Barcroft plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Lake Barcroft

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW DC (KDCA) · 4:52 PM
Sunny
49° Sunny Feels like 45° · high of 50° near 5 PM
WindWNW 10 mphno gusts
Humidity48%rising to 79% by morning
Pressure29.97 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 30° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 60.13 in · 8 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Fairfax County
NWS Baltimore MD/Washington and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 5:47 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:50 AM4:56 PM ↓
10 h 6 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
24
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 22, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
mostly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
50°
42°
55°
38°
57°
38°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
17
14
13
13
12
13
15
15
12
10
8
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11
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8
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 30 to 38°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 59° / 42°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
50° 41°
0% rain — WNW 15, gusts 26 A
SUN Nov. 15 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
55° 38°
0% rain — NW 14 B
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
58° 38°
0% rain — NNW 10 B
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
60° 37°
0% rain — WNW 3 A
WED Nov. 18 Sunny Sunny
64° 38°
0% rain — SSW 3 A
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
65° 41°
0% rain — S 5 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
67° 44°
0% rain — NW 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Lake Barcroft about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the open Pacific three days ago, and over the Great Lakes a day ago, about 3,320 miles back along its path. It came down from about 13,300 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from the Canadian Prairies; at 10,000 feet, from the Pacific north of Hawaii. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1993 Nov. 15, 1993

The hottest this week has been

83° on Nov. 15, 1993, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1871. Next is 80° in 1879.

80°
83°
18791993
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Washington Area threaded record since 1871.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Lake Barcroft stands on

Lake Barcroft’s center stands about 280 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 120 ft to 400 ft, a difference of 280 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Gantt Hill, about 510 ft, 6 miles northwest.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Annandale Group - Lake Barcroft Metasandstone (metasandstone, metagraywacke), from the Neoproterozoic to Cambrian, 487 to 1,000 million years old.

The section below crosses 13 rock units mapped at the surface.

Great Falls Crossing to Fort Washington, cut in half

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
0 ft200 ft400 ft LAKE BARCROFT280 ftTysons480 ftWest Falls Church290 ftPotomac Riversea level ← NW · Great Falls CrossingFort Washington · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 39×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Mather Gorge Formation - Schist

Schist. Age: Neoproterozoic to Cambrian, 487 to 1,000 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Potomac Formation

Sand. Age: Cretaceous, 66 to 145 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Falls Church Intrusive Suite

Tonalite. Age: Cambrian to Ordovician, 445 to 542 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Miocene Sand and Gravel

Gravel, sand. Age: Tertiary, 2.6 to 66 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Lowland Deposits

Fine-detrital, coarse-detrital. Age: Pleistocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

Alluvium

Unconsolidated. Age: Holocene, less than 12,000 years old. About 1 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 7 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Lake Barcroft’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Lake Barcroft reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Holmes Run, Cameron Run and the Potomac: about 110 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Lake Barcroft≈ 110 mi · Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF LAKE BARCROFT ≈ 110 mi to Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean Holmes Run → Cameron Run → Potomac

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Lake Barcroft; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Lake Barcroft’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1871 · Washington Reagan National Airport, 7 mi east

Lake Barcroft has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 90° in July; winter nights fall to about 30° in January. A normal year brings about 14 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 42 inches of water.

