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Shaded-relief map of Nokesville, Virginia: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
VIRGINIA · PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY

Nokesville

1,619 people, 260 ft above sea level in Prince William County.

260 ftElevation, city center
1,619People, 2024 estimate
10 sq miLand area
Clear 38°
Clear now Dew point 27° · W 3 mph · high 43°
City of Nokesville River Interstate 2 miles
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The Nokesville plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Nokesville

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 7:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY) · 7:55 PM
Clear
38° Clear Feels like 35° · high of 43° near 8 PM
WindW 3 mphno gusts
Humidity66%rising to 89% by morning
Pressure30.04 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 27° · Dry39° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.04 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Prince William County
NWS Baltimore MD/Washington and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 8:17 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:51 AM4:58 PM ↓
10 h 6 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 27% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
21
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 28, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
clear night
TEMPERATURE °F
43°
36°
55°
33°
57°
31°
61°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
10
10
9
9
10
13
14
8
7
6
6
6
9
10
8
4
5
4
1
0
2
4
2
0
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 23 to 38° ↑ The front passes More humid: 36° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
43° 32°
0% rain — WNW 10 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
55° 30°
0% rain — NW 12 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
58° 27°
0% rain — NNW 8 B
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
61° 28°
0% rain — WNW 5 A
WED Nov. 18 Sunny Sunny
65° 29°
0% rain — S 5 A
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
66° 32°
0% rain — S 5 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
68° 35°
0% rain — WNW 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Nokesville about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Canadian Prairies three days ago, and over the Great Lakes a day ago, about 2,070 miles back along its path. It rose from near the ground on the way. Near the ground the air came from a point about 800 miles to the west; at 10,000 feet, from the open Pacific. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1993 Nov. 15, 1993

The hottest this week has been

81° on Nov. 15, 1993, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1960. Next is 80° in 1985.

80°
81°
19851993
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Sterling-Dulles Airport Area threaded record since 1960.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Nokesville stands on

Nokesville’s center stands about 260 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 180 ft to 380 ft, a difference of 200 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Signal Mountain, about 1,380 ft, 15 miles north-northwest.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Newark Supergroup; Triassic shale and siltstone (shale, siltstone), from the Triassic, 202 to 252 million years old.

The section below crosses 12 rock units mapped at the surface.

Nokesville, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
250 ft500 ft750 ft NOKESVILLE260 ftHigh point of the line810 ftCedar Runabout 180 ft ← NWSE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 30×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Newark Supergroup; Triassic shale and siltstone

Shale, siltstone. Age: Triassic, 202 to 252 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Newark Supergroup; Sandstone, undifferentiated

Sandstone. Age: Triassic, 202 to 252 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Lunga Reservoir Formation

Metasandstone. Age: Cambrian, 487 to 542 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Phyllite

Age: Cambrian to Ordovician, 445 to 542 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Newark Supergroup; Triassic Sandstone, Siltstone, and Shale

Shale, sandstone, siltstone. Age: Triassic, 202 to 252 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Newark Supergroup; Jurassic Basalt

Basalt. Age: Early Jurassic, 175 to 202 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 6 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Nokesville’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Nokesville reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Slate Run, Cedar Run, the Occoquan and the Potomac: about 120 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Nokesville≈ 120 mi · Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF NOKESVILLE ≈ 120 mi to Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean Slate Run → Cedar Run → Occoquan → Potomac

85 miles of the trip are on the Potomac.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Nokesville; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Nokesville’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1960 · Washington Dulles International Airport, 18 mi north-northeast

Nokesville has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 88° in July; winter nights fall to about 25° in January. A normal year brings about 21 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 43 inches of water.

