FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Lake McMurray, Washington: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
WASHINGTON · SKAGIT COUNTY

Lake McMurray

382 people, 240 ft above sea level in Skagit County.

240 ftElevation, city center
382People, 2024 estimate
1 sq miLand area
Sunny 58°
Sunny now Dew point 45° · SE 30 mph · high 57°
City of Lake McMurray River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Lake McMurray plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Lake McMurray

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 12:00 PM PST
RIGHT NOW Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field (KNUW) · 12:53 PM
Sunny
58° Sunny Feels like 58° · high of 57° near 2 PM
WindSE 30 mphgusts 45
Humidity62%falling to 64% this afternoon
Pressure29.63 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 45° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Tonight, about 10 PMin about 9 hours · 57% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 110.25 in · 3 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Skagit County
NWS Seattle and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 1:17 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:14 AM4:32 PM ↓
9 h 17 m of daylight, 3 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
0
GOODAir quality index · fine particles
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
partly cloudy day
windy
mostly cloudy night
rain
windy
windy
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
showers night
rain
rain
showers day
showers night
showers night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
56°
53°
55°
46°
50°
41°
CHANCE OF RAIN
57% · 0.01 in Saturday night 50%
WIND, MPH
20
21
20
21
21
21
18
20
16
15
15
16
14
12
12
10
7
5
5
5
6
6
7
7
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 40 to 48°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Chance of showers Chance of showers
57° 49°
60% rain — SE 20, gusts 33 A
SUN Nov. 15 Chance of showers Chance of showers
55° 43°
40% rain — SSE 17, gusts 37 A
MON Nov. 16 Chance of showers Chance of showers
50° 40°
40% rain up to 0.4″ SE 9 B
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
50° 39°
10% rain — E 5 B
WED Nov. 18 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
48° 39°
20% rain — N 5 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
48° 36°
10% rain — NNW 3 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
48° 37°
10% rain — E 2 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Lake McMurray about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Pacific off the Northwest three days ago, and over British Columbia a day ago, about 830 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from British Columbia; at 10,000 feet, from the Pacific north of Hawaii. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1955 Nov. 14, 1955

The coldest this week has been

3° on Nov. 14, 1955, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1896. Next is 8° in 1911.

8°
3°
19111955
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Sedro-Woolley record since 1896.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Lake McMurray stands on

Lake McMurray’s center stands about 240 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 160 ft to 1,380 ft, a difference of 1,220 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Haystack Mountain, about 4,040 ft, 11 miles northeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Paleocene-Cretaceous nonmarine rocks (arkose), from the Late Cretaceous to Eocene, 34 to 100 million years old.

The section below crosses 6 rock units mapped at the surface.

Lake McMurray, cut in half from southwest to northeast

A section southwest to northeast, 24 miles through the town center
0 ft1,000 ft2,000 ft3,000 ft LAKE MCMURRAY240 ftStillaguamish Riversea levelStanwood140 ftSplit Rock3,330 ft ← SWNE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 5×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Paleocene-Cretaceous nonmarine rocks

Arkose. Age: Late Cretaceous to Eocene, 34 to 100 million years old. About 7 mi of the line.

Pre-Tertiary sedimentary and metasedimentary rocks, undivided

Graywacke, argillite, phyllite. Age: Middle Jurassic to Eocene, 34 to 175 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Younger glacial drift

Fine-detrital, coarse-detrital. Age: Pleistocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Pre-Upper Jurassic metamorphic rocks of the low-grade zone

Phyllite. Age: Jurassic to Early Cretaceous, 100 to 202 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Alluvium

Silt, sand. Age: Holocene, less than 12,000 years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Younger glacial drift

Fine-detrital, coarse-detrital. Age: Pleistocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Lake McMurray’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Lake McMurray reaches the Pacific Ocean by way of Nookachamps Creek, the Skagit, the South Fork Skagit and Freshwater Slough: about 30 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Lake McMurray≈ 30 mi · the Pacific Ocean
FROM THE CENTER OF LAKE MCMURRAY ≈ 30 mi to the Pacific Ocean Nookachamps Creek → Skagit → South Fork Skagit → Freshwater Slough

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Lake McMurray; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Lake McMurray’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1896 · Sedro-Woolley, 12 mi north

Lake McMurray has a warm-summer Mediterranean climate. Summer afternoons average 75° in August; winter nights fall to about 34° in December. A normal year brings about 6 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 48 inches of water.