45°30°48°32°57°39°68°48°77°58°85°68°90°72°88°71°81°64°69°52°58°42°49°35° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY 41.8 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average90° / 72°high / low, the warmest month
January, average45° / 30°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow41.8 inwettest months: July and June
Snow a year13.7 insnowiest: February
Hottest on record106°FJuly 20, 1930
Coldest on record−15°FFebruary 11, 1899
Wettest day on record6.39 inAugust 23, 1933
Snowiest day on record21.0 inJanuary 28, 1922
90° days a year40about 1 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°60and 7 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Nov. 17, to the last in spring, about March 25 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and upJuly 6 to July 27; normal highs reach 90°
3Lows below freezingDec. 27 to Feb. 19; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Lake Barcroft normally reaches 59° and falls to 42°. The record high is 77°, in 1985; the record low 19°, in 1920. The most rain on this date, 1.56 in, fell in 1972.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high45°48°57°68°77°85°90°88°81°69°58°49°
Normal low30°32°39°48°58°68°72°71°64°52°42°35°
Rain and melt, in2.862.623.503.213.944.204.333.253.933.662.913.41
Snow, inches4.95.02.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.11.7
Record high80° (2024)84° (1930)93° (1907)95° (2002)99° (1991)104° (2012)106° (1930)106° (1918)104° (1881)98° (2019)86° (1974)79° (1998)
Record low−14° (1881)−15° (1899)4° (1873)15° (1923)33° (1906)43° (1897)52° (1933)49° (1986)36° (1904)26° (1917)11° (1929)−13° (1880)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1871 from the Washington Area threaded record (Washington Reagan National Airport, 7 miles east, 270 ft lower). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Lake Barcroft on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Arlington VA · 4 MI 4 miles northeast Washington DC · 8 MI 8 miles northeast Baltimore MD · 43 MI 43 miles northeast Philadelphia PA · 135 MI 135 miles northeast Virginia Beach VA · 156 MI 156 miles southeast Pittsburgh PA · 186 MI 186 miles northwest
FORECASTCITY
Map of Lake Barcroft, Virginia. Explore the plate
VIRGINIA · FAIRFAX

Lake Barcroft

9,770 people, 280 ft above sea level in Fairfax County.

280 ftElevation
9,770People
2 sq miLand
Sunny 49°
SunnyDew point 30°
1

Today in Lake Barcroft

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy night 50° 0%
8p partly cloudy night 48° 1%
11p mostly clear night 45° 1%
2a mostly clear night 43° 1%
5a mostly clear night 42° 1%
8a partly cloudy day 45° 1%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
41
50
A
Sun0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
38
55
B
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
38
58
B
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
37
60
A
Wed0%
Sunny Sunny
38
64
A
Thu0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
65
B
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
44
67
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1993 · NOV. 15, 1993

83°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1871.

2

What Lake Barcroft stands on

Lake Barcroft’s center stands about 280 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 120 ft to 400 ft, a difference of 280 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Gantt Hill, about 510 ft, 6 miles northwest.

Lake Barcroft, northwest to southeast Lake Barcroft280 ftPotomac Riversea level ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 74×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center280 ft
Within 3 miles120 to 400 ft
Lie of the landRolling (280 ft of relief)
High point nearbyGantt Hill, 510 ft, 6 mi northwest
Rock at the surfaceAnnandale Group - Lake Barcroft Metasandstone
Its ageNeoproterozoic to Cambrian, 487 to 1,000 million years old
5

Lake Barcroft’s year

Lake Barcroft has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 90° in July; winter nights fall to about 30° in January. A normal year brings about 14 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 42 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 41.8 in
July, average90° / 72° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average45° / 30° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow41.8 in · wettest months: July and June
Snow a year13.7 in · snowiest: February
Hottest on record106°F · July 20, 1930
Coldest on record−15°F · February 11, 1899
Wettest day on record6.39 in · August 23, 1933
Snowiest day on record21.0 in · January 28, 1922
90° days a year40 · about 1 of them 100° or more
Nights at or below 32°60 · and 7 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Nov. 17, to the last in spring, about March 25 (median dates)
2Highs of 90° and up · July 6 to July 27; normal highs reach 90°
3Lows below freezing · Dec. 27 to Feb. 19; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Lake Barcroft normally reaches 59° and falls to 42°. The record high is 77°, in 1985; the record low 19°, in 1920. The most rain on this date, 1.56 in, fell in 1972.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1871 from the Washington Area threaded record (Washington Reagan National Airport, 7 miles east, 270 ft lower). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 110 mito the AtlanticHolmes Run → Cameron Run → Potomac

A raindrop that lands in Lake Barcroft reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Holmes Run, Cameron Run and the Potomac: about 110 river miles.