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Shaded-relief map of Lake Caroline, Virginia: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
VIRGINIA · CAROLINE COUNTY

Lake Caroline

2,511 people, 260 ft above sea level in Caroline County.

260 ftElevation, city center
2,511People, 2024 estimate
3 sq miLand area
Clear 47°
Clear now Dew point 27° · W 3 mph · high 44°
City of Lake Caroline River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Lake Caroline plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Lake Caroline

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 6:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Lake Anna Airport (K7W4) · 6:35 PM
Clear
47° Clear Feels like 45° · high of 44° near 6 PM
WindW 3 mphno gusts
Humidity45%rising to 89% by morning
Pressure30.05 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 27° · Dry41° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 70.07 in · 7 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Caroline County
NWS Wakefield and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:47 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:49 AM4:59 PM ↓
10 h 9 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
26
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 28, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
mostly clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear day
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
44°
33°
55°
33°
57°
32°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
5
3
3
3
3
6
7
6
2
2
2
2
2
7
5
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
0
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 29 to 30° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 39° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
44° 31°
0% rain — WNW 4 A
SUN Nov. 15 Partly cloudy; warmer Partly cloudy; warmer
55° 32°
0% rain — NW 6 B
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
57° 30°
0% rain — N 4 B
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
61° 30°
0% rain — SE 5 A
WED Nov. 18 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
64° 31°
0% rain — S 5 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
66° 34°
0% rain — S 5 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
67° 37°
0% rain — S 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Lake Caroline about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the open Pacific three days ago, and over the Great Lakes a day ago, about 3,360 miles back along its path. It came down from about 14,100 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from British Columbia; at 10,000 feet, from the Pacific north of Hawaii. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 2009 Nov. 11–12, 2009

The wettest two days this week has seen

5.27 inches of rain fell in two days, the most for this week of the year since records began in 1893. The next wettest, 3.21 inches, fell in 2020.

3.21″
5.27″
20202009
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Ashland record since 1893.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Lake Caroline stands on

Lake Caroline’s center stands about 260 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 170 ft to 330 ft, a difference of 160 ft: gently rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Porphyroblastic Garnet-Biotite Gneiss (biotite-gneiss), from the Mesoproterozoic, 1 to 1.6 billion years old.

The section below crosses 9 rock units mapped at the surface.

Lake Caroline, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
100 ft200 ft300 ft LAKE CAROLINE260 ftHigh point of the line400 ftMattaponi Riverabout 100 ft ← NWSE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 63×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Porphyroblastic Garnet-Biotite Gneiss

Biotite-gneiss. Age: Mesoproterozoic, 1 to 1.6 billion years old. About 9 mi of the line.

Chesapeake Group

Sand. Age: Tertiary, 2.6 to 66 million years old. About 8 mi of the line.

Miocene Sand and Gravel

Gravel, sand. Age: Tertiary, 2.6 to 66 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Charles City Formation

Sand, silt, clay. Age: Quaternary, less than 2.6 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

Falmouth Intrusive Suite

Granite, quartz-monzonite, granodiorite. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 324 million years old. About 0.8 mi of the line.

Lower Tertiary Deposits

Sand, silt. Age: Tertiary, 2.6 to 66 million years old. About 0.7 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 3 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Lake Caroline’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Lake Caroline reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Stevens Mill Run, Polecat Creek, the Mattaponi and the York: about 130 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Lake Caroline≈ 130 mi · Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF LAKE CAROLINE ≈ 130 mi to Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean Stevens Mill Run → Polecat Creek → Mattaponi → York

85 miles of the trip are on the Mattaponi.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Lake Caroline; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Lake Caroline’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1893 · Ashland, 16 mi south

Lake Caroline has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 87° in July; winter nights fall to about 27° in January. A normal year brings about 15 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 45 inches of water.

