FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Stephens City, Virginia: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
VIRGINIA · FREDERICK COUNTY

Stephens City

2,160 people, 750 ft above sea level in Frederick County.

750 ftElevation, city center
2,160People, 2024 estimate
2 sq miLand area
Sunny 46°
Sunny now Dew point 29° · W 9 mph · high 47°
City of Stephens City River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Stephens City plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Stephens City

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 4:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Front Royal-warren County Airport (KFRR) · 4:55 PM
Sunny
46° Sunny Feels like 41° · high of 47° near 5 PM
WindW 9 mphno gusts
Humidity52%rising to 79% by morning
Pressure29.98 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 29° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 60.01 in · 8 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Frederick County
NWS Baltimore MD/Washington and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 5:17 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:54 AM4:59 PM ↓
10 h 5 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
20
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 22, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear day
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
47°
37°
52°
34°
55°
29°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
12
12
12
10
10
10
13
13
9
6
5
5
5
8
8
7
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 27 to 35°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 57° / 32°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
47° 33°
0% rain — WNW 12, gusts 26 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
52° 31°
0% rain — NW 12 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
56° 28°
0% rain — NNW 7 B
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
59° 28°
0% rain — W 5 B
WED Nov. 18 Sunny Sunny
63° 30°
0% rain — S 5 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
65° 34°
0% rain — SSW 5 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
67° 37°
0% rain — NW 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Stephens City about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the Great Lakes a day ago, about 2,940 miles back along its path. It came down from about 16,900 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from the Canadian Prairies; at 10,000 feet, from the open Pacific. It feels dry all the same. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1986 Nov. 14, 1986

The coldest this week has been

9° on Nov. 14, 1986, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1912. Next is 11° in 1933.

11°
9°
19331986
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Winchester 7 SE record since 1912.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Stephens City stands on

Stephens City’s center stands about 750 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 690 ft to 920 ft, a difference of 230 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Pinnacle, about 2,850 ft, 12 miles west-northwest.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Martinsburg and Oranda Formations (shale), from the Ordovician, 445 to 487 million years old.

The section below crosses 15 rock units mapped at the surface.

Shawneeland to Shenandoah Farms, cut in half

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
500 ft1,000 ft1,500 ft2,000 ft STEPHENS CITY750 ftShawneeland1,260 ftShenandoah Riverabout 440 ft ← NW · ShawneelandShenandoah Farms · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 10×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Martinsburg and Oranda Formations

Shale. Age: Ordovician, 445 to 487 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Conococheague Formation

Limestone. Age: Cambrian to Ordovician, 445 to 542 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Beekmantown Group

Dolostone, limestone. Age: Ordovician, 445 to 487 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Elbrook Formation

Dolostone, limestone. Age: Cambrian, 487 to 542 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Chilhowee Group

Quartzite, conglomerate, sandstone. Age: Cambrian, 487 to 542 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Chemung Formation (redefined as Foreknobs Formation)

Shale, sandstone. Age: Devonian, 359 to 422 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 9 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Stephens City’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Stephens City reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Stephens Run, Crooked Run, the Shenandoah and the Potomac: about 240 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Stephens City≈ 240 mi · Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF STEPHENS CITY ≈ 240 mi to Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean Stephens Run → Crooked Run → Shenandoah → Potomac

180 miles of the trip are on the Potomac.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Stephens City; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Stephens City’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1912 · Winchester 7 SE, 4 mi east-northeast

Stephens City has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 87° in July; winter nights fall to about 21° in January. About 40 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

42°21°45°23°53°29°66°38°74°49°83°58°87°63°85°61°79°54°67°41°56°32°46°25° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY 40.0 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average87° / 63°high / low, the warmest month
January, average42° / 21°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year40.0 inwettest months: September and June
Hottest on record107°FJuly 17, 1988
Coldest on record−18°FJanuary 19, 1994
Wettest day on record6.51 inOctober 15, 1942
Snowiest day on record22.0 inMarch 6, 1962
90° days a year29very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°125and 13 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 18, to the last in spring, about April 27 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingNov. 14 to March 29; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Stephens City normally reaches 57° and falls to 32°. The record high is 76°, in 1958; the record low 9°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.39 in, fell in 1972.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high42°45°53°66°74°83°87°85°79°67°56°46°
Normal low21°23°29°38°49°58°63°61°54°41°32°25°
Rain, inches2.482.233.433.223.944.043.823.664.393.052.892.81
Record high80° (1950)81° (2018)89° (1989)98° (1925)98° (1930)104° (1934)107° (1988)107° (1930)103° (1953)99° (1927)85° (1950)80° (2001)
Record low−18° (1994)−16° (1996)−6° (2014)12° (1923)28° (1966)36° (1986)42° (1988)36° (1982)30° (1983)16° (1988)4° (1929)−6° (1989)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1912 at Winchester 7 SE, 4 miles east-northeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Stephens City on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Leesburg VA · 35 MI 35 miles east South Riding VA · 40 MI 40 miles east Washington DC · 66 MI 66 miles east Baltimore MD · 87 MI 87 miles east Pittsburgh PA · 132 MI 132 miles northwest Virginia Beach VA · 199 MI 199 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Stephens City, Virginia. Explore the plate
VIRGINIA · FREDERICK

Stephens City

2,160 people, 750 ft above sea level in Frederick County.

750 ftElevation
2,160People
2 sq miLand
Sunny 46°
SunnyDew point 29°
1

Today in Stephens City

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now partly cloudy night 47° 1%
8p mostly clear night 41° 5%
11p mostly clear night 39° 1%
2a mostly clear night 37° 1%
5a partly cloudy night 37° 1%
8a mostly cloudy day 40° 1%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
33
47
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
31
52
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
28
56
B
Tue0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
28
59
B
Wed0%
Sunny Sunny
30
63
B
Thu0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
34
65
B
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
37
67
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1986 · NOV. 14, 1986

9°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1912.

2

What Stephens City stands on

Stephens City’s center stands about 750 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 690 ft to 920 ft, a difference of 230 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Pinnacle, about 2,850 ft, 12 miles west-northwest.

Stephens City, northwest to southeast Stephens City750 ftShenandoah Riverabout 440 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 20×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center750 ft
Within 3 miles690 to 920 ft
Lie of the landRolling (230 ft of relief)
High point nearbyPinnacle, 2,850 ft, 12 mi west-northwest
Rock at the surfaceMartinsburg and Oranda Formations
Its ageOrdovician, 445 to 487 million years old
5

Stephens City’s year

Stephens City has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 87° in July; winter nights fall to about 21° in January. About 40 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 40.0 in
July, average87° / 63° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average42° / 21° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year40.0 in · wettest months: September and June
Hottest on record107°F · July 17, 1988
Coldest on record−18°F · January 19, 1994
Wettest day on record6.51 in · October 15, 1942
Snowiest day on record22.0 in · March 6, 1962
90° days a year29 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°125 · and 13 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 18, to the last in spring, about April 27 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 14 to March 29; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Stephens City normally reaches 57° and falls to 32°. The record high is 76°, in 1958; the record low 9°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.39 in, fell in 1972.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1912 at Winchester 7 SE, 4 miles east-northeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 240 mito the AtlanticStephens Run → Crooked Run → Shenandoah → Potomac

A raindrop that lands in Stephens City reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Stephens Run, Crooked Run, the Shenandoah and the Potomac: about 240 river miles.

180 miles of the trip are on the Potomac.