42°25°46°27°55°34°67°43°75°53°83°62°88°67°86°65°79°58°68°45°56°36°47°29° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY NOKESVILLE 43.2 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average88° / 67°high / low, the warmest month
January, average42° / 25°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow43.2 inwettest months: May and June
Snow a year21.0 insnowiest: February
Hottest on record105°FJuly 22, 2011
Coldest on record−18°FJanuary 22, 1984
Wettest day on record10.7 inJune 21, 1972
Snowiest day on record22.5 inFebruary 11, 1983
90° days a year33very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°102and 11 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 18, to the last in spring, about April 16 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingNov. 28 to March 12; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Nokesville normally reaches 57° and falls to 36°. The record high is 80°, in 1985; the record low 13°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.90 in, fell in 1972.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high42°46°55°67°75°83°88°86°79°68°56°47°
Normal low25°27°34°43°53°62°67°65°58°45°36°29°
Rain and melt, in2.942.613.503.474.724.304.153.533.943.653.133.30
Snow, inches6.97.03.90.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.32.8
Record high79° (2024)80° (2023)89° (1998)93° (2010)97° (1969)102° (2012)105° (2011)104° (1983)100° (2023)96° (2019)84° (1982)79° (1998)
Record low−18° (1984)−14° (1979)−1° (2014)17° (1969)28° (1970)36° (1977)41° (1988)38° (1982)30° (1974)15° (1969)9° (1989)−4° (1989)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1960 from the Sterling-Dulles Airport Area threaded record (Washington Dulles International Airport, 18 miles north-northeast). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Nokesville on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Arlington VA · 29 MI 29 miles northeast Washington DC · 34 MI 34 miles northeast Baltimore MD · 67 MI 67 miles northeast Chesapeake VA · 156 MI 156 miles southeast Virginia Beach VA · 157 MI 157 miles southeast Pittsburgh PA · 176 MI 176 miles northwest
FORECASTCITY
Map of Nokesville, Virginia. Explore the plate
VIRGINIA · PRINCE WILLIAM

Nokesville

1,619 people, 260 ft above sea level in Prince William County.

260 ftElevation
1,619People
10 sq miLand
Clear 38°
ClearDew point 27°
1

Today in Nokesville

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now partly cloudy night 43° 0%
11p mostly clear night 39° 0%
2a mostly clear night 37° 1%
5a mostly clear night 36° 1%
8a partly cloudy day 39° 1%
11a mostly cloudy day 51° 1%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
32
43
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
30
55
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
27
58
B
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
28
61
A
Wed0%
Sunny Sunny
29
65
A
Thu0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
32
66
B
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
35
68
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1993 · NOV. 15, 1993

81°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1960.

2

What Nokesville stands on

Nokesville’s center stands about 260 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 180 ft to 380 ft, a difference of 200 ft: gently rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Signal Mountain, about 1,380 ft, 15 miles north-northwest.

Nokesville, northwest to southeast Nokesville260 ftCedar Runabout 180 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 57×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center260 ft
Within 3 miles180 to 380 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (200 ft of relief)
High point nearbySignal Mountain, 1,380 ft, 15 mi north-northwest
Rock at the surfaceNewark Supergroup; Triassic shale and siltstone
Its ageTriassic, 202 to 252 million years old
5

Nokesville’s year

Nokesville has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 88° in July; winter nights fall to about 25° in January. A normal year brings about 21 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 43 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 43.2 in
July, average88° / 67° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average42° / 25° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow43.2 in · wettest months: May and June
Snow a year21.0 in · snowiest: February
Hottest on record105°F · July 22, 2011
Coldest on record−18°F · January 22, 1984
Wettest day on record10.7 in · June 21, 1972
Snowiest day on record22.5 in · February 11, 1983
90° days a year33 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°102 · and 11 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 18, to the last in spring, about April 16 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 28 to March 12; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Nokesville normally reaches 57° and falls to 36°. The record high is 80°, in 1985; the record low 13°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.90 in, fell in 1972.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1960 from the Sterling-Dulles Airport Area threaded record (Washington Dulles International Airport, 18 miles north-northeast). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 120 mito the AtlanticSlate Run → Cedar Run → Occoquan → Potomac

A raindrop that lands in Nokesville reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Slate Run, Cedar Run, the Occoquan and the Potomac: about 120 river miles.

85 miles of the trip are on the Potomac.