47°27°51°29°60°36°71°45°77°55°83°63°87°68°85°66°79°59°69°48°59°37°50°30° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY 45.3 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average87° / 68°high / low, the warmest month
January, average47° / 27°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow45.3 inwettest months: June and July
Snow a year14.7 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record105°FSeptember 8, 1954
Coldest on record−18°FJanuary 17, 1893
Wettest day on record6.02 inJune 7, 2019
Snowiest day on record15.5 inDecember 19, 2009
90° days a year25very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°89and 6 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 28, to the last in spring, about April 10 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingDec. 4 to March 4; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Lake Caroline normally reaches 60° and falls to 38°. The record high is 81°, in 1985; the record low 16°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.22 in, fell in 1972.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high47°51°60°71°77°83°87°85°79°69°59°50°
Normal low27°29°36°45°55°63°68°66°59°48°37°30°
Rain and melt, in3.292.823.793.414.244.584.293.914.193.693.373.72
Snow, inches5.94.01.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.03.0
Record high82° (1950)82° (1989)92° (1907)96° (1925)97° (1925)101° (1899)103° (1954)105° (1900)105° (1954)96° (1954)88° (1950)80° (1998)
Record low−18° (1893)−11° (1996)4° (2014)15° (1926)28° (1926)37° (1928)43° (1927)41° (1925)33° (1963)19° (1962)10° (1955)−4° (1917)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1893 at Ashland, 16 miles south. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Lake Caroline on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Tuckahoe VA · 28 MI 28 miles south Richmond VA · 32 MI 32 miles south Washington DC · 69 MI 69 miles northeast Baltimore MD · 103 MI 103 miles northeast Chesapeake VA · 112 MI 112 miles southeast Virginia Beach VA · 117 MI 117 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Lake Caroline, Virginia. Explore the plate
VIRGINIA · CAROLINE

Lake Caroline

2,511 people, 260 ft above sea level in Caroline County.

260 ftElevation
2,511People
3 sq miLand
Clear 47°
ClearDew point 27°
1

Today in Lake Caroline

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly clear night 44° 0%
9p mostly clear night 41° 0%
12a clear night 37° 0%
3a clear night 34° 0%
6a mostly clear night 33° 1%
9a mostly sunny 43° 1%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
31
44
A
Sun0%
Partly cloudy; warmer Partly cloudy; warmer
32
55
B
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
30
57
B
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
30
61
A
Wed0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
31
64
B
Thu0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
34
66
B
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
37
67
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 2009 · NOV. 11–12, 2009

5.27 inches in two days, the most for this week since 1893.

2

What Lake Caroline stands on

Lake Caroline’s center stands about 260 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 170 ft to 330 ft, a difference of 160 ft: gently rolling country.

Lake Caroline, northwest to southeast Lake Caroline260 ftMattaponi Riverabout 100 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 120×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center260 ft
Within 3 miles170 to 330 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (160 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfacePorphyroblastic Garnet-Biotite Gneiss
Its ageMesoproterozoic, 1 to 1.6 billion years old
5

Lake Caroline’s year

Lake Caroline has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 87° in July; winter nights fall to about 27° in January. A normal year brings about 15 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 45 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 45.3 in
July, average87° / 68° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average47° / 27° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow45.3 in · wettest months: June and July
Snow a year14.7 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record105°F · September 8, 1954
Coldest on record−18°F · January 17, 1893
Wettest day on record6.02 in · June 7, 2019
Snowiest day on record15.5 in · December 19, 2009
90° days a year25 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°89 · and 6 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 28, to the last in spring, about April 10 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Dec. 4 to March 4; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Lake Caroline normally reaches 60° and falls to 38°. The record high is 81°, in 1985; the record low 16°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.22 in, fell in 1972.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1893 at Ashland, 16 miles south. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 130 mito the AtlanticStevens Mill Run → Polecat Creek → Mattaponi → York

A raindrop that lands in Lake Caroline reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Stevens Mill Run, Polecat Creek, the Mattaponi and the York: about 130 river miles.

85 miles of the trip are on the Mattaponi.