46°35°49°35°53°38°58°41°65°47°69°51°74°53°75°53°70°49°60°43°50°39°45°34° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY 48.5 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
August, average75° / 53°high / low, the warmest month
December, average45° / 34°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow48.5 inwettest months: November and January
Snow a year5.7 insnowiest: December
Hottest on record99°FJune 30, 1915
Coldest on record−2°FJanuary 26, 1957
Wettest day on record4.01 inNovember 18, 1911
Snowiest day on record13.0 inFebruary 24, 2011
Nights at or below 32°47and 2 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer MediterraneanKöppen Csb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Nov. 3, to the last in spring, about March 28 (median dates)
2Wettest stretchNovember through January: 18.6 of the year’s 48.5 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Lake McMurray normally reaches 51° and falls to 39°. The record high is 66°, in 1923; the record low 3°, in 1955. The most rain on this date, 2.45 in, fell in 1998.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high46°49°53°58°65°69°74°75°70°60°50°45°
Normal low35°35°38°41°47°51°53°53°49°43°39°34°
Rain and melt, in6.184.114.764.173.462.601.341.602.864.987.025.45
Snow, inches0.60.20.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.10.73.7
Record high68° (2015)74° (1986)82° (1928)94° (1910)95° (1910)99° (1915)98° (2009)97° (1960)91° (1944)86° (1987)76° (1908)74° (1939)
Record low−2° (1957)−1° (1950)8° (1955)25° (1954)25° (1906)30° (1908)31° (1901)34° (1910)28° (1912)20° (1935)3° (1955)1° (1968)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1896 at Sedro-Woolley, 12 miles north, 190 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Lake McMurray on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Everett WA · 25 MI 25 miles south Bellingham WA · 32 MI 32 miles north Seattle WA · 49 MI 49 miles south Bellevue WA · 50 MI 50 miles south Kent WA · 64 MI 64 miles south Tacoma WA · 74 MI 74 miles south
FORECASTCITY
Map of Lake McMurray, Washington. Explore the plate
WASHINGTON · SKAGIT

Lake McMurray

382 people, 240 ft above sea level in Skagit County.

240 ftElevation
382People
1 sq miLand
Sunny 58°
SunnyDew point 45°
1

Today in Lake McMurray

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now partly cloudy day 56° 15%
4p mostly cloudy day 55° 17%
7p partly cloudy night 56° 16%
10p rain 55° 36%
1a rain 53° 30%
4a windy 54° 18%
Rain
NEXT RAINTonight about 10 PM · 57%
→
Sat60%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
49
57
A
Sun40%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
43
55
A
Mon40%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
40
50
B
Tue10%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
39
50
B
Wed20%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
39
48
B
Thu10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
36
48
B
Fri10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
37
48
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1955 · NOV. 14, 1955

3°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1896.

2

What Lake McMurray stands on

Lake McMurray’s center stands about 240 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 160 ft to 1,380 ft, a difference of 1,220 ft: steep hill country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Haystack Mountain, about 4,040 ft, 11 miles northeast.

Lake McMurray, southwest to northeast Lake McMurray240 ftStillaguamish Riversea levelSplit Rock3,330 ft ← SWNE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 10×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center240 ft
Within 3 miles160 to 1,380 ft
Lie of the landSteep hill country (1,220 ft of relief)
High point nearbyHaystack Mountain, 4,040 ft, 11 mi northeast
Rock at the surfacePaleocene-Cretaceous nonmarine rocks
Its ageLate Cretaceous to Eocene, 34 to 100 million years old
5

Lake McMurray’s year

Lake McMurray has a warm-summer Mediterranean climate. Summer afternoons average 75° in August; winter nights fall to about 34° in December. A normal year brings about 6 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 48 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 48.5 in
August, average75° / 53° · high / low, the warmest month
December, average45° / 34° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow48.5 in · wettest months: November and January
Snow a year5.7 in · snowiest: December
Hottest on record99°F · June 30, 1915
Coldest on record−2°F · January 26, 1957
Wettest day on record4.01 in · November 18, 1911
Snowiest day on record13.0 in · February 24, 2011
Nights at or below 32°47 · and 2 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer Mediterranean · Köppen Csb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Nov. 3, to the last in spring, about March 28 (median dates)
2Wettest stretch · November through January: 18.6 of the year’s 48.5 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Lake McMurray normally reaches 51° and falls to 39°. The record high is 66°, in 1923; the record low 3°, in 1955. The most rain on this date, 2.45 in, fell in 1998.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1896 at Sedro-Woolley, 12 miles north, 190 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 30 mito the Pacific OceanNookachamps Creek → Skagit → South Fork Skagit → Freshwater Slough

A raindrop that lands in Lake McMurray reaches the Pacific Ocean by way of Nookachamps Creek, the Skagit, the South Fork Skagit and Freshwater Slough: about 30 river miles.