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Shaded-relief map of Sully Square, Virginia: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
VIRGINIA · FAIRFAX COUNTY

Sully Square

2,300 people, 340 ft above sea level in Fairfax County.

340 ftElevation, city center
2,300People, 2024 estimate
1 sq miLand area
Sunny 47°
Sunny now Dew point 30° · WNW 21 mph · high 48°
City of Sully Square River Interstate 2 miles
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The Sully Square plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Sully Square

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW DC (KIAD) · 4:52 PM
Sunny
47° Sunny Feels like 39° · high of 48° near 5 PM
WindWNW 21 mphgusts 29
Humidity52%rising to 82% by morning
Pressure29.97 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 30° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.02 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Fairfax County
NWS Baltimore MD/Washington and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 5:47 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:51 AM4:57 PM ↓
10 h 5 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
22
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 28, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
mostly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
clear day
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
48°
39°
54°
35°
56°
33°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
14
12
12
10
10
12
13
13
10
8
7
7
7
9
10
8
7
7
5
5
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4
5
2
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 29 to 36°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 57° / 36°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
48° 36°
0% rain — WNW 13 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
54° 33°
0% rain — NW 12 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
57° 31°
0% rain — NNW 9 B
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
60° 31°
0% rain — WNW 5 A
WED Nov. 18 Sunny Sunny
63° 32°
0% rain — S 5 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
65° 36°
0% rain — S 2 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
67° 38°
0% rain — NW 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Sully Square about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over the Great Lakes a day ago, about 2,830 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from the Canadian Prairies; at 10,000 feet, from the Pacific north of Hawaii. It feels dry all the same. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1993 Nov. 15, 1993

The hottest this week has been

81° on Nov. 15, 1993, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1960. Next is 80° in 1985.

80°
81°
19851993
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Sterling-Dulles Airport Area threaded record since 1960.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Sully Square stands on

Sully Square’s center stands about 340 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 260 ft to 460 ft, a difference of 200 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Gantt Hill, about 510 ft, 10 miles east.

The section below crosses 8 rock units mapped at the surface.

Haymarket to Potomac, cut in half

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
100 ft200 ft300 ft400 ft SULLY SQUARE340 ftReston440 ftPotomac Riverabout 70 ft ← W · HaymarketPotomac · E →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 47×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Newark Supergroup; Triassic shale and siltstone

Shale, siltstone. Age: Triassic, 202 to 252 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Mather Gorge Formation - Schist

Schist. Age: Neoproterozoic to Cambrian, 487 to 1,000 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Newark Supergroup; Sandstone, undifferentiated

Sandstone. Age: Triassic, 202 to 252 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Newark Supergroup; Triassic Sandstone, Siltstone, and Shale

Shale, sandstone, siltstone. Age: Triassic, 202 to 252 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Newark Supergroup; Conglomerate, mixed clasts

Conglomerate. Age: Triassic, 202 to 252 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Mather Gorge Formation - Metagraywacke

Metagraywacke. Age: Neoproterozoic to Cambrian, 487 to 1,000 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 2 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Sully Square’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Sully Square reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Cub Run, Bull Run, the Occoquan and the Potomac: about 130 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Sully Square≈ 130 mi · Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF SULLY SQUARE ≈ 130 mi to Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean Cub Run → Bull Run → Occoquan → Potomac

85 miles of the trip are on the Potomac.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Sully Square; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Sully Square’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1960 · Washington Dulles International Airport

Sully Square has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 88° in July; winter nights fall to about 25° in January. A normal year brings about 21 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 43 inches of water.

42°25°46°27°55°34°67°43°75°53°83°62°88°67°86°65°79°58°68°45°56°36°47°29° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY SULLY SQUARE 43.2 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average88° / 67°high / low, the warmest month
January, average42° / 25°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow43.2 inwettest months: May and June
Snow a year21.0 insnowiest: February
Hottest on record105°FJuly 22, 2011
Coldest on record−18°FJanuary 22, 1984
Wettest day on record10.7 inJune 21, 1972
Snowiest day on record22.5 inFebruary 11, 1983
90° days a year33very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°102and 11 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 18, to the last in spring, about April 16 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingNov. 28 to March 12; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Sully Square normally reaches 57° and falls to 36°. The record high is 80°, in 1985; the record low 13°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.90 in, fell in 1972.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high42°46°55°67°75°83°88°86°79°68°56°47°
Normal low25°27°34°43°53°62°67°65°58°45°36°29°
Rain and melt, in2.942.613.503.474.724.304.153.533.943.653.133.30
Snow, inches6.97.03.90.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.32.8
Record high79° (2024)80° (2023)89° (1998)93° (2010)97° (1969)102° (2012)105° (2011)104° (1983)100° (2023)96° (2019)84° (1982)79° (1998)
Record low−18° (1984)−14° (1979)−1° (2014)17° (1969)28° (1970)36° (1977)41° (1988)38° (1982)30° (1974)15° (1969)9° (1989)−4° (1989)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1960 from the Sterling-Dulles Airport Area threaded record (Washington Dulles International Airport, here). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Sully Square on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Arlington VA · 18 MI 18 miles east Washington DC · 22 MI 22 miles east Baltimore MD · 51 MI 51 miles northeast Philadelphia PA · 144 MI 144 miles northeast Virginia Beach VA · 166 MI 166 miles southeast Pittsburgh PA · 171 MI 171 miles northwest
FORECASTCITY
Map of Sully Square, Virginia. Explore the plate
VIRGINIA · FAIRFAX

Sully Square

2,300 people, 340 ft above sea level in Fairfax County.

340 ftElevation
2,300People
1 sq miLand
Sunny 47°
SunnyDew point 30°
1

Today in Sully Square

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy night 48° 0%
8p partly cloudy night 45° 1%
11p mostly clear night 41° 1%
2a mostly clear night 40° 1%
5a mostly clear night 39° 1%
8a partly cloudy day 43° 1%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
36
48
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
33
54
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
31
57
B
Tue0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
31
60
A
Wed0%
Sunny Sunny
32
63
B
Thu0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
36
65
B
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
38
67
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1993 · NOV. 15, 1993

81°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1960.

2

What Sully Square stands on

Sully Square’s center stands about 340 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 260 ft to 460 ft, a difference of 200 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Gantt Hill, about 510 ft, 10 miles east.

Sully Square, west to east Sully Square340 ftPotomac Riverabout 70 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 89×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center340 ft
Within 3 miles260 to 460 ft
Lie of the landRolling (200 ft of relief)
High point nearbyGantt Hill, 510 ft, 10 mi east
5

Sully Square’s year

Sully Square has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 88° in July; winter nights fall to about 25° in January. A normal year brings about 21 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 43 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 43.2 in
July, average88° / 67° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average42° / 25° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow43.2 in · wettest months: May and June
Snow a year21.0 in · snowiest: February
Hottest on record105°F · July 22, 2011
Coldest on record−18°F · January 22, 1984
Wettest day on record10.7 in · June 21, 1972
Snowiest day on record22.5 in · February 11, 1983
90° days a year33 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°102 · and 11 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 18, to the last in spring, about April 16 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 28 to March 12; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Sully Square normally reaches 57° and falls to 36°. The record high is 80°, in 1985; the record low 13°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.90 in, fell in 1972.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1960 from the Sterling-Dulles Airport Area threaded record (Washington Dulles International Airport, here). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 130 mito the AtlanticCub Run → Bull Run → Occoquan → Potomac

A raindrop that lands in Sully Square reaches Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean by way of Cub Run, Bull Run, the Occoquan and the Potomac: about 130 river miles.

85 miles of the trip are on the Potomac.